57 Oakmont St · Prescott, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.6
$89,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICED TO SELL! Fully Remodeled Prescott Retreat | Luxury Vinyl Flooring | Updated Kitchen | Stainless Steel Appliances | Slate Fireplace Wall | Walk In Tile Shower | Covered Parking | Prescott National Forest Access Spectacular fully remodeled hidden gem nestled among towering ponderosa pines in the highly desirable Pine Lakes 55+ community, offering modern finishes, extensive upgrades, and peaceful forest living just minutes from historic downtown Prescott.
Key facts
- Fully remodeled
- Covered parking
- Slate fireplace wall
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.3% in Prescott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
- Prescott Unified District (4466) (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #70 of 249 in AZ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Prescott Mile High Middle School (math 26% / reading 42%, grade F, #67 of 218 statewide, top 31%, 578 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 921 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $620 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.24%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,000
- List price
- $89,700
- Delta
- -42.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 Oakmont St | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (+8%) | 1mo | $129,000 | $113 | 81 |
| 156 Cascade St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (+21%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $121 | 64 |
| 99 Alpine -- | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 976 (-8%) | 25mo | $100,000 | $102 | 61 |
| 51 Oakmont St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+18%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $100 | 60 |
| 186 Oxbow St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-20%) | 4mo | $64,980 | $77 | 58 |
| 107 Alpine St | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+18%) | 13mo | $94,000 | $75 | 56 |
| 73 Oakmont St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+23%) | 15mo | $101,000 | $78 | 54 |
| 1597 Sierry Peaks Dr | 1.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,035 (-2%) | 12mo | $429,000 | $414 | 51 |
| 1746 Timberlane | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,208 (+14%) | 4mo | $499,000 | $413 | 49 |
| 1773 Timberlane -- | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (+17%) | 5mo | $500,000 | $406 | 46 |
| 3310 Iron Springs Rd | 1.02mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (-3%) | 17mo | $400,000 | $391 | 42 |
| 1670 N Arrowhead Dr | 1.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+19%) | 6mo | $449,500 | $357 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $11,157
- Equity at exit
- $13,375
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $35,830
- Equity at exit
- $7,756
Cash invested: $25,116 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active
- Median asking
- $174,900 ($140/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 337 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 86305
- Home prices YoY
- -18.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 921
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,347 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$470
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,346/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $507 | -5% $476 | +0% $445 | +5% $414 | +10% $383 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $338 | -5% $391 | +0% $445 | +5% $498 | +10% $551 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $490 | -0.5pp $467 | base $445 | +0.5pp $421 | +1.0pp $398 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,425
- Closing costs
- $2,691
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Land lease community — monthly land lease payment of $1,198Association fee includes: other (see remarks)Community amenities include pool, community heated spa, tennis courts, pickleball courts, lake, fitness center, and biking/walking paths
Exterior
- Parking
- 1 covered parking space1 open parking space1 carport space
- Utilities
- City waterPublic sewer (connected)
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile homeFee simple ownershipAsphalt road surface
- Construction
- Wood siding and wood frame constructionPainted exteriorComposition roofBuilding area per builder
- Exterior features
- Gravel/stone frontCity and private maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- Laminate countersRefrigeratorDishwasherDisposal
- Bedrooms
- 2 possible bedrooms
- Flooring
- Vinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Has heatingEvaporative cooling
- Interior features
- High-speed internet availableVaulted ceilings3/4 bath in primary bedroomAccessible approach with rampFireplace in family roomStorage
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry inside
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-29days on market $89,700 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $89,700 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $89,700 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $89,700 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $89,700 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $89,700 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,700 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,700 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,700 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,700 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,700 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,700 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,700 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,700 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,700 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,700 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,700 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $89,700 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,700 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,700 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,700 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $94,700 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-01historical
-
2026-03-30$104,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,025
- − Property taxes
- −$1,346
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$2,609
- Taxable income
- $4,155
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$997
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,338/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully remodeled home in Prescott offers modern finishes and peaceful forest living. It is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Resale Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Deck maintenance — A well-maintained deck can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Luxury vinyl flooring is durable and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prescott Unified District (4466)
- NCES district ID
- 0406730
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,354
- Composite
- 33.47/100
- National rank
- #5450
- State rank
- #70 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Yavapai County · 241,389 people
- City population
- 66,312
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,790
- Household income
- $80,436
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.31%
- Current HPI
- 348.5199
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.01%
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-14.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-30 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $89,700 ARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listed $94,700 ARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Listed $104,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…