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4380 N Pinal St
D- Composite 39.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

4380 N Pinal St · New Kingman-Butler, AZ 86409
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 784 sqft · Land public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1979 0.53 ac lot $191/sqft · 285% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

- Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -

Key facts

  • Mature landscaping
  • Newer hvac
  • Circle driveway

Tags

FENCED HALF ACRE PROPERTYDETACHED 2 CAR GARAGEPLENTY OF ROOM FOR RV PARKINGCIRCLE DRIVEWAYMATURE LANDSCAPINGNEWER HVAC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned for manufactured homes (K-RMH Res); Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 50' x 120'

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Drive-through parking; RV access/parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Residential property; Fixer condition; Entry configured with breakfast bar and casual dining
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Patio; Block fencing around front and back yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Laminate counters; Pantry; Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Laminate counters; Pantry; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with electric and gas dryer hookups; Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($405/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in New Kingman-Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cerbat Elementary (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #963 of 1,109 statewide, top 87%, 700 students, 78% FRL); Kingman Middle School (math 10% / reading 13%, grade F, #180 of 218 statewide, top 83%, 737 students, 74% FRL); Kingman High School (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 905 students, 50% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Kingman Unified School District (79598) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 647 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,494 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.97%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,000
List price
$150,000
Delta
100.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-25,680
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-16.1%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-33,299
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86409

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
647
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $137 -5% $86 +0% $34 +5% $-18 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-73 -5% $-20 +0% $34 +5% $87 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $109 -0.5pp $72 base $34 +0.5pp $-5 +1.0pp $-45

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2915 E Thompson Ave Kingman, AZ 2.0 2.0 792 $1,150 $1.45 45d 1 0.72mi
3849 N Roosevelt St Kingman, AZ 2.0 1.0 856 $950 $1.11 22d 1 1.11mi
3736 N Roosevelt St Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1093 $1,425 $1.30 45d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 376-char remark
  2. 2026-05-11
    listed $150,000 Active 376-char remark
  3. 2026-03-20
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    - Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -

  4. 2026-03-20
    soldstatus $130,000
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    - Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -

  5. 2026-02-26
    status Pending 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    - Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -

  6. 2026-02-22
    listed $149,000 Active 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    - Fenced property on half acre - Large RV parking - Detached garage - Shade trees - Circle driveway - Newer HVAC and power pole - Large porches and common areas - Owner/Agent -

  7. 2025-12-01
    soldstatus $80,000
  8. 1999-05-27
    soldstatus $45,000
  9. 1998-03-03
    soldstatus $47,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,259
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$506
After-tax cash flow
$911/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingman Unified School District (79598)
NCES district ID
0400295
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,760
Composite
17.87/100
National rank
#9002
State rank
#179 of 249 in AZ

Livability — New Kingman-Butler

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
30,365
Household income
$50,852
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
688.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.90%
Current HPI
280.1884
Rent YoY
▲ 0.33%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2026-05-27 Sold (MLS) $145,000 WARDEX
  • 2026-05-15 Pending WARDEX
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $150,000 WARDEX
  • 2026-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-20 Sold (MLS) $130,000 WARDEX
  • 2026-02-26 Pending WARDEX
  • 2026-02-22 Listed $149,000 WARDEX
  • 2025-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 1999-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1998-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-26.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $17 · -21.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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