1211-13 Richard St · Southport, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This nice property features three bedrooms and two- and one-half bathrooms, encompassing a total area of 1,750 square feet. It includes a one-car garage and is situated on three lots on 2 streets. Wheelchair ramp for easy access. Start here to have a great home at a great price.
Key facts
- Three lots
- Two streets
- Wheelchair ramp
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; One garage space
- Utilities: Cable available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing (previously built)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Open porch; Shed(s) / storage; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 100
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Appliances negotiable; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Main-level primary bedroom; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 6.5% in Southport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#690 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, crime D-.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ernie Davis Academy (math 5% / reading 31%, grade F, #691 of 729 statewide, top 95%, 802 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $83k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.52%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,074
- List price
- $82,900
- Delta
- -42.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348 Laurentian Pl | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,616 (-8%) | 5mo | $148,950 | $92 | 62 |
| 1525 Maple Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,792 (+2%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $25 | 55 |
| 260 Universal Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (-10%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $158 | 47 |
| 239 Robert St | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,512 (-14%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $33 | 42 |
| 392 Coldbrook Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (-8%) | 21mo | $210,000 | $130 | 38 |
| 105 S Kinyon St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,615 (-8%) | 23mo | $103,000 | $64 | 36 |
| 505 Palomino Mnr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,988 (+14%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $111 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $9,473
- Equity at exit
- $12,361
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $37,982
- Equity at exit
- $7,168
Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14904
- Home prices YoY
- -9.6%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,314 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $358
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $405 | -5% $382 | +0% $358 | +5% $335 | +10% $311 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $255 | -5% $306 | +0% $358 | +5% $410 | +10% $462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $400 | -0.5pp $379 | base $358 | +0.5pp $337 | +1.0pp $315 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,725
- Closing costs
- $2,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1254 Charles St Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,350 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 550 Spruce St Unit 303 Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 160 Boardman St Unit B Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1727 | $800 | $0.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $82,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-14$89,900 Active 279-char remark
-
2026-01-04historical
-
2026-01-03historical
-
2026-01-03historical
-
2025-12-20price $60,000
-
2025-12-03$65,000 Active
-
2025-11-21historical
-
2025-11-10$65,000 Active
-
1994-05-16soldstatus $54,500
-
1994-05-11soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,525 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,525 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,767
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,644
- − Property taxes
- −$2,525
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,261
- − Management
- −$1,261
- − Depreciation
- −$2,412
- Taxable income
- $3,250
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$780
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Southport
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #690
- US rank
- #13026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southport, NY
- City population
- 14,276
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,276
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.33%
- Current HPI
- 220.688
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+65.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $82,900 CNYIS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
- 2026-01-04 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-01-03 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-01-03 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-12-20 Price Changed $60,000 CNYIS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $65,000 CNYIS
- 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-11-10 Listed $65,000 CNYIS
- 1994-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 1994-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,525 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…