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741 Almond Ave
D Composite 44.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

741 Almond Ave · Dayton, OH 45417
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 922 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1956 6,046 sqft lot Est $86k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property is currently being rented for $1050 on a month to month lease. This could be your next investment property or a great primary dwelling. Equipped with 3 levels of finished space (semi-finished basement), this house is very spacious for a small family. Upgrades include: new roof, renovated bathroom, renovated kitchen, and new flooring. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Renovated bathroom
  • New flooring
  • Renovated kitchen

Tags

NEW ROOFRENOVATED BATHROOMRENOVATED KITCHENNEW FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage
  • Utilities: Has heating
  • Home design: 2-story home; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Patio; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Second-floor bedroom (15 x 10); Main-level bedroom (11 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.19%
Cash-on-cash
6.79%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$85,746
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
615 Circle Rd 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+2%) 3mo $66,000 $71 84
731 Whitmore Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (+0%) 8mo $65,000 $70 78
214 Geneva Rd 0.48mi 2/1.0 952 (+3%) 0mo $89,000 $93 70
4519 Alfred Dr 0.45mi 2/1.0 960 (+4%) 1mo $81,000 $84 70
752 Cleverly Rd 0.09mi 2/1.0 788 (-14%) 2mo $115,000 $146 68
361 Roxbury Rd 0.36mi 2/1.0 864 (-6%) 6mo $120,000 $139 65
419 Lindenwood Rd 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (+9%) 0mo $88,000 $87 57
5227 Shasta Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+9%) 1mo $122,500 $122 55
4660 Gardendale Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-6%) 5mo $80,000 $93 49
5009 Yalecrest Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+8%) 5mo $91,000 $91 48
4059 Kammer Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,037 (+12%) 8mo $99,000 $95 45
4600 Gardendale Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-6%) 7mo $82,000 $95 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-5,034
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$13,155
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45417

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,019 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $964/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $818
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 626 $950 $1.52 43d 1 0.07mi
4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 3d 1 0.50mi
4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,150 $1.33 2d 1 0.68mi
3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 0.70mi
3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 525 $625 $1.19 14d 1 0.77mi
1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 2d 1 0.89mi
4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 43d 1 0.94mi
1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 957 $900 $0.94 2d 1 0.94mi
863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 0.94mi
5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 925 $1,025 $1.11 43d 1 0.95mi
126 Bluecrest Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 840 $1,000 $1.19 14d 1 0.98mi
1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 2d 1 0.99mi
342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 43d 1 1.09mi
342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 2d 1 1.09mi
828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 23d 1 1.13mi
137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 784 $900 $1.15 3d 1 1.17mi
920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 3d 1 1.26mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 2d 1 1.28mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 43d 1 1.28mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 2d 1 1.28mi
500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $910 $1.07 43d 1 1.30mi
70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 966 $1,300 $1.35 2d 1 1.37mi
3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 43d 1 1.48mi
635 Anna St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 14d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-05-16
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$964 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,262 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$298/yr (+$25/mo · 30.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,224
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$964
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$978
− Management
−$978
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$70
After-tax cash flow
$1,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,186
Household income
$36,945
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
1822.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 0%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.43%
Current HPI
193.4175
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $100,000 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $964 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…