Triplex
1412 W Agency Ave · Parker, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 116°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$449,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Income Property! Buy as a Primary, live in one and keep the other two rented or buy as an investment! Rare Triplex in the Town of Parker is up for sale. Great Income and all three units are occupied. All three kitchens and bathrooms were updated in 2019. Each unit has its own fenced in area off of the Master Bedroom through a sliding glass door. If you're looking for an investment here is your opportunity! Call today to schedule a viewing.
Key facts
- Fenced in area
- Three kitchens
- Rare triplex
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $449k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $495/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $449k).
- Recommended offer: $395k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#25 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Parker Unified School District (4510) (town): math 18% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #200 of 249 in AZ (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($395k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $449k implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.17%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,122
- List price
- $449,000
- Delta
- 60.86%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1412 1414 1416 14th St St | 0.31mi | —/— | 2,700 (+12%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $85 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $21,578
- Equity at exit
- $66,947
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $139,733
- Equity at exit
- $38,821
Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85344
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 21.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,251 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,355
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,103
- Net cashflow
- $1,484
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $5,250 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,750 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,750 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,750 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,251 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,250
- Closing costs
- $13,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $449,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $449,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $449,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $449,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $449,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $449,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $449,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $449,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $449,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $449,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $449,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $449,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $449,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $449,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $449,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $449,000 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Income Property! Buy as a Primary, live in one and keep the other two rented or buy as an investment! Rare Triplex in the Town of Parker is up for sale. Great Income and all three units are occupied. All three kitchens and bathrooms were updated in 2019. Each unit has its own fenced in area off of the Master Bedroom through a sliding glass door. If you're looking for an investment here is your opportunity! Call today to schedule a viewing.
-
2026-01-19$471,000 Active 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
Income Property! Buy as a Primary, live in one and keep the other two rented or buy as an investment! Rare Triplex in the Town of Parker is up for sale. Great Income and all three units are occupied. All three kitchens and bathrooms were updated in 2019. Each unit has its own fenced in area off of the Master Bedroom through a sliding glass door. If you're looking for an investment here is your opportunity! Call today to schedule a viewing.
-
2025-08-28price $484,000
-
2025-07-28$495,000 Active
-
2023-08-27status Active
-
2023-08-16historical
-
2023-08-14price $569,000
-
2023-07-30$579,000 Active
-
2019-10-04soldstatus $150,000
-
2019-03-26$249,000
-
2002-01-25soldstatus $143,000
-
1998-03-20soldstatus $109,500
-
1989-11-21soldstatus $88,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,470 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,963 · $247/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,494/yr (+$124/mo · 101.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥116°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,151
- − Property taxes
- −$1,470
- − Insurance
- −$2,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,041
- − Management
- −$5,041
- − Depreciation
- −$13,062
- Taxable income
- $11,003
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parker Unified School District (4510)
- NCES district ID
- 0405980
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,354
- Composite
- 14.76/100
- National rank
- #9392
- State rank
- #200 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Parker
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #25
- US rank
- #5667
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parker, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,069
Population outlook (La Paz County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,409 people
- By 2030
- 17,592 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 16,600 · -9.8%
- By 2050
- 16,328 · -11.3%
- By 2075
- 17,075 · -7.2%
- By 2100
- 17,042 · -7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 34% Native American 23% Two or more races 19% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · La Paz
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -44.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.2 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.38%
- Current HPI
- 198.2271
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+410.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $449,000 LHAR
- 2026-01-19 Listed $471,000 LHAR
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $484,000 LHAR
- 2025-07-28 Listed $495,000 LHAR
- 2023-08-27 Relisted — LHAR
- 2023-08-16 Delisted — LHAR
- 2023-08-14 Price Changed $569,000 LHAR
- 2023-07-30 Listed $579,000 LHAR
- 2019-10-04 Sold (MLS) $150,000 YAR
- 2019-03-26 Listed $249,000 YAR
- 2002-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $109,500 Public Records
- 1989-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,470 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…