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2105 S 2nd St
B- Composite 70.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

2105 S 2nd St · Fayetteville, IL 62258
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 958 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market
Built 1995 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in the heart of Fayetteville! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers plenty of potential for a buyer looking to add their own personal touches and updates. Featuring a spacious layout, mature trees, and a generously sized yard, this property provides the perfect canvas to create your ideal home. Outside, you'll find a storage shed and an expansive yard with endless possibilities for gardening, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying the peaceful surroundings. The large lot offers plenty of room to grow and make the space your own. Conveniently located within the highly sought-after Freeburg School District, this property combines small-town living with excellent

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Storage shed
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

STORAGE SHEDGENEROUSLY SIZED YARDLARGE LOTFREEBURG SCHOOL DISTRICT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller may consider concessions; Home warranty not included
  • Financial info: No second mortgage reported

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; Permanent foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Full yard fencing; Landscaped yard with many trees; Back yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Open to main living area
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Washer/Dryer included; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,226 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Freeburg Chsd 77 (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #150 of 919 in IL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Freeburg Community High Sch (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #157 of 693 statewide, top 25%, 683 students, 0% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Freeburg Chsd 77 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
15.55%
Cash-on-cash
33.07%
DSCR
2.47
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$31,256
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
4.28×
Total profit
$87,195
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62258

Home prices YoY
-27.2%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,640 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $296/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$733

Break-even live

Break-even rent $712
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $95,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$296 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,226 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$930/yr (+$78/mo · 314.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,677
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$296
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,574
− Management
−$1,574
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$7,673
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,841
After-tax cash flow
$6,954/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Freeburg Chsd 77
NCES district ID
1715840
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$72,936
Composite
46.99/100
National rank
#5143
State rank
#150 of 919 in IL

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
56/100
State rank
#1226
US rank
#23007

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
10,437
Household income
$94,655
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
209.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.21%
Current HPI
182.8448
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Coming Soon $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+14.7%/yr

Latest (2018): $296 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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