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4867 W Succulent St
F Composite 28.05
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$542,670

4867 W Succulent St · Fayetteville, AR 72704
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,639 sqft · SingleFamily · 86 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 9,147 sqft lot Garage $206/sqft · at area comps Est $554k · at est. $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The property is located at 4867 W Succulent St FAYETTEVILLE AR 72704 priced at 542670, the square foot and stories are 2639, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 3 garages. For more details please, call or email.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Open kitchen
  • Tile backsplash

Tags

OPEN KITCHENMODERN ELECTRIC FIREPLACEQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHGAS RANGELVP THROUGHOUT FIRST FLOOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $543k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-21k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (47.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (52.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (52.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 3.6% in Fayetteville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#3 in AR, #871 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-.
  • Fayetteville School District (urban): math 50% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #19 of 238 in AR (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Holcomb Elementary School (math 65% / reading 52%, grade B-, #45 of 454 statewide, top 10%, 643 students, 31% FRL); Ramay Junior High School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #102 of 201 statewide, top 52%, 645 students, 54% FRL); Fayetteville High School East (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D-, #24 of 292 statewide, top 9%, 2,685 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 731 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,494 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (1,497 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($510k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $256,564 (52.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.47%
Cap rate
2.37%
Cash-on-cash
-14.01%
DSCR
0.38
GRM
17.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$553,586
List price
$542,670
Delta
-1.97%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4785 W Allium St 0.10mi 4/3.0 2,435 (-8%) 0mo $509,500 $209 83
2823 N Grey Squirrel Dr 0.43mi 4/3.0 2,670 (+1%) 2mo $500,000 $187 76
2825 N Chapel Dr 0.43mi 4/3.0 2,670 (+1%) 3mo $560,600 $210 76
2822 N Grey Squirrel Dr 0.43mi 4/3.0 2,670 (+1%) 4mo $534,000 $200 75
4770 W Allium St 0.09mi 4/3.0 2,264 (-14%) 0mo $470,886 $208 72
4784 W Allium St 0.08mi 4/3.0 2,264 (-14%) 1mo $464,000 $205 72
2811 N Grey Squirrel Dr 0.41mi 4/3.0 2,515 (-5%) 2mo $515,000 $205 71
4636 W Bittersweet Dr 0.44mi 4/3.0 2,473 (-6%) 0mo $560,000 $226 69
4280 W Water Lilly Ct 0.53mi 4/2.5 2,600 (-2%) 3mo $625,000 $240 68
2885 N Chapel Dr 0.51mi 4/3.0 2,465 (-7%) 3mo $490,000 $199 62
2393 N Waterway Dr 0.67mi 4/3.0 2,523 (-4%) 3mo $504,000 $200 59
1986 N Bridgeport Dr 0.67mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,938 (+11%) 2mo $555,000 $189 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-43.7%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-202,941
Equity at exit
$80,914
10-year hold
IRR
-83.0%
Equity multiple
-1.17×
Total profit
$-330,452
Equity at exit
$46,920

Cash invested: $151,948 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
36 active · 33 under contract
Months of supply
8.6 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$514,000 ($212/sqft)
Median days on market
79 d
This list price
86% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-1.0% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 72704

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
731
Price-to-rent
17.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,566 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,846
Tax est. 1.5%
$678 /mo · $8,140/yr
Insurance
$226
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$539
Net cashflow
$-1,773

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,810
Max offer price $286,054
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,398 -5% $-1,586 +0% $-1,773 +5% $-1,961 +10% $-2,148
Rent -10% $-1,976 -5% $-1,875 +0% $-1,773 +5% $-1,672 +10% $-1,571
Rate -1.0pp $-1,500 -0.5pp $-1,635 base $-1,773 +0.5pp $-1,914 +1.0pp $-2,057

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$135,668
Closing costs
$16,280
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2579 N Snowball Dr Fayetteville, AR 4.0 2.0 1788 $2,250 $1.26 93d 1 0.35mi
2351 N Hosta Dr Unit 1221812P Fayetteville, AR 4.0 2.5 3207 $18,386 $5.73 70d 1 0.43mi
4359 W New Bridge Rd Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.0 2136 $2,300 $1.08 62d 1 0.75mi
2332 N Hidden Creek Dr Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.5 2289 $2,500 $1.09 93d 1 0.77mi
4747 W Mayflower Ct Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.0 2012 $1,950 $0.97 15d 1 0.81mi
2492 N Surtees Pl Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.0 1773 $2,000 $1.13 63d 1 1.02mi
1299 N Sicily Ln Fayetteville, AR 3.0 3.5 2062 $2,500 $1.21 62d 1 1.26mi
1225 N Sicily Ln Unit 1227 Fayetteville, AR 4.0 4.5 2000 $2,700 $1.35 62d 1 1.32mi
4133 W Santa Maria Ln Fayetteville, AR 3.0 3.5 1842 $2,100 $1.14 63d 1 1.35mi
1275 N Rupple Rd Fayetteville, AR 3.0 3.5 3406 $4,800 $1.41 93d 1 1.37mi
4073 W Santa Maria Ln Fayetteville, AR 4.0 4.5 2004 $3,000 $1.50 93d 1 1.37mi
4071 W Santa Maria Ln Fayetteville, AR 4.0 4.5 2004 $3,000 $1.50 63d 1 1.37mi
4110 W Sardinia Way Fayetteville, AR 3.0 2.5 1842 $2,250 $1.22 93d 1 1.38mi
3219 W Thornbrook St Fayetteville, AR 4.0 2.0 1846 $2,150 $1.16 72d 1 1.43mi
952 N Queen Annes Lace Dr Fayetteville, AR 4.0 2.0 1905 $2,400 $1.26 93d 1 1.46mi
952 N Queen Annes Lace Dr Fayetteville, AR 4.0 2.0 1905 $2,250 $1.18 15d 1 1.46mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Homeowners association (annual fee $600)Association management includedCommunity playground and park

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage with garage door opener3 covered parking spaces
Security
Smoke detector(s)
Utilities
Electricity availableNatural gas availablePublic waterSewer available
Home design
2-story new constructionArchitectural shingle roofEntry level: Main
Construction
Brick constructionSee remarks for additional materialsSlab foundationNew construction
Exterior features
Covered patioConcrete drivewayCommunity poolSubdivision lotPaved public road frontageSmoke detectors

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherGas rangeMicrowaveDisposalPlumbed for ice makerElectric water heater
Bedrooms
Main-level bedroomSecond-level bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetLuxury vinyl plank
Bathrooms
3 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Gas heatingCentral electric air conditioning
Interior features
Ceiling fansPantryProgrammable thermostatQuartz counters
Laundry & utility
Washer hookupDryer hookup

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $542,670 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $542,670 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $542,670 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $542,670 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $542,670 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $542,670 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $542,670 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $542,670 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $542,670 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $542,670 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $542,670 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $542,670 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $542,670 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $542,670 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $542,670 Active 68 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $542,670 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $542,670 Active 63 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $542,670 Active 62 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $542,670 Active 61 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $542,670 Active 60 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $542,670 Active 59 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $542,670 Active 58 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $542,670 Active 57 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $542,670 Active 56 DOM
  25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $542,670 Active 55 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $542,670 Active 54 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $542,670 Active 53 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $542,670 Active 52 DOM
  29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $542,670 Active 51 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $542,670 Active 50 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $542,670 Active 49 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $542,670 Active 48 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $542,670 Active 47 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $542,670 Active 46 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $542,670 Active 45 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $542,670 Active 44 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $542,670 Active 43 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $542,670 Active 41 DOM
  39. 2026-06-23
    days on market $542,670 Active 39 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $542,670 Active 38 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $542,670 Active 35 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $542,670 Active 34 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $542,670 Active 33 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $542,670 Active 32 DOM
  45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $542,670 Active 30 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $542,670 Active 29 DOM
  47. 2026-06-10
    days on market $542,670 Active 27 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $542,670 Active 26 DOM
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    The property is located at 4867 W Succulent St FAYETTEVILLE AR 72704 priced at 542670, the square foot and stories are 2639, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 3 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  49. 2026-06-09
    price $542,670 Active 25 DOM
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    The property is located at 4867 W Succulent St FAYETTEVILLE AR 72704 priced at 542670, the square foot and stories are 2639, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 3 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  50. 2026-06-08
    days on market $537,670 Active 25 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,788
− Mortgage interest
−$30,398
− Property taxes
−$8,140
− Insurance
−$2,713
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,463
− Management
−$2,463
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$15,787
Taxable loss
−$31,776
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$7,626
After-tax cash flow
$-13,655/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 22 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This two-story home in Hughmount South, Fayetteville, AR, is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a spacious layout. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and hardwood flooring to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
  • Resale Replace carpet with hardwood flooring in the upstairs bedrooms and common areas — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase property value
  • Both Install smart home automation system — Enhances convenience and can increase property value for both resale and rental
F Composite school gradezoned avg 48/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Holcomb Elementary School B- AR #45/454 Nat'l #8,158/41,679 Middle Ramay Junior High School F AR #102/201 Nat'l #6,362/14,009 High Fayetteville High School East D- AR #24/292 Nat'l #6,744/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayetteville School District
NCES district ID
0506120
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,595
Composite
41.39/100
National rank
#3477
State rank
#19 of 238 in AR
A Composite livability gradescore 83/100

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
83/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#871

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, AR
County
Washington County · 271,748 people
City population
118,228
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
32,497
Household income
$96,014
Rent vs Own
34.5% rent · 65.5% own
Severe rent burden
5% of renters

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,748 people
By 2030
296,414 · +9.1%
By 2040
346,874 · +27.6%
By 2050
398,552 · +46.7%
By 2075
523,309 · +92.6%
By 2100
615,280 · +126.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.1% · R 51.7% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -6.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.7 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $542,670 Zillow
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $542,670 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $537,670 Zillow
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $537,670 NWARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…