4380 N Pinal St · New Kingman-Butler, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
- Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -
Key facts
- Mature landscaping
- Newer hvac
- Circle driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned for manufactured homes (K-RMH Res); Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 50' x 120'
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Drive-through parking; RV access/parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Residential property; Fixer condition; Entry configured with breakfast bar and casual dining
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Patio; Block fencing around front and back yard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Laminate counters; Pantry; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Laminate counters; Pantry; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with electric and gas dryer hookups; Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($405/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in New Kingman-Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cerbat Elementary (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #963 of 1,109 statewide, top 87%, 700 students, 78% FRL); Kingman Middle School (math 10% / reading 13%, grade F, #180 of 218 statewide, top 83%, 737 students, 74% FRL); Kingman High School (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 905 students, 50% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Kingman Unified School District (79598) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 647 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.97%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,000
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- 100.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-25,680
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-33,299
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86409
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 647
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $137 | -5% $86 | +0% $34 | +5% $-18 | +10% $-70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-73 | -5% $-20 | +0% $34 | +5% $87 | +10% $141 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $109 | -0.5pp $72 | base $34 | +0.5pp $-5 | +1.0pp $-45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2915 E Thompson Ave Kingman, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 792 | $1,150 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3849 N Roosevelt St Kingman, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $950 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3736 N Roosevelt St Kingman, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $1,425 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 376-char remark
-
2026-05-11$150,000 Active 376-char remark
-
2026-03-20soldstatus $130,000 Closed 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
- Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -
-
2026-03-20soldstatus $130,000
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
- Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -
-
2026-02-26status Pending 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
- Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -
-
2026-02-22$149,000 Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
- Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -
-
2025-12-01soldstatus $80,000
-
1999-05-27soldstatus $45,000
-
1998-03-03soldstatus $47,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,259
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,301
- − Management
- −$1,301
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,108
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$506
- After-tax cash flow
- $911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingman Unified School District (79598)
- NCES district ID
- 0400295
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,760
- Composite
- 17.87/100
- National rank
- #9002
- State rank
- #179 of 249 in AZ
Livability — New Kingman-Butler
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Mohave County · 181,906 people
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,365
- Household income
- $50,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 688.0
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.90%
- Current HPI
- 280.1884
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+202.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-27 Sold (MLS) $145,000 WARDEX
- 2026-05-15 Pending — WARDEX
- 2026-05-11 Listed $150,000 WARDEX
- 2026-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-20 Sold (MLS) $130,000 WARDEX
- 2026-02-26 Pending — WARDEX
- 2026-02-22 Listed $149,000 WARDEX
- 2025-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-26.9%/yrLatest (2025): $17 · -21.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…