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275 Waterdown Dr #7
D Composite 42.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,000

275 Waterdown Dr #7 · Fayetteville, NC 28314
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,257 sqft · Condo public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1995 $243/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Low-maintenance living in a nice second floor condo , 1257 SqF with two bedrooms , big walk-in closet and 2 full baths, located in one of the best central location in Fayetteville. Open and functional layout design. Newly painted entire unit. Newly installed waterproofed laminate floor in the dining room , living room and hallway . New carpet in two bedrooms. New stainless steel refrigerator. Very close to Fayetteville Creek shopping Center and Fort Bragg. Community amenities include a pool, playground/park area, tennis court, street lights and yard maintenance. Ready to move in condition.

Key facts

  • $243 HOA
  • Parking
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unit number 7; Located in Cumberland County; Concrete and paved roads to the property
  • HOA & community: Association: The Crossing at Morganton; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include barbecue, car wash area, hot water, laundry, management, park, playground, sport court, tennis courts, and trash service; Association fee covers structure maintenance, road maintenance, snow removal, storm water maintenance, and trash; Road maintenance agreement in place; Community features: pool and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking (1 space); Additional parking and parking lot available; Public park and reserved park place nearby
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: One-level property; Entry on level 2; Faces west; 2+ common walls (attached unit); Updated / remodeled condition
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a unit in a multi-unit building
  • Exterior features: Covered porch and balcony; Outdoor grill; Storage; Playground; Tennis court(s); Fenced; Playground; Balcony

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Range / Electric oven; Free-standing electric range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Whirlpool tub and separate shower; Double vanity
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Hot water heating (natural gas); Heat pump; Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Electric cooling; Exhaust fan
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double vanity; Entrance foyer; Laminate counters; Separate shower; Walk-in closet(s); Whirlpool tub; Factory-built gas-log fireplace with screen; Storm door(s); Blinds and storm windows
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Laundry closet; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($2/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Morganton Road Elementary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #835 of 1,410 statewide, top 62%, 499 students, 99% FRL); Westover Middle (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #396 of 475 statewide, top 84%, 784 students, 100% FRL); Westover High (math 42% / reading 39%, grade F, #387 of 535 statewide, top 73%, 1,202 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 435 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($142k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $144k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,316 (2.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
0.01%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.1%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-23,076
Equity at exit
$21,471
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-19,070
Equity at exit
$12,450

Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28314

Home prices YoY
-15.7%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
435
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,403 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$755
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $602/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$243
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$0

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,403
Max offer price $144,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $82 -5% $41 +0% $0 +5% $-41 +10% $-81
Rent -10% $-111 -5% $-55 +0% $0 +5% $56 +10% $111
Rate -1.0pp $73 -0.5pp $37 base $0 +0.5pp $-37 +1.0pp $-75

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,000
Closing costs
$4,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
267 Waterdown Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,325 $1.01 25d 1 0.04mi
295 Warton Ln Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,325 $1.01 15d 1 0.08mi
349 Waterdown Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,350 $1.03 25d 1 0.20mi
230 Sawtooth Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $1,274 $1.22 15d 14 0.24mi
246 Partners Way Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 25d 1 0.28mi
3311 Woodhill Ln Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1195 $1,452 $1.21 15d 42 0.29mi
513 Lumberly Ln Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1124 $1,295 $1.15 25d 1 0.29mi
5725 Ivanhoe Ct Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 962 $1,142 $1.19 15d 6 0.43mi
5200 Mawood St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 15d 1 0.45mi
5650 Netherfield Pl Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $1,132 $1.10 15d 38 0.46mi
5591 Bellflower St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1273 $1,575 $1.24 15d 1 0.55mi
5800 Lagu Pl Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1722 $1,850 $1.07 15d 1 0.57mi
5508 Faith Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.5–3.0 1106 $1,306 $1.18 23d 16 0.65mi
5508 Faith Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.5–3.0 1106 $1,269 $1.15 15d 10 0.65mi
5414 Plateau Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,595 $1.43 25d 1 0.69mi
5410 Laramie Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,600 $1.11 15d 1 0.78mi
3374 Starboard Way Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1481 $2,150 $1.45 15d 1 1.01mi
457 Lands End Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 3.0 1545 $1,895 $1.23 25d 1 1.02mi
2056 Wheeling St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1401 $1,595 $1.14 25d 1 1.06mi
6033 Santa Fe Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1325 $1,500 $1.13 25d 1 1.07mi
425 Windermere Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 25d 1 1.08mi
419 Georgetown Cir Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.5 1648 $1,500 $0.91 25d 1 1.11mi
3330 Harbour Pointe Pl #12 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1401 $1,700 $1.21 15d 1 1.12mi
420 Andros Dr Unit 4 Fayetteville, NC 1.0 1.0 1810 $700 $0.39 15d 1 1.13mi
1000 Antietam Crk Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1059 $1,567 $1.48 25d 14 1.13mi
6213 Sabine Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,175 $1.08 25d 1 1.26mi
1981 Wheeling St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 25d 1 1.26mi
833 Fresno Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1512 $1,300 $0.86 25d 1 1.31mi
5713 Waterwood Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,650 $1.15 23d 1 1.32mi
3050 Plantation Garden Blvd Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1158 $1,512 $1.30 15d 58 1.32mi
5761 Waterwood Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,600 $1.10 23d 1 1.33mi
321 Bahama Loop Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1759 $2,100 $1.19 15d 1 1.35mi
425 Woodstream Trl Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 810 $1,330 $1.64 25d 12 1.37mi
5817 Horton Pl Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,650 $0.98 25d 1 1.41mi
5831 Waters Edge Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,545 $1.15 25d 1 1.42mi
420 Mangum Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1127 $1,550 $1.38 25d 1 1.47mi
425 Dunmore Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1724 $1,800 $1.04 25d 1 1.48mi
812 Crescent Commons Way Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 963 $1,385 $1.44 15d 10 1.48mi
111 Grande Oaks Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1205 $1,412 $1.17 15d 46 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$243 · $2,916/yr
Likely covers
waterpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $144,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $144,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 601-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $144,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$602 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,181 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$579/yr (+$48/mo · 96.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,838
− Mortgage interest
−$8,066
− Property taxes
−$602
− Insurance
−$720
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,347
− Management
−$1,347
− HOA
−$2,916
− Depreciation
−$4,189
Taxable loss
−$2,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$564
After-tax cash flow
$566/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
55,834
Household income
$62,249
Rent vs Own
52.6% rent · 47.4% own
Severe rent burden
2511.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.20%
Current HPI
231.873
Rent YoY
▲ 3.11%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+102.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $144,000 TMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $149,000 TMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $149,000 TMLS
  • 2006-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
  • 2001-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-11.3%/yr

Latest (2019): $602 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…