105 Allen Ave #56 · Panama City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
RECENTLY REMODELED with a modern industrial design, this stylish condo is in a prime location in the heart of Panama City - The Cove. Located directly across the street from St. Andrews Bay, this first floor unit features updated finishes throughout, including exposed ductwork, concrete -style accents, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops and custom cabinetry. There is also a small fenced in yard and doggy door, which is also removable, for your furry friends. The open-concept floor plan is ideal for comfortable living and entertaining. Residents enjoy access to a large waterfront community pool and private dock, perfect for waterfront activities like paddleboarding, kayaking or just soaking in the sun. And with downtown Panama City less than a mile away, you can enjoy shopping, great restaurants and live music in minutes. This condo will come partially furnished and move in ready. The A/C was replaced last year and there is an all in one, ventless washer/dryer combo that will stay. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or income producing property, this condo delivers on every level. Don't miss your change to live by the water in the Cove.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Exposed ductwork
- Updated finishes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.7% in Panama City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 258 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $144k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.06%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,153
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -22.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-23,651
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-25,619
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32401
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 258
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,399/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 Cherry St #24 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,800 | $2.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 603 E 2nd St Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 307 Wilson Ave Unit 1 Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $1,345 | $2.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 335 Massalina Dr Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 388 Massalina Dr Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 329 N Palo Alto Ave Unit B Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $169,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $169,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $184,900 Active 195 DOM
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2025-12-02price $184,900 1197-char remark
Show marketing remark (1197 chars)
RECENTLY REMODELED with a modern industrial design, this stylish condo is in a prime location in the heart of Panama City - The Cove. Located directly across the street from St. Andrews Bay, this first floor unit features updated finishes throughout, including exposed ductwork, concrete -style accents, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops and custom cabinetry. There is also a small fenced in yard and doggy door, which is also removable, for your furry friends. The open-concept floor plan is ideal for comfortable living and entertaining. Residents enjoy access to a large waterfront community pool and private dock, perfect for waterfront activities like paddleboarding, kayaking or just soaking in the sun. And with downtown Panama City less than a mile away, you can enjoy shopping, great restaurants and live music in minutes. This condo will come partially furnished and move in ready. The A/C was replaced last year and there is an all in one, ventless washer/dryer combo that will stay. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or income producing property, this condo delivers on every level. Don't miss your change to live by the water in the Cove.
-
2025-11-16$189,000 Active 1197-char remark
Show marketing remark (1197 chars)
RECENTLY REMODELED with a modern industrial design, this stylish condo is in a prime location in the heart of Panama City - The Cove. Located directly across the street from St. Andrews Bay, this first floor unit features updated finishes throughout, including exposed ductwork, concrete -style accents, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops and custom cabinetry. There is also a small fenced in yard and doggy door, which is also removable, for your furry friends. The open-concept floor plan is ideal for comfortable living and entertaining. Residents enjoy access to a large waterfront community pool and private dock, perfect for waterfront activities like paddleboarding, kayaking or just soaking in the sun. And with downtown Panama City less than a mile away, you can enjoy shopping, great restaurants and live music in minutes. This condo will come partially furnished and move in ready. The A/C was replaced last year and there is an all in one, ventless washer/dryer combo that will stay. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or income producing property, this condo delivers on every level. Don't miss your change to live by the water in the Cove.
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2025-09-23historical
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2025-09-21status Active
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2025-07-05historical Active Under Contract
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2025-06-27$189,900 Active
-
2023-05-01soldstatus $144,000
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2023-04-28soldstatus $144,000 Closed
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2023-03-24status Pending
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2023-03-16status Active
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2023-03-13status Pending
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2023-03-09price $150,000
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2023-02-04$155,000 Active
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2021-12-14historical
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2021-12-14historical
-
2014-08-14soldstatus $58,000
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2014-08-13soldstatus $58,000
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2013-10-15$54,000
-
2013-01-26$94,900
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2008-03-01$118,900
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2004-10-28soldstatus $109,000
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2004-10-27soldstatus $109,000
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2004-09-07$109,000
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2004-08-31soldstatus $75,000
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1992-06-01soldstatus $38,000
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1982-08-01soldstatus $39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,410 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$11/yr (+$1/mo · 0.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,399
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,458
- − Management
- −$1,458
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$1,403
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$337
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,790/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #5823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 91,445
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,947
- Household income
- $52,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 935.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.12%
- Current HPI
- 290.3312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+363.4% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $184,900 CPARMLS
- 2025-11-16 Listed $189,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2025-09-21 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2025-07-05 Contingent — CPARMLS
- 2025-06-27 Listed $189,900 CPARMLS
- 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $144,000 CPARMLS
- 2023-03-24 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2023-03-16 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2023-03-13 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2023-03-09 Price Changed $150,000 CPARMLS
- 2023-02-04 Listed $155,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2014-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-13 Sold (MLS) $58,000 CPARMLS
- 2013-10-15 Listed $54,000 CPARMLS
- 2013-01-26 Listed $94,900 CPARMLS
- 2008-03-01 Listed $118,900 CPARMLS
- 2004-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-27 Sold (MLS) $109,000 CPARMLS
- 2004-09-07 Listed $109,000 CPARMLS
- 2004-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1992-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1982-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,399 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…