14 Catherine Ct · Milford, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$599,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS take notice!! Large cape with expansion possibilities. This house main floor offers an open concept living room, dining room kitchen area. On this level you'll also find 2 good size bedrooms and 2 full baths. On the 2nd floor there's a large room that can be perfect for a 3rd bedroom or study room. This property is just minutes from Morningside Beach. The house sits on .20 of an acre and has a beautiful level back yard with deck. House also offers central air and a 2 car garage. Please NOTE home won't pass traditional lending. Please submit your clients best offers by Saturday 8/23 at 5 p.m.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Stunning kitchen
- Tile backsplash
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2-car); Paved surfaces and off-street parking for a total of 5 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family home; Light blue exterior
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block and concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Partial and privacy fencing; Level yard; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating (oil-fired), fuel tank located in basement; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Foyer; Mud room; Full, fully finished heated basement with interior and hatchway access (livable space)
- Laundry & utility: Designated laundry area in the hallway on the main level; Electric domestic hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $600k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-760 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $466k (22.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $404k (32.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $404k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Milford School District (urban): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #73 of 153 in CT (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Orchard Hills School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #256 of 553 statewide, top 48%, 347 students, 22% FRL); East Shore Middle School (math 43% / reading 56%, grade C, #79 of 175 statewide, top 45%, 382 students, 23% FRL); Joseph A. Foran High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #52 of 194 statewide, top 31%, 765 students, 26% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,041/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($104k/yr) (locally 1254% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($582k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $375k; list at $600k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.43%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $633,492
- List price
- $599,900
- Delta
- -5.30%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Catherine Ct | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,638 (0%) | 9mo | $375,000 | $229 | 93 |
| 8 Parkland Pl | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,691 (+3%) | 0mo | $881,000 | $521 | 70 |
| 12 Nolan Ter | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,709 (+4%) | 1mo | $612,000 | $358 | 68 |
| 22 Hillside Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 | 1,608 (-2%) | 6mo | $578,000 | $359 | 68 |
| 16 Point Beach Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,605 (-2%) | 6mo | $775,000 | $483 | 54 |
| 38 Elaine Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,790 (+9%) | 2mo | $750,000 | $419 | 53 |
| 51 Point Beach Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (-6%) | 2mo | $980,000 | $638 | 53 |
| 25 Summer Pl | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,540 (-6%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $276 | 46 |
| 26 Highview Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,458 (-11%) | 0mo | $400,000 | $274 | 46 |
| 44 Beachland Ave | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+10%) | 3mo | $830,000 | $461 | 45 |
| 723 Buckingham Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,521 (-7%) | 11mo | $480,000 | $316 | 38 |
| 119 Melba St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,402 (-14%) | 4mo | $595,000 | $424 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-148,922
- Equity at exit
- $89,447
- IRR
- -26.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.22×
- Total profit
- $-205,411
- Equity at exit
- $51,868
Cash invested: $167,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06460
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,041 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,146
- Tax from tax record
- −$556 /mo · $6,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$250
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$849
- Net cashflow
- $-760
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-420 | -5% $-590 | +0% $-760 | +5% $-930 | +10% $-1,099 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,079 | -5% $-919 | +0% $-760 | +5% $-600 | +10% $-440 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-458 | -0.5pp $-607 | base $-760 | +0.5pp $-915 | +1.0pp $-1,073 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $149,975
- Closing costs
- $17,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Hillside Ave #43 Milford, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1714 | $6,995 | $4.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 59 Melba St Milford, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1186 | $3,500 | $2.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15 Merwin Ave Milford, CT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1675 | $4,750 | $2.84 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 44 Warren St Milford, CT | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1816 | $4,500 | $2.48 | 46d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 54 Milesfield Ave Milford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,000 | $1.89 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 18 Field Ct Milford, CT | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1854 | $6,000 | $3.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 32 Lawrence Ave Milford, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $3,200 | $2.86 | 5d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 140 Beach Ave Unit 2 Milford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $2,600 | $2.37 | 46d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 158 Chapel St Unit 2 Milford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1213 | $1,945 | $1.60 | 46d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 23 Village Rd Milford, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1058 | $3,100 | $2.93 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $599,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $599,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $599,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $599,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $599,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $599,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $599,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $599,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $599,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $599,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $599,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $599,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $599,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $599,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $599,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-08$599,900 Active 1504-char remark
-
2025-09-30soldstatus $375,000 Closed 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
INVESTORS take notice!! Large cape with expansion possibilities. This house main floor offers an open concept living room, dining room kitchen area. On this level you'll also find 2 good size bedrooms and 2 full baths. On the 2nd floor there's a large room that can be perfect for a 3rd bedroom or study room. This property is just minutes from Morningside Beach. The house sits on .20 of an acre and has a beautiful level back yard with deck. House also offers central air and a 2 car garage. Please NOTE home won't pass traditional lending. Please submit your clients best offers by Saturday 8/23 at 5 p.m.
-
2025-08-27status Under Contract 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
INVESTORS take notice!! Large cape with expansion possibilities. This house main floor offers an open concept living room, dining room kitchen area. On this level you'll also find 2 good size bedrooms and 2 full baths. On the 2nd floor there's a large room that can be perfect for a 3rd bedroom or study room. This property is just minutes from Morningside Beach. The house sits on .20 of an acre and has a beautiful level back yard with deck. House also offers central air and a 2 car garage. Please NOTE home won't pass traditional lending. Please submit your clients best offers by Saturday 8/23 at 5 p.m.
-
2025-08-18$375,000 Active 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
INVESTORS take notice!! Large cape with expansion possibilities. This house main floor offers an open concept living room, dining room kitchen area. On this level you'll also find 2 good size bedrooms and 2 full baths. On the 2nd floor there's a large room that can be perfect for a 3rd bedroom or study room. This property is just minutes from Morningside Beach. The house sits on .20 of an acre and has a beautiful level back yard with deck. House also offers central air and a 2 car garage. Please NOTE home won't pass traditional lending. Please submit your clients best offers by Saturday 8/23 at 5 p.m.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,675 · $556/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,756 · $813/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,081/yr (+$257/mo · 46.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,492
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,604
- − Property taxes
- −$6,675
- − Insurance
- −$3,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,879
- − Management
- −$3,879
- − Depreciation
- −$17,452
- Taxable loss
- −$19,996
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,799
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milford School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902520
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,198
- Composite
- 46.45/100
- National rank
- #2444
- State rank
- #73 of 153 in CT
Livability — Milford
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milford city (balance), CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 52,684
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,649
- Household income
- $104,360
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1254.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -396.40%
- Current HPI
- 287.7738
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.19%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+60.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-21 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $599,900 Smart MLS
- 2025-09-30 Sold (MLS) $375,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-08-27 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-08-18 Listed $375,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2023): $6,675 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…