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204 Marathon Dr
B+ Composite 76.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

204 Marathon Dr · Lafayette, LA 70501
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,989 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 118 Days on market
Built 2021 Good condition 6,098 sqft lot Garage $96/sqft · 28% below area Est $277k · 31% under $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Kingston is a beautiful and spacious one-story home! It features a modern open floor plan design. The home has a large family room with windows that overlook the covered porch. The kitchen has an island, pantry, and is open to the dining space. The large bedroom suite has a walk-in closet. It also has three other bedrooms, another full bath, a utility room, and a two-car garage.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 118 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.8% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
  • Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Paul Breaux Middle School (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #100 of 218 statewide, top 47%, 680 students, 68% FRL); Northside High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #186 of 265 statewide, top 73%, 655 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 56% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,521/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 18% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,900 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.30%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$276,885
List price
$190,000
Delta
-31.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
340 White Pine Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,874 (-6%) 2mo $246,500 $132 77
323 White Pine Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,874 (-6%) 4mo $249,000 $133 76
328 White Pine Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,874 (-6%) 4mo $254,500 $136 76
423 Starlight Dr 0.06mi 4/2.0 1,700 (-14%) 4mo $230,000 $135 70
342 White Pine Dr 0.25mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,087 (+5%) 3mo $273,500 $131 69
330 White Pine Dr 0.25mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,087 (+5%) 4mo $269,500 $129 68
304 Norman Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,795 (-10%) 1mo $235,000 $131 67
335 White Pine Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,704 (-14%) 4mo $237,000 $139 61
101 Briarwood Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 2,198 (+10%) 1mo $195,000 $89 60
1104 E Alexander St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,713 (-14%) 3mo $175,000 $102 59
111 Norman Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,185 (+10%) 0mo $176,500 $81 59
102 Kingswood Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,775 (-11%) 7mo $215,000 $121 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$23,967
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$128,364
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
22 active · 22 under contract
Months of supply
7.3 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$242,500 ($133/sqft)
Median days on market
192 d
This list price
18% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+4.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 70501

Rents YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
343
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,521 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$213 /mo · $2,557/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$529
Net cashflow
$678

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,663
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $786 -5% $732 +0% $678 +5% $624 +10% $571
Rent -10% $479 -5% $579 +0% $678 +5% $778 +10% $877
Rate -1.0pp $774 -0.5pp $727 base $678 +0.5pp $629 +1.0pp $579

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
406 Starlight Dr Lafayette, LA 4.0 2.0 1867 $3,500 $1.87 0d 1 0.10mi
121 Rue Viansa Lafayette, LA 4.0 2.0 1684 $1,950 $1.16 0d 1 0.13mi
109 Red Pine Dr Lafayette, LA 4.0 3.0 2087 $4,000 $1.92 0d 1 0.25mi
245 Sherwood Dr Lafayette, LA 3.0 1.0 1299 $1,195 $0.92 6d 1 0.92mi
222 Winsor Dr Lafayette, LA 4.0 2.0 1648 $1,700 $1.03 2d 1 1.38mi
204 Winsor Dr Lafayette, LA 3.0 2.0 1244 $1,550 $1.25 6d 1 1.48mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Homeowners association with an annual fee of $300

Exterior

Parking
2 covered parking spacesGarage
Utilities
Gas service: AtmosElectric: CityPublic sewer
Home design
Single family residenceCity street and paved road frontage
Construction
Brick veneer, brick, stucco, vinyl siding, frame, and concrete construction
Exterior features
Covered and open patios/porchesPond on the propertyNo fencing

Interior

Kitchen
Granite countersDishwasherDisposalGas cooktopMicrowave
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heating (natural gas)Central air conditioning
Interior features
Granite countersDishwasherDisposalGas cooktopMicrowave

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-08-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-08-29
    days on market $190,000 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-08-28
    days on market $190,000 Active 115 DOM
  5. 2026-08-27
    days on market $190,000 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-08-26
    days on market $190,000 Active 113 DOM
  7. 2026-08-25
    days on market $190,000 Active 112 DOM
  8. 2026-08-24
    days on market $190,000 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-08-23
    days on market $190,000 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-08-22
    days on market $190,000 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-08-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-08-20
    days on market $190,000 Active 107 DOM
  13. 2026-08-19
    days on market $190,000 Active 106 DOM
  14. 2026-08-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 105 DOM
  15. 2026-08-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 104 DOM
  16. 2026-08-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 103 DOM
  17. 2026-08-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 102 DOM
  18. 2026-08-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 101 DOM
  19. 2026-08-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 100 DOM
  20. 2026-08-12
    days on market $190,000 Active 99 DOM
  21. 2026-08-11
    days on market $190,000 Active 98 DOM
  22. 2026-08-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 97 DOM
  23. 2026-08-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 96 DOM
  24. 2026-08-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 95 DOM
  25. 2026-08-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 94 DOM
  26. 2026-08-06
    days on market $190,000 Active 93 DOM
  27. 2026-08-05
    days on market $190,000 Active 92 DOM
  28. 2026-08-04
    days on market $190,000 Active 91 DOM
  29. 2026-08-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 90 DOM
  30. 2026-08-01
    price $190,000 Active 87 DOM
  31. 2026-07-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 87 DOM
  32. 2026-07-30
    days on market $200,000 Active 86 DOM
  33. 2026-07-29
    days on market $200,000 Active 85 DOM
  34. 2026-07-27
    days on market $200,000 Active 83 DOM
  35. 2026-07-23
    days on market $200,000 Active 79 DOM
  36. 2026-07-22
    days on market $200,000 Active 78 DOM
  37. 2026-07-21
    days on market $200,000 Active 77 DOM
  38. 2026-07-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 74 DOM
  39. 2026-07-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 72 DOM
  40. 2026-07-16
    pricedays on market $200,000 Active 71 DOM
  41. 2026-07-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 70 DOM
  42. 2026-07-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 69 DOM
  43. 2026-07-12
    days on market $210,000 Active 68 DOM
  44. 2026-07-11
    days on market $210,000 Active 67 DOM
  45. 2026-07-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 66 DOM
  46. 2026-07-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 65 DOM
  47. 2026-07-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 64 DOM
  48. 2026-07-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 63 DOM
  49. 2026-07-06
    days on market $210,000 Active 62 DOM
  50. 2026-07-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 61 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,557 · $213/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,557 · $213/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,257
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,557
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,421
− Management
−$2,421
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$5,438
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,305
After-tax cash flow
$6,834/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $9,945–$29,835 screening

This single-family home is in good condition with a modern open floor plan and well-maintained exterior. It has potential for a fresh coat of paint to enhance its curb appeal and interior walls to make it more inviting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Resale Trim and paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and modern

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 22/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary J.w. Faulk Elementary School F LA #516/646 Nat'l #36,758/41,679 Middle Paul Breaux Middle School F LA #100/218 Nat'l #7,937/14,009 High Northside High School F LA #186/265 Nat'l #14,491/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lafayette Parish
NCES district ID
2200870
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -24.00%
Median HH income
$50,238
Composite
36.15/100
National rank
#4741
State rank
#19 of 98 in LA
B Composite livability gradescore 70/100

Livability — Lafayette

Score
70/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#8133

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lafayette, LA
County
Lafayette Parish · 280,930 people
City population
158,114
Metro
Lafayette, LA
Population (ZIP)
26,465
Household income
$33,365
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
18% of renters

Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,930 people
By 2030
301,092 · +7.2%
By 2040
339,456 · +20.8%
By 2050
375,156 · +33.5%
By 2075
451,672 · +60.8%
By 2100
497,203 · +77.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-10.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $220,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2022-07-20 Sold (MLS) $256,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2022-05-13 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2022-02-05 Price Changed $256,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2021-11-20 Listed $246,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+119.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,557 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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