315 Sophie St · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment property with solid Tenant that would like to remain, if possible. All flooring throughout the home is ceramic tile, which adds to ease of maintenance. Offers both front and side porches, as well as a large backyard. Bathroom was also completely refurbished, with a new tub, toilet and vanity.Nice, central location- close to schools, shopping and much more. A great cash-flow property. Listed below appraisal.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Central location
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 49% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $53k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.07%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,938
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -12.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Sherwood Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-0%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $54 | 82 |
| 106 Narcisse St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-5%) | 17mo | $79,999 | $70 | 64 |
| 253 Sherwood Dr | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,173 (-3%) | 4mo | $102,500 | $87 | 62 |
| 110 W Evergreen St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,250 (+4%) | 12mo | $139,000 | $111 | 57 |
| 708 Louisiana Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,210 (+0%) | 6mo | $99,000 | $82 | 55 |
| 210 Hobson St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 9mo | $20,000 | $18 | 54 |
| 148 E Gilman Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (-13%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $129 | 52 |
| 324 Surrey St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-0%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $75 | 52 |
| 407 E Pine St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+4%) | 16mo | $94,000 | $75 | 47 |
| 100 Hayes Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $32 | 47 |
| 112 Goldman St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,096 (-9%) | 17mo | $103,000 | $94 | 44 |
| 310 S Sterling St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,066 (-12%) | 7mo | $136,000 | $128 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $20,793
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $75,544
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,099 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $558/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 Tissington St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $775 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 423 Sampson St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $950 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 313 Hobson St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1002 E Simcoe St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1030 9th St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 610 Sunset Dr Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 206 N Washington St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 241 N Pine St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 810 Fairmont Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $992 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 615 Lafayette St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 215 Peggy St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 215 Peggy St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 908 Saint Charles St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 816 Martin Luther King Jr Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 815 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 40 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $800 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 815 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Apt 29 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $800 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 117 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 109 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 114 Carlin St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 402 Lamar St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 770 | $825 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1011 W Congress St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1181 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 503 Joan St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1114 W Congress St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 405 E Convent St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $1,125 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2820 Louisiana Ave Lafayette, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,145 | $1.39 | 13d | 20 | 1.39mi |
| 1120 S Washington St Unit B Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $2,400 | $2.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1120 S Washington St Unit A Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 892 | $2,200 | $2.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 246 Paul Breaux Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 406 Silkwood St Unit D Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 305 General Mouton Ave Unit B Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2826 Louisiana Ave #1111 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2826 Louisiana Ave #907 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2830 Louisiana Ave #6 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 908 Lamar St Unit 108 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,025 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 213 General Gardner Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-10status $70,000 Pending 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-05price $70,000 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
Investment property with solid Tenant that would like to remain, if possible. All flooring throughout the home is ceramic tile, which adds to ease of maintenance. Offers both front and side porches, as well as a large backyard. Bathroom was also completely refurbished, with a new tub, toilet and vanity.Nice, central location- close to schools, shopping and much more. A great cash-flow property. Listed below appraisal.
-
2026-04-20$80,000 Active 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
Investment property with solid Tenant that would like to remain, if possible. All flooring throughout the home is ceramic tile, which adds to ease of maintenance. Offers both front and side porches, as well as a large backyard. Bathroom was also completely refurbished, with a new tub, toilet and vanity.Nice, central location- close to schools, shopping and much more. A great cash-flow property. Listed below appraisal.
-
2011-08-04soldstatus $53,216
-
2011-07-28soldstatus $18,501 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Sold in ''As Is Condition/No Repairs by Seller.' This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down. This property is approved for Fannie Mae Home Path Renovation Mortgage financing. Verification of funds (if cash) or a pre-approval lender letter (if financing MUST accompany all offers). Buyers are required to sign an Owner Occupant Certificate Rider if buyer owns no property and will occupy property. First Look 15 day waiting period for investor offers. 3 day waiting period for owner occupant offers. Cottage on large lot in city limits of Lafayette near public transporation. Seller will not provide utilities for buyer's inspection. Sold in ''As Is Condition.''
-
2011-06-30$18,500 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Sold in ''As Is Condition/No Repairs by Seller.' This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down. This property is approved for Fannie Mae Home Path Renovation Mortgage financing. Verification of funds (if cash) or a pre-approval lender letter (if financing MUST accompany all offers). Buyers are required to sign an Owner Occupant Certificate Rider if buyer owns no property and will occupy property. First Look 15 day waiting period for investor offers. 3 day waiting period for owner occupant offers. Cottage on large lot in city limits of Lafayette near public transporation. Seller will not provide utilities for buyer's inspection. Sold in ''As Is Condition.''
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2010-06-01$49,000
-
2005-08-04$68,000
-
2003-04-15soldstatus $25,000
-
2003-02-06$27,000
-
2000-05-19soldstatus $32,500
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2000-05-06$33,500
-
1999-06-23soldstatus $16,000
-
1999-05-04$20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $558 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $558 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,194
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$558
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $4,217
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,098/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+250.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $70,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $80,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $53,216 Public Records
- 2011-07-28 Sold (MLS) $18,501 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-06-30 Listed $18,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-06-01 Listed $49,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-08-04 Listed $68,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2003-04-15 Sold (MLS) $25,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2003-02-06 Listed $27,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2000-05-19 Sold (MLS) $32,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2000-05-06 Listed $33,500 AcadianaMLS
- 1999-06-23 Sold (MLS) $16,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1999-05-04 Listed $20,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $558 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…