4867 W Succulent St · Fayetteville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Cash flow +2.9/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$542,670
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The property is located at 4867 W Succulent St FAYETTEVILLE AR 72704 priced at 542670, the square foot and stories are 2639, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 3 garages. For more details please, call or email.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Open kitchen
- Tile backsplash
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $543k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-21k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (47.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (52.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (52.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 3.6% in Fayetteville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#3 in AR, #871 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-.
- Fayetteville School District (urban): math 50% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #19 of 238 in AR (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Holcomb Elementary School (math 65% / reading 52%, grade B-, #45 of 454 statewide, top 10%, 643 students, 31% FRL); Ramay Junior High School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #102 of 201 statewide, top 52%, 645 students, 54% FRL); Fayetteville High School East (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D-, #24 of 292 statewide, top 9%, 2,685 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 731 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,494 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (1,497 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($510k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.47% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -14.01%
- DSCR
- 0.38
- GRM
- 17.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $553,586
- List price
- $542,670
- Delta
- -1.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4785 W Allium St | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,435 (-8%) | 0mo | $509,500 | $209 | 83 |
| 2823 N Grey Squirrel Dr | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 2,670 (+1%) | 2mo | $500,000 | $187 | 76 |
| 2825 N Chapel Dr | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 2,670 (+1%) | 3mo | $560,600 | $210 | 76 |
| 2822 N Grey Squirrel Dr | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 2,670 (+1%) | 4mo | $534,000 | $200 | 75 |
| 4770 W Allium St | 0.09mi | 4/3.0 | 2,264 (-14%) | 0mo | $470,886 | $208 | 72 |
| 4784 W Allium St | 0.08mi | 4/3.0 | 2,264 (-14%) | 1mo | $464,000 | $205 | 72 |
| 2811 N Grey Squirrel Dr | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 | 2,515 (-5%) | 2mo | $515,000 | $205 | 71 |
| 4636 W Bittersweet Dr | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 | 2,473 (-6%) | 0mo | $560,000 | $226 | 69 |
| 4280 W Water Lilly Ct | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,600 (-2%) | 3mo | $625,000 | $240 | 68 |
| 2885 N Chapel Dr | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 | 2,465 (-7%) | 3mo | $490,000 | $199 | 62 |
| 2393 N Waterway Dr | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 | 2,523 (-4%) | 3mo | $504,000 | $200 | 59 |
| 1986 N Bridgeport Dr | 0.67mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,938 (+11%) | 2mo | $555,000 | $189 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -43.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.34×
- Total profit
- $-202,941
- Equity at exit
- $80,914
- IRR
- -83.0%
- Equity multiple
- -1.17×
- Total profit
- $-330,452
- Equity at exit
- $46,920
Cash invested: $151,948 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 36 active · 33 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.6 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $514,000 ($212/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 79 d
- This list price
- 86% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -1.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 72704
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 731
- Price-to-rent
- 17.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,566 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,846
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$678 /mo · $8,140/yr
- Insurance
- −$226
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $-1,773
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,398 | -5% $-1,586 | +0% $-1,773 | +5% $-1,961 | +10% $-2,148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,976 | -5% $-1,875 | +0% $-1,773 | +5% $-1,672 | +10% $-1,571 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,500 | -0.5pp $-1,635 | base $-1,773 | +0.5pp $-1,914 | +1.0pp $-2,057 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $135,668
- Closing costs
- $16,280
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2579 N Snowball Dr Fayetteville, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2351 N Hosta Dr Unit 1221812P Fayetteville, AR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3207 | $18,386 | $5.73 | 70d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4359 W New Bridge Rd Fayetteville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2136 | $2,300 | $1.08 | 62d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2332 N Hidden Creek Dr Fayetteville, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2289 | $2,500 | $1.09 | 93d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4747 W Mayflower Ct Fayetteville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2012 | $1,950 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2492 N Surtees Pl Fayetteville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1773 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 63d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1299 N Sicily Ln Fayetteville, AR | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2062 | $2,500 | $1.21 | 62d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1225 N Sicily Ln Unit 1227 Fayetteville, AR | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2000 | $2,700 | $1.35 | 62d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4133 W Santa Maria Ln Fayetteville, AR | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1842 | $2,100 | $1.14 | 63d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1275 N Rupple Rd Fayetteville, AR | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3406 | $4,800 | $1.41 | 93d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4073 W Santa Maria Ln Fayetteville, AR | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2004 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 93d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4071 W Santa Maria Ln Fayetteville, AR | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2004 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 63d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4110 W Sardinia Way Fayetteville, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1842 | $2,250 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3219 W Thornbrook St Fayetteville, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1846 | $2,150 | $1.16 | 72d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 952 N Queen Annes Lace Dr Fayetteville, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1905 | $2,400 | $1.26 | 93d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 952 N Queen Annes Lace Dr Fayetteville, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1905 | $2,250 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association (annual fee $600)Association management includedCommunity playground and park
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage with garage door opener3 covered parking spaces
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Electricity availableNatural gas availablePublic waterSewer available
- Home design
- 2-story new constructionArchitectural shingle roofEntry level: Main
- Construction
- Brick constructionSee remarks for additional materialsSlab foundationNew construction
- Exterior features
- Covered patioConcrete drivewayCommunity poolSubdivision lotPaved public road frontageSmoke detectors
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGas rangeMicrowaveDisposalPlumbed for ice makerElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- Main-level bedroomSecond-level bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetLuxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Gas heatingCentral electric air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansPantryProgrammable thermostatQuartz counters
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDryer hookup
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $542,670 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $542,670 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $542,670 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $542,670 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $542,670 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $542,670 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $542,670 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $542,670 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $542,670 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $542,670 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $542,670 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $542,670 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $542,670 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $542,670 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $542,670 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $542,670 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $542,670 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $542,670 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $542,670 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $542,670 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $542,670 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $542,670 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $542,670 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $542,670 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $542,670 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $542,670 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $542,670 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $542,670 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $542,670 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $542,670 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $542,670 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $542,670 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $542,670 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $542,670 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $542,670 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $542,670 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $542,670 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $542,670 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $542,670 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $542,670 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $542,670 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $542,670 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $542,670 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $542,670 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $542,670 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $542,670 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $542,670 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $542,670 Active 26 DOM
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
The property is located at 4867 W Succulent St FAYETTEVILLE AR 72704 priced at 542670, the square foot and stories are 2639, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 3 garages. For more details please, call or email.
-
2026-06-09price $542,670 Active 25 DOM
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
The property is located at 4867 W Succulent St FAYETTEVILLE AR 72704 priced at 542670, the square foot and stories are 2639, 2.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 3 garages. For more details please, call or email.
-
2026-06-08days on market $537,670 Active 25 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,398
- − Property taxes
- −$8,140
- − Insurance
- −$2,713
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,463
- − Management
- −$2,463
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$15,787
- Taxable loss
- −$31,776
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,626
- After-tax cash flow
- $-13,655/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 22 photos
This two-story home in Hughmount South, Fayetteville, AR, is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a spacious layout. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and hardwood flooring to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
- Resale Replace carpet with hardwood flooring in the upstairs bedrooms and common areas — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase property value ↑
- Both Install smart home automation system — Enhances convenience and can increase property value for both resale and rental ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayetteville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506120
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,595
- Composite
- 41.39/100
- National rank
- #3477
- State rank
- #19 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #871
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, AR
- County
- Washington County · 271,748 people
- City population
- 118,228
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,497
- Household income
- $96,014
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 271,748 people
- By 2030
- 296,414 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 346,874 · +27.6%
- By 2050
- 398,552 · +46.7%
- By 2075
- 523,309 · +92.6%
- By 2100
- 615,280 · +126.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.1% · R 51.7% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -6.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.7 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.44%
- Current HPI
- 289.7478
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+0.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $542,670 Zillow
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $542,670 NWARMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $537,670 Zillow
- 2026-05-14 Listed $537,670 NWARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…