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210 Timon St
B- Composite 65.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

210 Timon St · Buffalo, NY 14208
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,519 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1900 3,900 sqft lot $82/sqft · 8% above area Est $116k · 8% over ↓ 46% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this 1,519 sq. ft. single-family home — a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike! This spacious property offers plenty of potential with three bedrooms, 1.5 baths, generous living areas, and room to customize to your taste. Located in a convenient Buffalo neighborhood, you’ll be close to shopping, schools, and public transportation. Whether you’re looking for a place to call home or an income-producing rental property, this home is worth a look. This property could be sold in conjunction with 121 Hagen Street (B1668047), 315 Cornwall Avenue (B1668090), and 129 Roma Avenue (B1668155).

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Single-family home
  • Close to shopping

Tags

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMEGENEROUS LIVING AREASCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $587 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,836/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 723% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $113,750 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.93%
Cash-on-cash
20.12%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,208
List price
$125,000
Delta
7.57%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32 Roehrer Ave 0.10mi 4/2.0 1,661 (+9%) 15mo $60,000 $36 67
59 Landon St 0.27mi 4/1.0 1,424 (-6%) 15mo $76,500 $54 61
113 Laurel St 0.58mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,544 (+2%) 2mo $163,000 $106 60
40 Edna Pl 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,507 (-1%) 13mo $182,500 $121 55
91 Southampton St 0.57mi 4/1.0 1,590 (+5%) 13mo $254,400 $160 51
162 Rose St 0.43mi 4/1.5 1,336 (-12%) 11mo $201,000 $150 49
204 Reed St 0.68mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,581 (+4%) 10mo $144,000 $91 48
23 Cayuga St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,638 (+8%) 9mo $83,000 $51 48
246 Strauss St 0.65mi 4/1.5 1,608 (+6%) 13mo $100,000 $62 47
255 Reed St 0.63mi 4/1.0 1,294 (-15%) 6mo $125,000 $97 37
71 Chester St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (-14%) 2mo $250,000 $192 34
76 Dupont St 0.52mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,746 (+15%) 10mo $200,500 $115 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$17,143
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$63,162
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14208

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,836 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$587

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $673 -5% $630 +0% $587 +5% $544 +10% $500
Rent -10% $442 -5% $514 +0% $587 +5% $659 +10% $732
Rate -1.0pp $650 -0.5pp $619 base $587 +0.5pp $554 +1.0pp $521

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 24d 1 0.67mi
76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 15d 1 0.74mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 15d 1 0.76mi
73 Inter Park Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2080 $1,300 $0.62 15d 1 0.81mi
179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 4d 1 0.90mi
563 Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2004 $1,200 $0.60 24d 1 0.99mi
102 Florida St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,650 $1.27 45d 1 1.04mi
44 N Pearl St #5 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,400 $2.00 45d 1 1.24mi
17 N Pearl St Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1197 $3,100 $2.59 24d 1 1.25mi
238 Oxford Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 24d 1 1.31mi
517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1559 $1,800 $1.15 20d 1 1.45mi
118 Ashland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1326 $1,850 $1.40 15d 1 1.48mi
330 Bryant St Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 2224 $2,200 $0.99 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-03-20
    listed $125,000 Active 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Check out this 1,519 sq. ft. single-family home — a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike! This spacious property offers plenty of potential with three bedrooms, 1.5 baths, generous living areas, and room to customize to your taste. Located in a convenient Buffalo neighborhood, you’ll be close to shopping, schools, and public transportation. Whether you’re looking for a place to call home or an income-producing rental property, this home is worth a look. This property could be sold in conjunction with 121 Hagen Street (B1668047), 315 Cornwall Avenue (B1668090), and 129 Roma Avenue (B1668155).

  17. 2026-03-20
    historical
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Check out this 1,519 sq. ft. single-family home — a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike! This spacious property offers plenty of potential with three bedrooms, 1.5 baths, generous living areas, and room to customize to your taste. Located in a convenient Buffalo neighborhood, you’ll be close to shopping, schools, and public transportation. Whether you’re looking for a place to call home or an income-producing rental property, this home is worth a look. This property could be sold in conjunction with 121 Hagen Street (B1668047), 315 Cornwall Avenue (B1668090), and 129 Roma Avenue (B1668155).

  18. 2025-09-17
    listed $129,900 Active
  19. 2022-04-20
    historical
  20. 2022-03-10
    listed $74,900 Active
  21. 2013-05-15
    soldstatus $230,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,035
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,763
− Management
−$1,763
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,371
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,289
After-tax cash flow
$5,752/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,572
Household income
$48,476
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
723.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 15% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Hispanic 0%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.37%
Current HPI
459.2084
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-45.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $125,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-17 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-04-20 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2022-03-10 Listed $74,900 WNYREIS
  • 2013-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $230 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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