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2105 Elizabeth St
C+ Composite 62.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

2105 Elizabeth St · Springfield, IL 62702
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,277 sqft · Other · 28 Days on market
Built 1870 0.38 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Coming Soon!!! Don't let the age of this home fool you. Since buying this home in 2016, most everything has been redone. Walls were stripped to the studs, insulated and re-drywalled or paneled. All plumbing has been replaced with PVC. Whole house has been rewired. Bathroom reconfigured with new tub, sink and toilet. New water heater and HVAC in 2016. New windows, new flooring, new garage door, added 1/2 bath upstairs, added closets including 2 walk-ins, and dishwasher. New roof in 2022 with a 50-year warranty. Porches on front and back. Huge lot that brings in $1,000 - $1500 for State Fair parking. Being sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • New electrical
  • Huge lot
  • Updates since 2016

Tags

HUGE LOTGENERATES PARKING INCOMEUPDATES SINCE 2016NEW ROOF WITH WARRANTYPLUMBING REDONE WITH PVCNEW ELECTRICAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.9% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in IL, #2,138 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Springfield SD 186 (urban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #438 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ridgely Elem School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,741 of 2,056 statewide, top 93%, 311 students, 0% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 3% / reading 6%, grade F, #650 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 531 students, 0% FRL); Lanphier High School (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #501 of 693 statewide, top 73%, 1,058 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield SD 186 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 225 units permitted in Sangamon County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sangamon County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.12%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$2,971
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$35,150
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62702

Home prices YoY
-34.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,291 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,327/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $316 -5% $288 +0% $260 +5% $231 +10% $203
Rent -10% $158 -5% $209 +0% $260 +5% $311 +10% $362
Rate -1.0pp $310 -0.5pp $285 base $260 +0.5pp $234 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1413 N 5th St Springfield, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 23d 1 0.86mi
3501 E Ridgely Ave Unit FR21 Springfield, IL 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,129 $0.93 23d 1 0.97mi
1224 N Rutledge St Springfield, IL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 1.22mi
920 N 19th St Springfield, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 23d 1 1.40mi
401 W Elliott Ave Unit A Springfield, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 46d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-03
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-06
    listed $100,000 Active
  3. 2024-09-27
    soldstatus $93,000 Closed 623-char remark
    Show marketing remark (623 chars)

    Coming Soon!!! Don't let the age of this home fool you. Since buying this home in 2016, most everything has been redone. Walls were stripped to the studs, insulated and re-drywalled or paneled. All plumbing has been replaced with PVC. Whole house has been rewired. Bathroom reconfigured with new tub, sink and toilet. New water heater and HVAC in 2016. New windows, new flooring, new garage door, added 1/2 bath upstairs, added closets including 2 walk-ins, and dishwasher. New roof in 2022 with a 50-year warranty. Porches on front and back. Huge lot that brings in $1,000 - $1500 for State Fair parking. Being sold As-Is.

  4. 2024-08-22
    status Pending 623-char remark
    Show marketing remark (623 chars)

    Coming Soon!!! Don't let the age of this home fool you. Since buying this home in 2016, most everything has been redone. Walls were stripped to the studs, insulated and re-drywalled or paneled. All plumbing has been replaced with PVC. Whole house has been rewired. Bathroom reconfigured with new tub, sink and toilet. New water heater and HVAC in 2016. New windows, new flooring, new garage door, added 1/2 bath upstairs, added closets including 2 walk-ins, and dishwasher. New roof in 2022 with a 50-year warranty. Porches on front and back. Huge lot that brings in $1,000 - $1500 for State Fair parking. Being sold As-Is.

  5. 2024-07-26
    listed $99,900 Active 623-char remark
    Show marketing remark (623 chars)

    Coming Soon!!! Don't let the age of this home fool you. Since buying this home in 2016, most everything has been redone. Walls were stripped to the studs, insulated and re-drywalled or paneled. All plumbing has been replaced with PVC. Whole house has been rewired. Bathroom reconfigured with new tub, sink and toilet. New water heater and HVAC in 2016. New windows, new flooring, new garage door, added 1/2 bath upstairs, added closets including 2 walk-ins, and dishwasher. New roof in 2022 with a 50-year warranty. Porches on front and back. Huge lot that brings in $1,000 - $1500 for State Fair parking. Being sold As-Is.

  6. 2014-10-03
    soldstatus $20,100 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    Come and check out this spacious 1.5 story bungalow situated on a large corner lot with convenient access to the State Fair Grounds. The main floor offers a bright living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and back enclosed area. The upstairs has a large 3rd bedroom and a den. Other amenities include front covered porch, unfinished basement for storage space and 1c detached garage. Choose FHA financing to qualify for $100 down payment. Equal Housing Opportunity.

  7. 2014-08-25
    listed $20,000 465-char remark
    Show marketing remark (465 chars)

    Come and check out this spacious 1.5 story bungalow situated on a large corner lot with convenient access to the State Fair Grounds. The main floor offers a bright living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and back enclosed area. The upstairs has a large 3rd bedroom and a den. Other amenities include front covered porch, unfinished basement for storage space and 1c detached garage. Choose FHA financing to qualify for $100 down payment. Equal Housing Opportunity.

  8. 2009-04-07
    soldstatus $70,000
  9. 2009-04-01
    soldstatus $69,900
  10. 2008-09-21
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,327 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,327 · $194/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,487
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,327
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,239
− Management
−$1,239
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,672
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$401
After-tax cash flow
$2,714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield SD 186
NCES district ID
1737080
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,744
Composite
16.89/100
National rank
#9142
State rank
#438 of 620 in IL

Livability — Springfield

Score
79/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#2138

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, IL
County
Sangamon County · 115,414 people
City population
59,955
Metro
Springfield, IL
Population (ZIP)
31,033
Household income
$51,136
Rent vs Own
35.7% rent · 64.3% own
Severe rent burden
1230.0

Population outlook (Sangamon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,317 people
By 2030
196,127 · -1.1%
By 2040
188,664 · -4.9%
By 2050
179,624 · -9.4%
By 2075
155,027 · -21.8%
By 2100
122,588 · -38.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 17% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sangamon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.6% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -5.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+9.4 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.98%
Current HPI
149.1926
Rent YoY
▲ 4.95%
Metro
Springfield, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $100,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-27 Sold (MLS) $93,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-22 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-26 Listed $99,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-03 Sold (MLS) $20,100 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-25 Listed $20,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2009-04-01 Sold (MLS) $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-21 Listed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,327 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…