531 S School Ave · Lecanto, FL 34461

$224,999

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,664 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market

Built 1983 3.69 ac lot Est $230k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.8/30.0
• ARV discount +8.4/15.0
• DSCR +6.6/10.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity Awaits on 3.69 Acres in Lecanto! Looking for acreage, location, and unlimited potential? This 3-bedroom, 1-bath concrete block home offers 1,663 living square feet and sits on a sprawling 3.69-acre parcel in the heart of Lecanto, Florida. Built in 1983, this property is ready for a complete transformation and presents an exceptional opportunity for investors, flippers, contractors, or buyers seeking a project with room to grow. Nestled on a beautiful oversized parcel with no HOA and no deed restrictions, you'll have the freedom to create the property you've always envisioned. The home has been vacant for many years and currently has no electric or water service. While the reside

Key facts

• Convenient access
• 3.69 acres
• No hoa

Tags

• 3.69 ACRES
• NO HOA
• NO DEED RESTRICTIONS
• CONVENIENT ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Zoning: MDR

Exterior

• Parking: Unassigned parking
• Utilities: Septic tank for sewer
• Home design: Single-family residential property; One level
• Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
• Exterior features: Paved road frontage on a county road; Lot in Mayfield Acres subdivision; Lot approximately 3.69 acres

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: No cooling system listed
• Interior features: No built-in appliances listed

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (1.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $222k (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.2% in Lecanto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#680 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
• Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Forest Ridge Elementary School (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 708 students, 67% FRL); Lecanto Middle School (math 49% / reading 49%, grade C-, #265 of 571 statewide, top 48%, 809 students, 55% FRL); Lecanto High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,630 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $89k; list at $225k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $222,423 (1.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.95%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.92%
• DSCR: 1.26
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $229,632
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
548 S Leona Ave	0.31mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,560 (-6%)	22mo	$215,000	$138	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.73×
• Total profit: $-16,709
• Equity at exit: $33,548

10-year hold

• IRR: 2.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.17×
• Total profit: $10,790
• Equity at exit: $19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34461

• Home prices YoY: -10.2%
• Active inventory: 197
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,224 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,180
• Tax from tax record: −$173 /mo · $2,074/yr
• Insurance: −$94
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$467
• Net cashflow: $311

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,831

Max offer price $224,999

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $56,250
• Closing costs: $6,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1130 W Olympia St Hernando, FL	3.0	2.0	1858	$2,700	$1.45	21d	1	1.26mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $224,999 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $224,999 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $224,999 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $224,999 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $224,999 Active 10 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $224,999 Active 8 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $224,999 Active 7 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $224,999 Active 5 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $224,999 Active 4 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,999 Active 3 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
12. 2026-06-07
    listed $224,999 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,074 · $173/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,074 · $173/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,691
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,603
• − Property taxes: −$2,074
• − Insurance: −$1,125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,135
• − Management: −$2,135
• − Depreciation: −$6,545
• Taxable income: $72
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$17
• After-tax cash flow: $3,710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Citrus
• NCES district ID: 1200270
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $38,618
• Composite: 41.28/100
• National rank: #3519
• State rank: #44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lecanto

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #680
• US rank: #14112

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lecanto, FL
• County: Citrus County · 111,314 people
• City population: 13,377
• Metro: Homosassa Springs, FL
• Population (ZIP): 13,377
• Household income: $63,418
• Rent vs Own: 10.7% rent · 89.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 41.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 138,622 people
• By 2030: 136,886 · -1.3%
• By 2040: 132,009 · -4.8%
• By 2050: 125,196 · -9.7%
• By 2075: 108,570 · -21.7%
• By 2100: 84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -29.48%
• Current HPI: 258.0866
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Homosassa Springs, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1181.6% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-05 Listed $224,999 RACC
• 2008-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
• 1981-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,556 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,074 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.