717 Railroad St · Beardstown, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly Rewired, 1 Year Old Roof, Brand New Kitchen And Bathroom!
Key facts
- 3,594 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($907 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,164 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Beardstown CUSD 15 (town): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #607 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $828 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $42k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.58%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,532
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- 2.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $16,740
- Equity at exit
- $10,483
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $45,543
- Equity at exit
- $9,727
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62618
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $907 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $359 | +0% $344 | +5% $330 | +10% $316 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $273 | -5% $309 | +0% $344 | +5% $380 | +10% $416 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $370 | -0.5pp $357 | base $344 | +0.5pp $331 | +1.0pp $318 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-16status $49,900 Pending 93 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $49,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $59,900
-
2026-04-08price $64,900
-
2026-03-21price $74,000
-
2026-03-12$79,000 Active
-
2020-04-20soldstatus $42,080
-
2013-06-28soldstatus $35,000
-
1998-08-31soldstatus $28,500 63-char remark
Show marketing remark (63 chars)
Newly Rewired, 1 Year Old Roof, Brand New Kitchen And Bathroom!
-
1998-08-31soldstatus $28,500
Show marketing remark (63 chars)
Newly Rewired, 1 Year Old Roof, Brand New Kitchen And Bathroom!
-
1998-06-12$31,000 63-char remark
Show marketing remark (63 chars)
Newly Rewired, 1 Year Old Roof, Brand New Kitchen And Bathroom!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,080 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,106 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 2.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,080
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$871
- − Management
- −$871
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $3,571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$857
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,276/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beardstown CUSD 15
- NCES district ID
- 1705310
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 5% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,121
- Composite
- 3.8/100
- National rank
- #10064
- State rank
- #607 of 620 in IL
Livability — Beardstown
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1164
- US rank
- #21969
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beardstown, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,391
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,533 people
- By 2030
- 10,842 · -6.0%
- By 2040
- 9,523 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 8,253 · -28.4%
- By 2075
- 5,555 · -51.8%
- By 2100
- 3,375 · -70.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 29% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.4) · D 27.4% · R 70.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.4pp · 2024: -43.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.4 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+31.6 2012: R+13.5 2008: D+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.66%
- Current HPI
- 138.5707
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+93.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $59,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $64,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $74,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $79,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $42,080 Public Records
- 2013-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1998-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
- 1998-08-31 Sold (MLS) $28,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-06-12 Listed $31,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,080 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…