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41 Edgar St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A Composite 85.86
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$205,000

41 Edgar St · Liberty, NY 12754
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,884 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 109 Days on market
Built 1940 6,970 sqft lot Est $288k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity! This solid structure presents an excellent opportunity ideal for investors, contractors, or owner- occupants looking to build equity. With the right vision, this property can be reimagined into a thoughtfully renovated two-family asset that meets today's buyer and renter demand. The first floor offers a two-bedroom apartment with a large primary bedroom, eat-in kitchen and large living room. On the second floor, you will find a spacious two-bedroom apartment with two additional bonus rooms offering endless opportunities. Delivered vacant, this home presents a rare opportunity to execute improvements efficiently and immediately. Located in an area with continued

Key facts

  • Multi family housing
  • Eat in kitchen
  • Bonus rooms

Tags

TWO BEDROOM APARTMENTEAT IN KITCHENLARGE LIVING ROOMSPACIOUS TWO BEDROOM APARTMENTBONUS ROOMSMULTI FAMILY HOUSING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; No carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Wood siding; Not waterfront; No additional parcels

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; No central air
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Finished attic; Common basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $205,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$288,252) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $844 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $422/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.8% in Liberty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#890 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Liberty Central School District (town): math 31% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #569 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $205k implies a 356% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $186,550 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
11.23%
Cash-on-cash
17.64%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$288,252
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
67 Lake St 0.15mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,920 (+2%) 13mo $255,000 $133 72
98 Dwyer Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,862 (-1%) 1mo $285,000 $153 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$165,648
Equity at exit
$184,680
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
8.77×
Total profit
$446,017
Equity at exit
$398,270

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12754

Home prices YoY
28.0%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,263 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$573 /mo · $6,880/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$685
Net cashflow
$844

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,195
Max offer price $205,000
Occupancy floor 69%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12 Liberty St Liberty, NY 4.0 2.5 2200 $2,350 $1.07 23d 1 0.57mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-26
    listed $205,000 Active
  3. 1988-11-23
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,880 · $573/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,880 · $573/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,156
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$6,880
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,132
− Management
−$3,132
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable income
$7,540
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,809
After-tax cash flow
$8,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liberty Central School District
NCES district ID
3617220
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,542
Composite
27.65/100
National rank
#6920
State rank
#569 of 590 in NY

Livability — Liberty

Score
62/100
State rank
#890
US rank
#17254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Liberty, NY
City population
8,525
Population (ZIP)
8,525

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 100.10%
Current HPI
457.3342
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+355.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-26 Listed $205,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1988-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,880 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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