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37307 Linda Ln
D Composite 44.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$260,000

37307 Linda Ln · Seaside, OR 97138
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,730 sqft · Other public records · 121 Days on market
Built 1991 2.02 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

Key facts

  • Pure well water
  • Old growth timber
  • Private wooded lot

Tags

CREEK FRONT OPPORTUNITYPRIVATE WOODED LOTOLD GROWTH TIMBERFRONTAGE ON BERGSVIK CREEKPURE WELL WATERSPACIOUS OPEN FLOOR PLAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (13.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (23.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.5% in Seaside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#60 in OR, #2,085 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, cost of living D+.
  • Seaside SD 10 (town): math 11% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #53 of 58 in OR (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Pacific Ridge Elementary School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #301 of 412 statewide, top 74%, 597 students, 46% FRL); Seaside Middle School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #118 of 128 statewide, top 92%, 392 students, 0% FRL); Seaside High School (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #78 of 143 statewide, top 58%, 453 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 98 units permitted in Clatsop County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $167k; list at $260k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,988 (23.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.31%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$129,161
Equity at exit
$234,229
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
6.36×
Total profit
$390,176
Equity at exit
$505,123

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97138

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
231
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,990 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$240 /mo · $2,882/yr
Insurance
$108
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$-196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,237
Max offer price $225,458
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-48 -5% $-122 +0% $-196 +5% $-269 +10% $-343
Rent -10% $-353 -5% $-274 +0% $-196 +5% $-117 +10% $-38
Rate -1.0pp $-65 -0.5pp $-129 base $-196 +0.5pp $-263 +1.0pp $-331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

  2. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

  3. 2026-04-15
    price $260,000
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

  4. 2026-04-15
    price $260,000 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

  5. 2026-03-18
    price $280,000 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

  6. 2026-03-18
    price $280,000
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

  7. 2026-01-01
    listed $300,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

  8. 2026-01-01
    listed $300,000 Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Escape to your own private coastal oasis on this stunning 2+ acre creek-front parcel just minutes from Seaside and Cannon Beach! Nestled along the serene Bergsvik Creek, this wooded gem features mature old-growth timber for ultimate privacy, the soothing sounds of crystal-clear running water, and pure well water that's as refreshing as it is abundant. Perfect for building your dream home, cabin retreat, or off-grid haven, this rare acreage offers a peaceful blend of nature and accessibility — only 14 miles from Seaside and Cannon beaches and about an hour from Portland. Bring your vision and create something extraordinary on this timeless slice of Oregon coast paradise.

  9. 2015-11-20
    soldstatus $167,000 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Beautiful creek front acreage. 10 miles from Seaside and 45 minute commute to Portland. Home has been remodeled from floor to ceiling. Hickory hardwood throughout home. Large open floor plan, with vaulted ceilings. All appliances included. Large master bath with plenty of storage. Large old growth marketable timber covers this property. Vacant and easy to show.

  10. 2015-11-20
    soldstatus $167,000
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Beautiful creek front acreage. 10 miles from Seaside and 45 minute commute to Portland. Home has been remodeled from floor to ceiling. Hickory hardwood throughout home. Large open floor plan, with vaulted ceilings. All appliances included. Large master bath with plenty of storage. Large old growth marketable timber covers this property. Vacant and easy to show.

  11. 2015-07-16
    listed $174,900 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Beautiful creek front acreage. 10 miles from Seaside and 45 minute commute to Portland. Home has been remodeled from floor to ceiling. Hickory hardwood throughout home. Large open floor plan, with vaulted ceilings. All appliances included. Large master bath with plenty of storage. Large old growth marketable timber covers this property. Vacant and easy to show.

  12. 2015-05-29
    soldstatus $70,000
  13. 2015-05-29
    soldstatus $70,000
  14. 2015-04-09
    listed $74,500
  15. 2015-04-08
    listed $74,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,882 · $240/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,882 · $240/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,879
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$2,882
− Insurance
−$1,966
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,910
− Management
−$1,910
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$6,919
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,660
After-tax cash flow
$-686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seaside SD 10
NCES district ID
4111100
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,956
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8159
State rank
#53 of 58 in OR

Livability — Seaside

Score
79/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#2085

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clatsop County · 29,028 people
Metro
Astoria, OR
Population (ZIP)
11,035
Household income
$60,411
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
573.0

Population outlook (Clatsop County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,212 people
By 2030
39,765 · +1.4%
By 2040
40,121 · +2.3%
By 2050
40,032 · +2.1%
By 2075
39,123 · -0.2%
By 2100
35,965 · -8.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 3% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clatsop

2024 margin
D (+11.4) · D 54.1% · R 42.8% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 11.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.4 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+14.6 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.11%
Current HPI
1014.65
Rent YoY
Metro
Astoria, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+249.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $260,000 RMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $260,000 RMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $280,000 RMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $280,000 RMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listed $300,000 RMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listed $300,000 RMLS
  • 2015-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
  • 2015-11-20 Sold (MLS) $167,000 RMLS
  • 2015-07-16 Listed $174,900 RMLS
  • 2015-05-29 Sold (MLS) $70,000 CAR
  • 2015-05-29 Sold (MLS) $70,000 RMLS
  • 2015-04-09 Listed $74,500 CAR
  • 2015-04-08 Listed $74,500 RMLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,882 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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