6231 Marysville Rd · Altavista, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming country bungalow on 2 level acres in Gladys, Virginia. This 948 sq. ft. home offers a cozy layout with 7-foot ceilings and plenty of potential for renovation or investment. The property features a nice, open yard in a peaceful rural setting, ideal for gardening and hobbies. Several outbuildings are included, providing ample storage or workshop space. Bring your tools and your visionthis property is being sold strictly as-is, offering a great opportunity to create your own country retreat at 6231 Marysville Rd.
Key facts
- Country bungalow
- Open yard
- Several outbuildings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned Agricultural; Approximately 2 acres
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Garden; Outbuilding and storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Electric range; Garden (exterior-adjacent feature); Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (2.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.6% in Altavista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#367 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Campbell County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #55 of 131 in VA (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Brookneal Elementary (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #597 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 411 students, 74% FRL); William Campbell High (math 45% / reading 61%, grade C-, #291 of 319 statewide, top 92%, 397 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 37% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 315 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (51 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Campbell County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $100k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.83%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,387
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -21.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6231 Marysville Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 948 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $105 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,765
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $13,472
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24554
- Home prices YoY
- -8.4%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,221 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $343/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 524-char remark
-
2026-05-02$125,000 Active 524-char remark
-
2011-12-22soldstatus $79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $343 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,025 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$682/yr (+$57/mo · 198.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,653
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$343
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,172
- − Management
- −$1,172
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $702
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$168
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,573/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Campbell County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100600
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,915
- Composite
- 51.88/100
- National rank
- #1656
- State rank
- #55 of 131 in VA
Livability — Altavista
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #14611
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,564
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,306 people
- By 2030
- 56,366 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 55,406 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 53,011 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 45,932 · -18.4%
- By 2100
- 36,029 · -36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Scottish 1% Iranian 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.6) · D 25.3% · R 73.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.3pp toward R · 2008: -36.2pp · 2024: -48.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.6 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+39.4 2008: R+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.38%
- Current HPI
- 167.4705
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+25.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $100,000 LMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — LMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $125,000 LMLS
- 2011-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $343 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…