7587 Ebson Dr · Suncoast Estates, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the perfect opportunity to create your ideal home design. The land previously had homes on site, and impact fees have already been paid, providing valuable savings for the next owner. The included uninstalled mobile home is Wind Zone 3 compliant, making it suitable for higher wind-load areas. Land ownership and clear mobile home titles add peace of mind and flexibility for future use. Inside, the mobile home has been fully gutted, giving you the freedom to customize the layout and finishes exactly to your taste. Whether you're looking to build, renovate, or invest, this property offers excellent potential and a head start on your next project. Please note square footage is approxim
Key facts
- Land ownership
- Impact fees paid
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: MH-1; Lot size approximately 0.23 acres
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Cable not available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; North-facing entry; Resale condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 100 x 100 x 100; South exposure
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Single hung windows; Unfurnished; Other interior features (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#507 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: commute D, schools F, amenities F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 841 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.80%
- DSCR
- 3.84
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $11,825
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $35,281
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 841
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,329 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $293/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $345 | -5% $330 | +0% $316 | +5% $302 | +10% $288 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $211 | -5% $264 | +0% $316 | +5% $369 | +10% $421 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $341 | -0.5pp $329 | base $316 | +0.5pp $303 | +1.0pp $290 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 947 Strongbox Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7869 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $850 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2211 Cantor Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 672 | $850 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 280 Flame Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 249 Fireball Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 624 | $1,350 | $2.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 121 Coachlight Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $795 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 8086 Heck Dr Unit 6 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 106 Gaslight Ave North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2027 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $1,300 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 137 Lantern Pl North Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $975 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 137 Lantern Pl Unit A North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2095 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8028 Breeze Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,895 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1846 Powell Dr Unit 28 North Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8146 Tolles Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $850 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 226 Lamplighter Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $899 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 15427 Crystal Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $3,200 | $3.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 234 Lamplighter Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $895 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 15610 Crystal Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,850 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 15610 Crystal Lake Dr #101 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7050 Nantucket Cir #6 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,000 | $3.16 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7050 Nantucket Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,000 | $3.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8205 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $850 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5707 Foxlake Dr #2 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,500 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2388 Case Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,825 | $1.72 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1916 Flamingo Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,275 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1916 Flamingo Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5713 Foxlake Dr #5 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,400 | $1.69 | 20d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 248 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1275 Gramac Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,575 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1275 Gramac Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 247 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,325 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 257 Poe Ave North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,175 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-17price $49,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $64,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,700 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,700 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,700 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $69,700 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,800 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,800 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,800 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $69,800
-
2026-02-09price $69,900
-
2025-12-03$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $293 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $414 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$121/yr (+$10/mo · 41.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,945
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$293
- − Insurance
- −$5,368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $3,486
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$837
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Suncoast Estates
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #507
- US rank
- #9351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suncoast Estates, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-0.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $69,800 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $69,900 FORTMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $70,000 FORTMLS
Property tax history
+16.2%/yrLatest (2025): $293 · +28.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…