1047 Monroe St · Freemansburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Highest and Best due Friday 5/15 @ 5pm! Located at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac in Freemansburg Borough, this bi-level single-family home offers great potential for an owner-occupant or investor ready to bring it back to life. The home features some new electrical wiring, a new hot water heater, and a roof in good shape, giving you a strong start on renovations. The upper level includes a primary bedroom with its own full bath, two additional bedrooms, a living room, and kitchen, while the lower level offers a family room, half bath, and fourth bedroom. Outside, enjoy a quiet flat yard and rear deck in need of repair, offering the opportunity to create a great outdoor space. Conveniently l
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- New hot water heater
- Roof in good shape
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Brick, stucco, and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built with brick, stucco, and vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Lot approximately 0.26 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating
- Interior features: Dining area; Separate formal dining room; Basement (other)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (10.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (16.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#244 in PA, #2,082 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Bethlehem Area SD (urban): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #342 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Freemansburg El Sch (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,221 of 1,518 statewide, top 81%, 347 students, 78% FRL); Northeast Ms (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #385 of 512 statewide, top 76%, 725 students, 75% FRL); Liberty Hs (math 36% / reading 10%, grade F, #382 of 437 statewide, top 87%, 2,640 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 43% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Bethlehem Area SD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.48%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $346,020
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -13.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1047 Monroe St | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,072 (0%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $145 | 94 |
| 1019 Lincoln St | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 2,002 (-3%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $212 | 87 |
| 850 Lincoln St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 2,142 (+3%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $152 | 76 |
| 1231 Fairmount St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 2,016 (-3%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $149 | 53 |
| 821 Karoly St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 2,374 (+15%) | 17mo | $340,000 | $143 | 44 |
| 943 Crawford St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,791 (-14%) | 3mo | $345,000 | $193 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-60,560
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-70,697
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18017
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,494 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$446 /mo · $5,351/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $-173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-4 | -5% $-89 | +0% $-173 | +5% $-258 | +10% $-343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-370 | -5% $-272 | +0% $-173 | +5% $-75 | +10% $24 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-22 | -0.5pp $-97 | base $-173 | +0.5pp $-251 | +1.0pp $-330 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1138 Arcadia St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1802 | $2,095 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 305 S Oak St Unit 305 Freemansburg, PA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2088 | $2,750 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1416 Livingston St Bethlehem, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,147 | $2.14 | 4d | 20 | 0.62mi |
| 440 New St Freemansburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1744 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 822 Elm St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1406 | $2,195 | $1.56 | 16d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 802 Elm St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $2,800 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1214 Maple St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1462 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 316 E Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,145 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 409 E Washington Ave Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $2,645 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 417 Linden St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1699 | $2,450 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1122 E 4th St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1471 2nd St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $3,145 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 239 E Church St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1724 | $2,950 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 314 State St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1654 | $2,650 | $1.60 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1236 E 7th St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1424 | $2,350 | $1.65 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 129 E Goepp St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1648 | $2,600 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2229 Rodgers St Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 328 Carver Dr Unit A Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $2,050 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1057 Decatur St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1773 | $2,650 | $1.49 | 46d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2955 Middletown Rd Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1639 | $2,100 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 42 E Wall St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1474 | $2,550 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-17status Pending 820-char remark
-
2026-05-09$299,900 Active 820-char remark
-
2015-06-30soldstatus $198,500
-
2015-04-13historical
-
2015-04-13historical
-
2015-03-13$199,777 Active
-
2015-03-13$199,777
-
1986-12-01soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,351 · $446/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,351 · $446/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,927
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$5,351
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,394
- − Management
- −$2,394
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$7,236
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,737
- After-tax cash flow
- $-344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethlehem Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,124
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5068
- State rank
- #342 of 539 in PA
Livability — Freemansburg
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #2082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freemansburg, PA
- County
- Northampton County · 236,814 people
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,640
- Household income
- $91,173
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 950.0
Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 312,227 people
- By 2030
- 314,769 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 316,914 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 318,037 · +1.9%
- By 2075
- 334,003 · +7.0%
- By 2100
- 344,696 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Polish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northampton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.92%
- Current HPI
- 203.0358
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+252.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $300,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-17 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $299,900 GLVRMLS
- 2015-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $198,500 Public Records
- 2015-04-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-04-13 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2015-03-13 Listed $199,777 GLVRMLS
- 2015-03-13 Listed $199,777 BRIGHT MLS
- 1986-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $5,351 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…