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394 Fernbrook Ave
C+ Composite 63.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

394 Fernbrook Ave · Birmingham, AL 35215
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1958 10,018 sqft lot Est $124k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath Home features a Formal Dining Room, Formal Living Room, Eat In Kitchen, Covered Patio & Huge Backyard! This house is waiting for an Investor to come in and show it some love. This one wont last long!

Key facts

  • Manageable lot
  • Mature surroundings
  • Practical design

Tags

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMEFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCOMFORTABLE LIVING SPACESPRACTICAL DESIGNMANAGEABLE LOTMATURE SURROUNDINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: CLOVERDALE
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Multi-level parking; Off-street parking; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas water heater; Internet availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing year-built (per listing); 4-sided brick construction; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: 4-sided brick exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Garden/patio area; Interior lot; Not waterfront; No pool; No decks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Two additional bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Tub/shower combo; Linen closet
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional built-in interior features listed; Attic with pull-down access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Martha Gaskins K5 (math 0% / reading 15%, grade F, #598 of 627 statewide, top 96%, 509 students, 87% FRL); Huffman High Schoolmagnet (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,147 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools at 79% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.13%
Cash-on-cash
10.15%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,260
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
405 Sunbrook Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,120 (-2%) 2mo $148,000 $132 89
312 Pine St 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-5%) 1mo $60,000 $56 86
408 Ford Way 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,074 (-6%) 2mo $27,500 $26 77
9809 Maple Ln 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,192 (+5%) 3mo $130,000 $109 67
205 Tucker Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,012 (-11%) 5mo $85,000 $84 64
173 Redstone Way 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,182 (+4%) 2mo $155,000 $131 63
204 Boxwood Cir 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,252 (+10%) 4mo $70,000 $56 62
201 Carol Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,096 (-4%) 2mo $154,000 $141 55
125 Redstone Dr 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,042 (-9%) 3mo $145,000 $139 54
9817 Virginianna Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 989 (-13%) 4mo $125,000 $126 48
328 Pat Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,244 (+9%) 1mo $93,500 $75 47
321 Joan Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,294 (+14%) 2mo $121,000 $94 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-5,375
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$11,584
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
333
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,252 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,277/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $225 +0% $194 +5% $163 +10% $132
Rent -10% $95 -5% $144 +0% $194 +5% $243 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $249 -0.5pp $222 base $194 +0.5pp $165 +1.0pp $136

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
316 Pine St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,100 $0.89 45d 1 0.06mi
252 Meadowdale Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 920 $995 $1.08 45d 1 0.10mi
252 Westwood Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1124 $1,400 $1.25 3d 1 0.14mi
209 Tucker Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,100 $1.05 45d 1 0.26mi
204 McCormick Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 880 $980 $1.11 4d 1 0.27mi
221 Lawson Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1102 $1,325 $1.20 25d 1 0.33mi
957 Hickory Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,195 $0.88 4d 1 0.35mi
9844 Greenlee Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1046 $950 $0.91 45d 1 0.43mi
848 Old Trail Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 930 $925 $0.99 25d 1 0.49mi
208 Sam Pate Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 988 $1,385 $1.40 3d 1 0.51mi
426 Buckingham Cir Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,013 $0.94 45d 1 0.64mi
241 Mamie Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,495 $1.20 4d 1 0.65mi
46 Sunscape Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1178 $1,450 $1.23 45d 1 0.68mi
40 Sunscape Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1283 $1,555 $1.21 3d 1 0.70mi
201 Rose Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 972 $1,100 $1.13 17d 1 0.78mi
945 Elizabeth Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1227 $1,125 $0.92 4d 1 0.80mi
628 Annie Laura Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 844 $1,195 $1.42 45d 1 0.81mi
932 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,175 $0.98 20d 1 0.83mi
217 Killough Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,200 $0.99 16d 1 0.90mi
216 Sanford Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1134 $1,200 $1.06 45d 1 0.94mi
529 Robison Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 960 $960 $1.00 22d 1 0.96mi
912 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1178 $1,100 $0.93 45d 1 0.98mi
832 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,225 $1.00 25d 1 0.98mi
940 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1149 $1,300 $1.13 45d 1 0.98mi
818 Sunset Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,000 $1.01 45d 1 1.04mi
1112 Violet Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1414 $1,600 $1.13 13d 1 1.16mi
603 Camp Ct Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,300 $1.39 45d 1 1.26mi
520 Camellia Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1053 $1,100 $1.04 4d 1 1.27mi
433 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,255 $1.08 17d 1 1.31mi
656 Valley Crest Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1088 $1,350 $1.24 3d 1 1.41mi
726 Orchard Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,095 $0.98 45d 1 1.43mi
8917 Roebuck Blvd Apt 11 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 880 $725 $0.82 17d 1 1.46mi
9228 Brookhurst Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1146 $999 $0.87 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 465-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $109,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,277 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,277 · $106/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,020
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,277
− Insurance
−$1,347
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,202
− Management
−$1,202
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$639
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$153
After-tax cash flow
$2,172/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,903
Household income
$52,793
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
1729.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.97%
Current HPI
215.0607
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $109,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2022-01-14 Sold (MLS) $79,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-01-08 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-01-03 Listed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2007-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $74,400 Public Records
  • 1993-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
  • 1992-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,277 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…