10442 Sixth Streeet · Pettus, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here's a spacious brick vintage home, located in Pettus, TX. The lot, 100x150, is also spacious and has a large oak tree in the big backyard. With some work, this home could be a gem! the living room has hardwood floors. The three bedrooms and dining room have carpet but there could be hardwood under the carpet! What a nice surprise that could be! There is a dining room which is spacious and located off the kitchen. The kitchen is open to the dining room and living room. It has central heat and air, city water. More: 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, nice storage, 1 car garage, i carport, Hot water heater replaced in 2024, washer and dryer.; Original MLS#: 113463; Deed Restrictions: ; Home Warranty: No; Land Dimensions: .34; Land Size Apx: .34; Roof: Shingle; Water District: No; Water Heater: Electric; Windows: Single Pane
Key facts
- Central heat and air
- Open to dining room
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#846 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools F.
- Pettus ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #829 of 1,141 in TX (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Bee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Bee County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.29%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,850
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -13.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $21,198
- Equity at exit
- $44,515
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $62,528
- Equity at exit
- $68,602
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78146
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520 North St Unit 3 Pettus, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 963 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $99,000 827-char remark
Show marketing remark (827 chars)
Here's a spacious brick vintage home, located in Pettus, TX. The lot, 100x150, is also spacious and has a large oak tree in the big backyard. With some work, this home could be a gem! the living room has hardwood floors. The three bedrooms and dining room have carpet but there could be hardwood under the carpet! What a nice surprise that could be! There is a dining room which is spacious and located off the kitchen. The kitchen is open to the dining room and living room. It has central heat and air, city water. More: 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, nice storage, 1 car garage, i carport, Hot water heater replaced in 2024, washer and dryer.; Original MLS#: 113463; Deed Restrictions: ; Home Warranty: No; Land Dimensions: .34; Land Size Apx: .34; Roof: Shingle; Water District: No; Water Heater: Electric; Windows: Single Pane
-
2026-02-22status Back on Market 827-char remark
Show marketing remark (827 chars)
Here's a spacious brick vintage home, located in Pettus, TX. The lot, 100x150, is also spacious and has a large oak tree in the big backyard. With some work, this home could be a gem! the living room has hardwood floors. The three bedrooms and dining room have carpet but there could be hardwood under the carpet! What a nice surprise that could be! There is a dining room which is spacious and located off the kitchen. The kitchen is open to the dining room and living room. It has central heat and air, city water. More: 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, nice storage, 1 car garage, i carport, Hot water heater replaced in 2024, washer and dryer.; Original MLS#: 113463; Deed Restrictions: ; Home Warranty: No; Land Dimensions: .34; Land Size Apx: .34; Roof: Shingle; Water District: No; Water Heater: Electric; Windows: Single Pane
-
2026-02-12historical Active Option 827-char remark
Show marketing remark (827 chars)
Here's a spacious brick vintage home, located in Pettus, TX. The lot, 100x150, is also spacious and has a large oak tree in the big backyard. With some work, this home could be a gem! the living room has hardwood floors. The three bedrooms and dining room have carpet but there could be hardwood under the carpet! What a nice surprise that could be! There is a dining room which is spacious and located off the kitchen. The kitchen is open to the dining room and living room. It has central heat and air, city water. More: 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, nice storage, 1 car garage, i carport, Hot water heater replaced in 2024, washer and dryer.; Original MLS#: 113463; Deed Restrictions: ; Home Warranty: No; Land Dimensions: .34; Land Size Apx: .34; Roof: Shingle; Water District: No; Water Heater: Electric; Windows: Single Pane
-
2026-01-23price $120,000 827-char remark
Show marketing remark (827 chars)
Here's a spacious brick vintage home, located in Pettus, TX. The lot, 100x150, is also spacious and has a large oak tree in the big backyard. With some work, this home could be a gem! the living room has hardwood floors. The three bedrooms and dining room have carpet but there could be hardwood under the carpet! What a nice surprise that could be! There is a dining room which is spacious and located off the kitchen. The kitchen is open to the dining room and living room. It has central heat and air, city water. More: 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, nice storage, 1 car garage, i carport, Hot water heater replaced in 2024, washer and dryer.; Original MLS#: 113463; Deed Restrictions: ; Home Warranty: No; Land Dimensions: .34; Land Size Apx: .34; Roof: Shingle; Water District: No; Water Heater: Electric; Windows: Single Pane
-
2025-06-17$134,000 Active 827-char remark
Show marketing remark (827 chars)
Here's a spacious brick vintage home, located in Pettus, TX. The lot, 100x150, is also spacious and has a large oak tree in the big backyard. With some work, this home could be a gem! the living room has hardwood floors. The three bedrooms and dining room have carpet but there could be hardwood under the carpet! What a nice surprise that could be! There is a dining room which is spacious and located off the kitchen. The kitchen is open to the dining room and living room. It has central heat and air, city water. More: 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, nice storage, 1 car garage, i carport, Hot water heater replaced in 2024, washer and dryer.; Original MLS#: 113463; Deed Restrictions: ; Home Warranty: No; Land Dimensions: .34; Land Size Apx: .34; Roof: Shingle; Water District: No; Water Heater: Electric; Windows: Single Pane
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $178
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$43
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,701/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home in Pettus, TX, requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, but has a spacious layout and a large lot with a large oak tree. With some work, it could be a great investment.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Minor bathroom shower — curtain instead of a more modern enclosure
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing the kitchen would improve both resale and rental value
- Both install a modern bathroom shower enclosure — this would enhance both the aesthetic and functionality of the bathroom
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom shower · curtain instead of a more modern enclosure | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $3,500–18,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing the kitchen would improve both resale and rental value ↑
- Both install a modern bathroom shower enclosure — this would enhance both the aesthetic and functionality of the bathroom ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pettus ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834770
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,570
- Composite
- 33.83/100
- National rank
- #10377
- State rank
- #829 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Pettus
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #846
- US rank
- #15296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pettus, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 740
Population outlook (Bee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,003 people
- By 2030
- 36,447 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 39,810 · +13.7%
- By 2050
- 43,525 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 51,766 · +47.9%
- By 2100
- 53,434 · +52.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 50% White 42% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 53%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 23%
Political lean MEDSL · Bee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-26.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $99,000 LERA
- 2026-02-22 Relisted — LERA
- 2026-02-12 Contingent — LERA
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $120,000 LERA
- 2025-06-17 Listed $134,000 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…