3173 Oak Forest Dr · Jackson, MS 39212

$64,500

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1956 0.33 ac lot Est $67k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +9.2/15.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Rent-ready turnkey investment opportunity. Property has been fully prepped and is ready to lease — start generating cash flow immediately upon closing. Showing Requirements:

Key facts

• 0.33 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 1956

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (1 space)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
• Home design: Single-family residence, house; One story; Living area reported from public records
• Construction: Siding exterior; Conventional foundation; Year built reported from public records
• Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Lot about 0.33 acre

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
• Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
• Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Oak Forest Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 318 students, 100% FRL); Peeples Middle School (math 11% / reading 15%, grade F, #141 of 179 statewide, top 79%, 298 students, 100% FRL); Wingfield High School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 608 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $446 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 11% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $64,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.91% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.83%
• Cash-on-cash: 34.08%
• DSCR: 2.52
• GRM: 4.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $66,960
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1219 Woody Dr	0.21mi	3/1.0	1,058 (-2%)	5mo	$67,000	$63	83
2943 Lakewood Dr	0.47mi	3/1.0	1,090 (+1%)	6mo	$54,900	$50	71
1539 Woodburn St	0.53mi	3/1.0	1,043 (-3%)	5mo	$90,000	$86	65
1340 Woody Dr	0.31mi	3/1.0	1,208 (+12%)	1mo	$59,900	$50	65
2842 Teresa Dr	0.53mi	3/1.0	1,008 (-7%)	2mo	$35,000	$35	63
2877 Teresa Dr	0.46mi	3/1.5	1,006 (-7%)	4mo	$105,000	$104	62
2920 Lakewood Dr	0.50mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,125 (+4%)	1mo	$69,900	$62	60
1062 Westway St	0.74mi	3/1.5	1,066 (-1%)	2mo	$119,500	$112	60
3333 Rosemary Ave	0.24mi	3/1.5	1,241 (+15%)	5mo	$63,000	$51	58
702 Cooper Rd	0.31mi	3/1.0	1,241 (+15%)	4mo	$91,000	$73	57
1010 Deryll St	0.64mi	3/2.0	1,143 (+6%)	3mo	$49,900	$44	54
1026 Branch St	0.62mi	3/2.0	1,236 (+14%)	3mo	$55,000	$44	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 30.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.32×
• Total profit: $23,779
• Equity at exit: $9,617

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.8%
• Equity multiple: 4.84×
• Total profit: $69,354
• Equity at exit: $5,577

Cash invested: $18,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39212

• Home prices YoY: -11.7%
• Rents YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 302
• Price-to-rent: 4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,229 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$338
• Tax from tax record: −$93 /mo · $1,120/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$258
• Net cashflow: $513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $580

Max offer price $64,500

Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,125
• Closing costs: $1,935
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 35 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1280	$1,236	$0.97	44d	1	0.05mi
3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1421	$1,100	$0.77	44d	1	0.12mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1474	$1,306	$0.89	14d	1	0.14mi
1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1058	$1,150	$1.09	23d	1	0.23mi
3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1200	$975	$0.81	44d	1	0.28mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,100	$0.92	14d	1	0.29mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1200	$1,100	$0.92	44d	1	0.29mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1300	$950	$0.73	44d	1	0.37mi
3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1104	$1,150	$1.04	21d	1	0.41mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,100	$1.00	44d	1	0.47mi
3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1200	$1,100	$0.92	14d	1	0.57mi
1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1143	$1,050	$0.92	14d	1	0.65mi
3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1225	$1,426	$1.16	14d	1	0.66mi
1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1056	$900	$0.85	23d	1	0.66mi
103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1500	$1,250	$0.83	44d	1	0.72mi
1054 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1132	$1,050	$0.93	14d	1	0.74mi
422 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1049	$1,426	$1.36	23d	1	0.77mi
2786 Brookwood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1003	$1,100	$1.10	44d	1	0.82mi
427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1308	$1,200	$0.92	14d	1	0.83mi
3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	1.0	1292	$1,225	$0.95	44d	1	0.84mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1343	$1,000	$0.74	44d	1	0.84mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1343	$1,000	$0.74	14d	1	0.84mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,200	$1.07	14d	1	1.00mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,200	$1.07	23d	1	1.00mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1185	$1,250	$1.05	14d	1	1.01mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1185	$1,250	$1.05	44d	1	1.01mi
2858 Fairhill Dr Jackson, MS	2.0	1.0	900	$825	$0.92	44d	1	1.05mi
267 Woody Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1165	$1,100	$0.94	44d	1	1.08mi
270 Wildwood Ct Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,200	$1.00	21d	1	1.15mi
843 Reaves St Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1408	$1,084	$0.77	44d	1	1.21mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1500	$1,475	$0.98	23d	1	1.26mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1500	$1,475	$0.98	14d	1	1.26mi
201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS	2.0	1.0	1182	$950	$0.80	23d	1	1.29mi
201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS	2.0	1.0	1182	$950	$0.80	14d	1	1.29mi
156 McCluer Rd Apt A Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1125	$1,300	$1.16	21d	1	1.37mi

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-05-19
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-18
   status Active
3. 2026-05-18
   price $64,500
4. 2026-05-14
   status Pending
5. 2026-05-14
   listed $58,000 Active
6. 2000-10-06
   soldstatus
7. 1986-07-15
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,120 · $93/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,120 · $93/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,754
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,613
• − Property taxes: −$1,120
• − Insurance: −$322
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,180
• − Management: −$1,180
• − Depreciation: −$1,876
• Taxable income: $5,462
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,311
• After-tax cash flow: $4,844/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jackson Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2802190
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $33,234
• Composite: 10.89/100
• National rank: #9755
• State rank: #112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #66
• US rank: #9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jackson, MS
• County: Hinds County · 167,040 people
• City population: 140,204
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• Population (ZIP): 25,659
• Household income: $50,722
• Rent vs Own: 37.8% rent · 62.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 242,528 people
• By 2030: 241,113 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 235,557 · -2.9%
• By 2050: 226,946 · -6.4%
• By 2075: 199,995 · -17.5%
• By 2100: 164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -23.01%
• Current HPI: 174.4025
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.23%
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+11.2% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Pending — MLSU
• 2026-05-18 Relisted — MLSU
• 2026-05-18 Price Changed $64,500 MLSU
• 2026-05-14 Pending — MLSU
• 2026-05-14 Listed $58,000 MLSU
• 2000-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1986-07-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,120 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.