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3566 Sanderosa Rd
B Composite 71.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$145,000

3566 Sanderosa Rd · Eastover, NC 28312
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1959 0.75 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

-old home in need of repairs. value is in the land. court ordered sale subject to potential upset bidding and final court approval. any personal property on site at closing will remain.

Key facts

  • 0.75 acre lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as about 962 square feet
  • HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: No open parking
  • Utilities: Public water (see remarks); Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-story house; One level
  • Construction: Built with other construction materials; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Pillar/post/pier foundation; Agricultural zoning; Public maintained road access; Approximately 0.75-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $145k implies a 721% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,825 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.77%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$104,303
Equity at exit
$130,627
10-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
8.07×
Total profit
$287,138
Equity at exit
$281,703

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28312

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,013/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,146
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4066 Hummingbird Pl Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1324 $1,650 $1.25 23d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $145,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 51-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $150,000 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,013 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$176/yr (+$15/mo · 17.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,800
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,013
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,584
− Management
−$1,584
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$2,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$613
After-tax cash flow
$4,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Eastover

Score
67/100
State rank
#228
US rank
#10689

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
19,889

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.75%
Current HPI
306.7749
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+934.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $150,000 TMLS
  • 2018-02-05 Sold (MLS) $17,654 LPRMLS
  • 2017-11-23 Listed $14,500 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,013 · +29.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…