23 Cary St · LaGrange, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 51.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
House just been remodeled. New carpet and paint. Move in ready.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Built 1909
- Listed 74 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.4% in LaGrange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#393 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Troup County (rural): math 26% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #109 of 174 in GA (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 474 units permitted in Troup County in 2024 (87 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Troup County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.35%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,432
- List price
- $79,500
- Delta
- -4.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Clara Jean Ct | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+15%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $114 | 48 |
| 130 Clara Jean Ct | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+15%) | 4mo | $119,900 | $110 | 48 |
| 902 Georgia Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+12%) | 4mo | $73,000 | $69 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $14,622
- Equity at exit
- $11,854
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $54,967
- Equity at exit
- $6,874
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30241
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,146 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $713/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $396
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Peachtree Ct Lagrange, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1006 Greenville St Lagrange, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $850 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 300 Commerce Ave LaGrange, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1248 | $1,337 | $1.07 | 3d | 26 | 0.64mi |
| 1 Canopy Crest WAY LaGrange, GA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1442 | $1,885 | $1.31 | 3d | 9 | 0.72mi |
| 150 Mill Creek Pkwy LaGrange, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $1,225 | $1.28 | 44d | 11 | 0.81mi |
| 621 Arthur St Unit B LaGrange, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $995 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 203 Front St Lagrange, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $925 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 151 S Davis Rd LaGrange, GA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $1,352 | $1.44 | 3d | 31 | 1.19mi |
| 140 N Davis Rd LaGrange, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $1,199 | $1.22 | 2d | 14 | 1.45mi |
| 109 Ware St Lagrange, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 614 | $925 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $79,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $79,500 Back On Market 60 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $79,500 63-char remark
Show marketing remark (63 chars)
House just been remodeled. New carpet and paint. Move in ready.
-
2026-03-30$84,900 New 63-char remark
Show marketing remark (63 chars)
House just been remodeled. New carpet and paint. Move in ready.
-
2024-03-14historical $695
-
2024-02-04$695
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $713 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $731 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$18/yr (+$1/mo · 2.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 51% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,754
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$713
- − Insurance
- −$398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,100
- − Management
- −$1,100
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $3,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,869/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Troup County
- NCES district ID
- 1300001
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,354
- Composite
- 23.3/100
- National rank
- #7920
- State rank
- #109 of 174 in GA
Livability — LaGrange
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #393
- US rank
- #19555
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- LaGrange, GA
- County
- Troup County · 57,111 people
- City population
- 57,111
- Metro
- LaGrange, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,840
- Household income
- $49,053
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1383.0
Population outlook (Troup County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,537 people
- By 2030
- 78,250 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 83,184 · +10.1%
- By 2050
- 87,167 · +15.4%
- By 2075
- 95,643 · +26.6%
- By 2100
- 94,234 · +24.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 46% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Troup
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.4) · D 37.6% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -24.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.4 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+23.4 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.51%
- Current HPI
- 277.9099
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.95%
- Metro
- LaGrange, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-6.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $79,500 GAMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $84,900 GAMLS
- 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $695 APPFOLIO
- 2024-02-04 Listed for Rent $695 APPFOLIO
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $713 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…