🏷️ Likely Rental
8308 Continental Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL!! Discover an excellent opportunity for investors ready to add value and maximize returns. This property requires rehab and is ideal for a fix-and-flip or buy-and-hold rental strategy. Seller will make no repairs property is being sold as-is. Located in an area with multiple recently renovated homes, showing strong upside potential and neighborhood growth. Rental Potential: Estimated rent around $1,200/month, making this a solid cash-flow opportunity once updated. Bring your vision and tools to transform this property into a high-performing investment.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.11 acres (40 x 116)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 5.2% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Van Dyke Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #512 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $55k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.28%
- DSCR
- 2.39
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,322
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- -31.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11012 Paige Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 584 (+9%) | 9mo | $52,100 | $89 | 62 |
| 7211 Continental Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 510 (-5%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $98 | 51 |
| 8105 Chapp Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 609 (+14%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $99 | 51 |
| 11035 Paige Ave | 0.34mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 494 (-8%) | 23mo | $68,000 | $138 | 47 |
| 7559 Lozier Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (+12%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $125 | 46 |
| 6744 Paige Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 591 (+10%) | 16mo | $105,000 | $178 | 39 |
| 11041 Chalmers Ave | 0.63mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 500 (-7%) | 20mo | $76,500 | $153 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $16,620
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $47,317
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48089
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,082 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $401
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $432 | -5% $416 | +0% $401 | +5% $385 | +10% $370 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $358 | +0% $401 | +5% $443 | +10% $486 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $428 | -0.5pp $415 | base $401 | +0.5pp $386 | +1.0pp $372 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8103 Lozier Ave Unit 2 Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,150 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 11130 Stephens Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,275 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 25108 Hoover Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,324 | $1.88 | 0d | 61 | 1.30mi |
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 7212 Helen St Unit 7212 Center Line, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,000 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $54,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-07$54,900 Active 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL!! Discover an excellent opportunity for investors ready to add value and maximize returns. This property requires rehab and is ideal for a fix-and-flip or buy-and-hold rental strategy. Seller will make no repairs property is being sold as-is. Located in an area with multiple recently renovated homes, showing strong upside potential and neighborhood growth. Rental Potential: Estimated rent around $1,200/month, making this a solid cash-flow opportunity once updated. Bring your vision and tools to transform this property into a high-performing investment.
-
2026-05-07$54,900 Active 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL!! Discover an excellent opportunity for investors ready to add value and maximize returns. This property requires rehab and is ideal for a fix-and-flip or buy-and-hold rental strategy. Seller will make no repairs property is being sold as-is. Located in an area with multiple recently renovated homes, showing strong upside potential and neighborhood growth. Rental Potential: Estimated rent around $1,200/month, making this a solid cash-flow opportunity once updated. Bring your vision and tools to transform this property into a high-performing investment.
-
2026-05-04historical $54,900 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL!! Discover an excellent opportunity for investors ready to add value and maximize returns. This property requires rehab and is ideal for a fix-and-flip or buy-and-hold rental strategy. Seller will make no repairs property is being sold as-is. Located in an area with multiple recently renovated homes, showing strong upside potential and neighborhood growth. Rental Potential: Estimated rent around $1,200/month, making this a solid cash-flow opportunity once updated. Bring your vision and tools to transform this property into a high-performing investment.
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2025-04-11historical
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2025-04-11historical
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2025-04-08$75,000 Active
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2025-04-08$75,000 Active
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2019-07-09soldstatus $30,000 Sold
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2019-07-09soldstatus $30,000 Closed
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2019-07-02status Pending
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2019-07-02status Pending
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2019-06-15status Active
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2019-06-15status Active
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2019-06-09status Pending
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2019-06-08status Pending
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2019-06-04$36,000 Active
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2019-06-04$36,000 Active
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2003-09-24soldstatus $53,950
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2003-07-24soldstatus $53,950
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2003-07-02historical
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2003-06-03$51,900
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2001-04-10soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,982
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$1,718
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,039
- − Management
- −$1,039
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $4,240
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,018
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Dyke Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634680
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,231
- Composite
- 10.46/100
- National rank
- #9784
- State rank
- #512 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,853
- Household income
- $52,366
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1754.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 31% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.46%
- Current HPI
- 154.8325
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+243.1% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Coming Soon $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-08 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-08 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-09 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-09 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-07-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-06-15 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-06-09 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-06-04 Listed $36,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-04 Listed $36,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $53,950 Public Records
- 2003-07-24 Sold (MLS) $53,950 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-07-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-06-03 Listed $51,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,718 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…