741 Almond Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property is currently being rented for $1050 on a month to month lease. This could be your next investment property or a great primary dwelling. Equipped with 3 levels of finished space (semi-finished basement), this house is very spacious for a small family. Upgrades include: new roof, renovated bathroom, renovated kitchen, and new flooring. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- New flooring
- Renovated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage
- Utilities: Has heating
- Home design: 2-story home; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Patio; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Second-floor bedroom (15 x 10); Main-level bedroom (11 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.79%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,746
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615 Circle Rd | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+2%) | 3mo | $66,000 | $71 | 84 |
| 731 Whitmore Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (+0%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $70 | 78 |
| 214 Geneva Rd | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (+3%) | 0mo | $89,000 | $93 | 70 |
| 4519 Alfred Dr | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 1mo | $81,000 | $84 | 70 |
| 752 Cleverly Rd | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 788 (-14%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $146 | 68 |
| 361 Roxbury Rd | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-6%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $139 | 65 |
| 419 Lindenwood Rd | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,008 (+9%) | 0mo | $88,000 | $87 | 57 |
| 5227 Shasta Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+9%) | 1mo | $122,500 | $122 | 55 |
| 4660 Gardendale Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-6%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $93 | 49 |
| 5009 Yalecrest Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+8%) | 5mo | $91,000 | $91 | 48 |
| 4059 Kammer Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,037 (+12%) | 8mo | $99,000 | $95 | 45 |
| 4600 Gardendale Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-6%) | 7mo | $82,000 | $95 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,034
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $13,155
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,019 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $964/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $158
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $950 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $625 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,025 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $900 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,025 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 126 Bluecrest Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $900 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $910 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 635 Anna St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-16$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $964 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,262 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$298/yr (+$25/mo · 30.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$964
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$978
- − Management
- −$978
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $293
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$70
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $100,000 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $964 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…