1615 Vaughn Ridge Rd · London, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.
Key facts
- Detached carport
- Two ponds
- Newer windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($308/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (20.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.2% in London — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#202 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Laurel County (town): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #8 of 165 in KY (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Laurel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $130k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.85%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,905
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -31.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-19,480
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-15,057
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40741
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,036 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $685/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $26
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $130,000 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.
-
2026-04-24price $132,000 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.
-
2026-04-10price $135,000 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.
-
2026-03-24price $138,000 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.
-
2026-03-16price $140,000 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.
-
2026-02-08price $159,000 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.
-
2026-01-18$169,000 Active 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Brick ranch home situated on 1.15 peaceful acres with scenic views of neighboring farmland and two ponds. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offers excellent potential for the right buyer. The owner began renovations but was unable to complete them, leaving a great opportunity to customize and add value. The home is in need of extensive repairs, including flooring, making it ideal for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a fixer-upper with strong upside. Cash or Conventional only. Several major features are already in place, including newer windows and a wood-burning stove. Outside, you'll find a detached 24x24 metal garage, perfect for a workshop or easily adaptable for barn use, along with a detached two-car carport. An additional small barn and fenced area provide space for horses or other animals. A spacious yard and quiet rural setting complete this value-driven property with endless possibilities.
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2021-01-18soldstatus $57,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,118 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$433/yr (+$36/mo · 63.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,435
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$685
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$995
- − Management
- −$995
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,953
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$469
- After-tax cash flow
- $777/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Laurel County
- NCES district ID
- 2103210
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,577
- Composite
- 44.39/100
- National rank
- #2814
- State rank
- #8 of 165 in KY
Livability — London
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #10028
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,303
Population outlook (Laurel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,602 people
- By 2030
- 63,310 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 63,706 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 62,705 · +0.2%
- By 2075
- 58,574 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 50,888 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Laurel
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.9) · D 14.5% · R 84.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -58.0pp · 2024: -69.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.9 2020: R+66.7 2016: R+69.1 2012: R+63.6 2008: R+58.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.45%
- Current HPI
- 247.1396
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+126.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $130,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $132,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $135,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $138,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $140,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-02-08 Price Changed $159,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-18 Listed $169,000 ImagineMLS
- 2021-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $685 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…