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105 Allen Ave #56
C- Composite 54.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

105 Allen Ave #56 · Panama City, FL 32401
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Condo public records · 211 Days on market
Built 1983 $184/sqft · 22% below area Est $218k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

RECENTLY REMODELED with a modern industrial design, this stylish condo is in a prime location in the heart of Panama City - The Cove. Located directly across the street from St. Andrews Bay, this first floor unit features updated finishes throughout, including exposed ductwork, concrete -style accents, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops and custom cabinetry. There is also a small fenced in yard and doggy door, which is also removable, for your furry friends. The open-concept floor plan is ideal for comfortable living and entertaining. Residents enjoy access to a large waterfront community pool and private dock, perfect for waterfront activities like paddleboarding, kayaking or just soaking in the sun. And with downtown Panama City less than a mile away, you can enjoy shopping, great restaurants and live music in minutes. This condo will come partially furnished and move in ready. The A/C was replaced last year and there is an all in one, ventless washer/dryer combo that will stay. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or income producing property, this condo delivers on every level. Don't miss your change to live by the water in the Cove.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Exposed ductwork
  • Updated finishes

Tags

MODERN INDUSTRIAL DESIGNPRIME LOCATIONUPDATED FINISHESEXPOSED DUCTWORKSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (10.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.7% in Panama City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 258 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $144k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.15%
Cash-on-cash
3.06%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$218,153
List price
$169,900
Delta
-22.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-23,651
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-25,619
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32401

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
258
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,518 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,399/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,365
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
316 Cherry St #24 Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 860 $1,800 $2.09 13d 1 0.03mi
603 E 2nd St Panama City, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 21d 1 0.22mi
307 Wilson Ave Unit 1 Panama City, FL 1.0 1.0 570 $1,345 $2.36 21d 1 0.38mi
335 Massalina Dr Panama City, FL 1.0 1.0 742 $1,200 $1.62 13d 1 0.49mi
388 Massalina Dr Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 800 $1,800 $2.25 13d 1 0.62mi
329 N Palo Alto Ave Unit B Panama City, FL 1.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 21d 1 0.63mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
waterpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,900 Active 211 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 210 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 209 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 208 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 207 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 205 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 204 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 202 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 201 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 200 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 199 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 196 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    price $169,900 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $184,900 Active 195 DOM
  15. 2025-12-02
    price $184,900 1197-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1197 chars)

    RECENTLY REMODELED with a modern industrial design, this stylish condo is in a prime location in the heart of Panama City - The Cove. Located directly across the street from St. Andrews Bay, this first floor unit features updated finishes throughout, including exposed ductwork, concrete -style accents, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops and custom cabinetry. There is also a small fenced in yard and doggy door, which is also removable, for your furry friends. The open-concept floor plan is ideal for comfortable living and entertaining. Residents enjoy access to a large waterfront community pool and private dock, perfect for waterfront activities like paddleboarding, kayaking or just soaking in the sun. And with downtown Panama City less than a mile away, you can enjoy shopping, great restaurants and live music in minutes. This condo will come partially furnished and move in ready. The A/C was replaced last year and there is an all in one, ventless washer/dryer combo that will stay. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or income producing property, this condo delivers on every level. Don't miss your change to live by the water in the Cove.

  16. 2025-11-16
    listed $189,000 Active 1197-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1197 chars)

    RECENTLY REMODELED with a modern industrial design, this stylish condo is in a prime location in the heart of Panama City - The Cove. Located directly across the street from St. Andrews Bay, this first floor unit features updated finishes throughout, including exposed ductwork, concrete -style accents, stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops and custom cabinetry. There is also a small fenced in yard and doggy door, which is also removable, for your furry friends. The open-concept floor plan is ideal for comfortable living and entertaining. Residents enjoy access to a large waterfront community pool and private dock, perfect for waterfront activities like paddleboarding, kayaking or just soaking in the sun. And with downtown Panama City less than a mile away, you can enjoy shopping, great restaurants and live music in minutes. This condo will come partially furnished and move in ready. The A/C was replaced last year and there is an all in one, ventless washer/dryer combo that will stay. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or income producing property, this condo delivers on every level. Don't miss your change to live by the water in the Cove.

  17. 2025-09-23
    historical
  18. 2025-09-21
    status Active
  19. 2025-07-05
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2025-06-27
    listed $189,900 Active
  21. 2023-05-01
    soldstatus $144,000
  22. 2023-04-28
    soldstatus $144,000 Closed
  23. 2023-03-24
    status Pending
  24. 2023-03-16
    status Active
  25. 2023-03-13
    status Pending
  26. 2023-03-09
    price $150,000
  27. 2023-02-04
    listed $155,000 Active
  28. 2021-12-14
    historical
  29. 2021-12-14
    historical
  30. 2014-08-14
    soldstatus $58,000
  31. 2014-08-13
    soldstatus $58,000
  32. 2013-10-15
    listed $54,000
  33. 2013-01-26
    listed $94,900
  34. 2008-03-01
    listed $118,900
  35. 2004-10-28
    soldstatus $109,000
  36. 2004-10-27
    soldstatus $109,000
  37. 2004-09-07
    listed $109,000
  38. 2004-08-31
    soldstatus $75,000
  39. 1992-06-01
    soldstatus $38,000
  40. 1982-08-01
    soldstatus $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,399 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,410 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$11/yr (+$1/mo · 0.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,220
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,399
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,458
− Management
−$1,458
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$1,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$337
After-tax cash flow
$1,790/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay
NCES district ID
1200090
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,740
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3014
State rank
#29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Panama City

Score
72/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#5823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Panama City, FL
County
Bay County · 163,593 people
City population
91,445
Metro
Panama City, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,947
Household income
$52,523
Rent vs Own
39.7% rent · 60.3% own
Severe rent burden
935.0

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
206,264 people
By 2030
217,740 · +5.6%
By 2040
238,738 · +15.7%
By 2050
255,545 · +23.9%
By 2075
288,295 · +39.8%
By 2100
288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.12%
Current HPI
290.3312
Rent YoY
▲ 0.45%
Metro
Panama City, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+363.4% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $184,900 CPARMLS
  • 2025-11-16 Listed $189,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2025-09-21 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2025-07-05 Contingent CPARMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Listed $189,900 CPARMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $144,000 CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-24 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-16 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-13 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-09 Price Changed $150,000 CPARMLS
  • 2023-02-04 Listed $155,000 CPARMLS
  • 2021-12-14 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2021-12-14 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2014-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2014-08-13 Sold (MLS) $58,000 CPARMLS
  • 2013-10-15 Listed $54,000 CPARMLS
  • 2013-01-26 Listed $94,900 CPARMLS
  • 2008-03-01 Listed $118,900 CPARMLS
  • 2004-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2004-10-27 Sold (MLS) $109,000 CPARMLS
  • 2004-09-07 Listed $109,000 CPARMLS
  • 2004-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 1992-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1982-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,399 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…