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23 Cary St
B Composite 70.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,500

23 Cary St · LaGrange, GA 30241
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 951 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1909 0.31 ac lot $84/sqft · at area comps Est $83k · at est. ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

House just been remodeled. New carpet and paint. Move in ready.

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • Built 1909
  • Listed 74 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.4% in LaGrange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#393 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Troup County (rural): math 26% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #109 of 174 in GA (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 474 units permitted in Troup County in 2024 (87 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Troup County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,730 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.27%
Cash-on-cash
21.35%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$83,432
List price
$79,500
Delta
-4.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
121 Clara Jean Ct 0.35mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+15%) 2mo $125,000 $114 48
130 Clara Jean Ct 0.32mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+15%) 4mo $119,900 $110 48
902 Georgia Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,064 (+12%) 4mo $73,000 $69 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$14,622
Equity at exit
$11,854
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$54,967
Equity at exit
$6,874

Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30241

Home prices YoY
-3.6%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
269
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,146 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$417
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $713/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $645
Max offer price $79,500
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,875
Closing costs
$2,385
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Peachtree Ct Lagrange, GA 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,050 $0.94 44d 1 0.52mi
1006 Greenville St Lagrange, GA 1.0 1.0 772 $850 $1.10 44d 1 0.53mi
300 Commerce Ave LaGrange, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1248 $1,337 $1.07 3d 26 0.64mi
1 Canopy Crest WAY LaGrange, GA 2.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 1442 $1,885 $1.31 3d 9 0.72mi
150 Mill Creek Pkwy LaGrange, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 954 $1,225 $1.28 44d 11 0.81mi
621 Arthur St Unit B LaGrange, GA 1.0 1.0 600 $995 $1.66 44d 1 0.84mi
203 Front St Lagrange, GA 1.0 1.0 852 $925 $1.09 44d 1 0.89mi
151 S Davis Rd LaGrange, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,352 $1.44 3d 31 1.19mi
140 N Davis Rd LaGrange, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 983 $1,199 $1.22 2d 14 1.45mi
109 Ware St Lagrange, GA 1.0 1.0 614 $925 $1.51 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,500 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,500 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,500 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,500 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,500 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,500 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,500 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,500 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,500 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $79,500 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $79,500 Back On Market 60 DOM
  12. 2026-04-20
    price $79,500 63-char remark
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    House just been remodeled. New carpet and paint. Move in ready.

  13. 2026-03-30
    listed $84,900 New 63-char remark
    Show marketing remark (63 chars)

    House just been remodeled. New carpet and paint. Move in ready.

  14. 2024-03-14
    historical $695
  15. 2024-02-04
    listed $695

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$713 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$731 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$18/yr (+$1/mo · 2.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 51% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,754
− Mortgage interest
−$4,453
− Property taxes
−$713
− Insurance
−$398
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,100
− Management
−$1,100
− Depreciation
−$2,313
Taxable income
$3,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$882
After-tax cash flow
$3,869/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Troup County
NCES district ID
1300001
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,354
Composite
23.3/100
National rank
#7920
State rank
#109 of 174 in GA

Livability — LaGrange

Score
60/100
State rank
#393
US rank
#19555

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
LaGrange, GA
County
Troup County · 57,111 people
City population
57,111
Metro
LaGrange, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
25,840
Household income
$49,053
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
1383.0

Population outlook (Troup County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,537 people
By 2030
78,250 · +3.6%
By 2040
83,184 · +10.1%
By 2050
87,167 · +15.4%
By 2075
95,643 · +26.6%
By 2100
94,234 · +24.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 46% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Troup

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.4) · D 37.6% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -24.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.4 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+23.4 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.51%
Current HPI
277.9099
Rent YoY
▲ 4.95%
Metro
LaGrange, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $79,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $84,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $695 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-02-04 Listed for Rent $695 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $713 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…