Duplex
25 S Main St · Mechanicville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.2/15.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great investor opportunity. One apartment rented, 2nd unit needs some work to rent, collect while renovating. Seller extremely motivated. Very Good Condition
Key facts
- New plumbing
- Kitchens redone
- New electric
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property; Tenants pay: hot water, heat, internet, cable TV, electricity, gas; Owner pays: trash collection, sewer, water
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service with circuit breakers; Cable available
- Home design: Duplex; Two-story (units on 1st and 2nd floors)
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Rear covered porch; Front porch; Deck; Patio; Privacy and wood fencing plus chain link in backyard; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes a full kitchen
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms (2 on 1st floor); Unit 2: 3 bedrooms (2 on 2nd floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total; One full bath on the 1st floor; One full bath on the 2nd floor
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric and natural gas heating sources; Humidity control
- Interior features: Ceramic-tiled bathrooms; Carpet and laminate flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $88/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (1.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $285k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 1.9% in Mechanicville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#568 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, employment D.
- Mechanicville City School District (rural): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $290k implies a 404% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.61%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $249,486
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Green St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,904 (-2%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $110 | 88 |
| 39 William St | 0.28mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (-4%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $108 | 70 |
| 27 Saratoga Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,013 (+4%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $129 | 63 |
| 221 N 3rd Ave | 0.37mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,132 (+10%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $131 | 59 |
| 220 Saratoga Ave | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,824 (-6%) | 5mo | $259,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 23-25 Leonard St | 0.56mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,080 (+8%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $120 | 49 |
| 58 Mabbett St | 0.28mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (+9%) | 20mo | $287,200 | $137 | 47 |
| 705 Grand St | 0.41mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,106 (+9%) | 22mo | $175,000 | $83 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $169,221
- Equity at exit
- $261,165
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $489,661
- Equity at exit
- $563,212
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12118
- Home prices YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 16.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,853 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$436 /mo · $5,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$599
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,854 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,427 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,427 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,853 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Battery Blvd Mechanicville, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $3,450 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 30 Revere Run Mechanicville, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1997 | $3,450 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $289,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $289,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 159-char remark
-
2026-06-03$289,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,235 · $436/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,235 · $436/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$5,235
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,739
- − Management
- −$2,739
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$2,599
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$624
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,742/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mechanicville City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618900
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,701
- Composite
- 49.33/100
- National rank
- #2021
- State rank
- #270 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mechanicville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #568
- US rank
- #10227
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mechanicville, NY
- County
- Saratoga County · 166,192 people
- City population
- 17,069
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,069
- Household income
- $92,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 552.0
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 8% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.43%
- Current HPI
- 343.9893
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+404.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $289,900 Global MLS
- 2014-02-26 Sold (MLS) $57,500 Global MLS
- 2013-12-13 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2013-12-12 Listed $57,500 Global MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,235 · +144.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…