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1615 Vaughn Ridge Rd
D+ Composite 49.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

1615 Vaughn Ridge Rd · London, KY 40741
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 144 Days on market
1.18 ac lot $108/sqft · 32% below area Est $191k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.

Key facts

  • Detached carport
  • Two ponds
  • Newer windows

Tags

SCENIC VIEWSTWO PONDSNEWER WINDOWSWOOD BURNING STOVEDETACHED METAL GARAGEDETACHED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($308/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (20.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.2% in London — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#202 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Laurel County (town): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #8 of 165 in KY (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Laurel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $130k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,623 (20.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.85%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$190,905
List price
$130,000
Delta
-31.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-19,480
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-15,057
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40741

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,036 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $685/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,004
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 144 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 143 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 142 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 141 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 139 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 138 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 135 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 134 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 133 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 132 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 129 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 127 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 126 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 125 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    price $130,000 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.

  17. 2026-04-24
    price $132,000 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.

  18. 2026-04-10
    price $135,000 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.

  19. 2026-03-24
    price $138,000 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.

  20. 2026-03-16
    price $140,000 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.

  21. 2026-02-08
    price $159,000 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.

  22. 2026-01-18
    listed $169,000 Active 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.

  23. 2021-01-18
    soldstatus $57,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$685 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,118 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$433/yr (+$36/mo · 63.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,435
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$685
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$995
− Management
−$995
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$1,953
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$469
After-tax cash flow
$777/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Laurel County
NCES district ID
2103210
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$36,577
Composite
44.39/100
National rank
#2814
State rank
#8 of 165 in KY

Livability — London

Score
68/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#10028

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
23,303

Population outlook (Laurel County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,602 people
By 2030
63,310 · +1.1%
By 2040
63,706 · +1.8%
By 2050
62,705 · +0.2%
By 2075
58,574 · -6.4%
By 2100
50,888 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Laurel

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.9) · D 14.5% · R 84.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -58.0pp · 2024: -69.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.9 2020: R+66.7 2016: R+69.1 2012: R+63.6 2008: R+58.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.45%
Current HPI
247.1396
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $130,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $132,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $135,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $138,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $140,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-02-08 Price Changed $159,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-01-18 Listed $169,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2021-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $685 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…