1034 S 14th St · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Opportunity in Midtown Lincoln! This two-story property offers a solid foundation for a full renovation project. Featuring a classic front porch, tall ceilings, original woodwork, and a detached garage, the home provides strong bones and flexible potential. The foundation was redone within the past year, and the HVAC, plumbing, and electrical systems are functional. The interior requires a complete cosmetic rehab. Current layout allows for continued use as a duplex or conversion back to a single-family residence. Ideal for experienced investors, flippers, or buyers seeking a full renovation project. Property is being sold AS-IS with no repairs by the seller.
Key facts
- Tall ceilings
- Front porch
- Solid foundation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,230/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 1882% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $130k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.58%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,687
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -40.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
9.31% appreciation · 1.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $70,053
- Equity at exit
- $110,659
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.40×
- Total profit
- $196,393
- Equity at exit
- $232,090
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68508
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,230 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,527/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $182 | -5% $145 | +0% $109 | +5% $72 | +10% $35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $12 | -5% $60 | +0% $109 | +5% $157 | +10% $206 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $174 | -0.5pp $142 | base $109 | +0.5pp $75 | +1.0pp $41 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1341 D St Unit 1 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1020 S 13th St Unit 421 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1020 S 13th St Unit 418 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,225 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1101 D St Unit A5 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 947 | $825 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1422 A St Unit 6 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $895 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1730 B St Apt 2 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $950 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 920 E St Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,750 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1446 S 11th St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1618 S 14th St Apt 3 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1618 S 14th St Apt 2 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1905 G St Unit 1 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $960 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 835 A St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 420 S 18th St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $1,499 | $1.51 | 14d | 8 | 0.57mi |
| 1900 K St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,630 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 300 S 16th St Apt 301 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1735 M St Unit 1737 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1047 | $875 | $0.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2209 D St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $914 | $1.20 | 14d | 3 | 0.64mi |
| 1560 S 20th St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1736 Euclid Ave Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $850 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1929 Sumner St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,575 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1320 N St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,475 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2224 A St #1 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,099 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2335 B St Unit 5 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $875 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 126 N 16th St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 891 | $1,630 | $1.83 | 21d | 4 | 0.79mi |
| 1708 S 6th St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1550 S 23rd St Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,495 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2068 S 18th St Unit 1 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,295 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 129 N 10th St Lincoln, NE | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1273 | $2,290 | $1.80 | 21d | 4 | 0.87mi |
| 2039 Q St Unit 103 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2039 Q St Unit 102 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2612 J St Unit 4 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,235 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2428 S 18th St Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1782 | $1,295 | $0.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 861 S 29th St Unit 865 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $795 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2616 South St Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $1,995 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2608 Q St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $1,550 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2800 P St Unit 5 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $995 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2457 S 27th St Unit B Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2417 Vine St #1 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2800 R St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 973 | $945 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2904 Q St Unit 2906 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,458 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-01-03$130,000 New 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Investor Opportunity in Midtown Lincoln! This two-story property offers a solid foundation for a full renovation project. Featuring a classic front porch, tall ceilings, original woodwork, and a detached garage, the home provides strong bones and flexible potential. The foundation was redone within the past year, and the HVAC, plumbing, and electrical systems are functional. The interior requires a complete cosmetic rehab. Current layout allows for continued use as a duplex or conversion back to a single-family residence. Ideal for experienced investors, flippers, or buyers seeking a full renovation project. Property is being sold AS-IS with no repairs by the seller.
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-07-23price $140,000
-
2025-06-22$150,000 New
-
2024-06-20soldstatus $68,000
-
2024-06-19soldstatus $68,000 Sold
-
2024-06-07status Pending
-
2024-06-05$79,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,527 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,249 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- +$722/yr (+$60/mo · 47.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,527
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,181
- − Management
- −$1,181
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$841
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$202
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,163
- Household income
- $31,191
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1882.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.31%
- Current HPI
- 238.2553
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.69%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+64.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-03 Listed $130,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $140,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-06-22 Listed $150,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-19 Sold (MLS) $68,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-06-07 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2024-06-05 Listed $79,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,527 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…