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1398 Milwaukee Ave
B- Composite 68.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$53,000

1398 Milwaukee Ave · Defiance, OH 43512
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1951 6,599 sqft lot $102/sqft · at area comps Est $51k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PERFECT FOR ANYONE WHO PREFERS MORE GARAGE THAN HOME.A LITTLE HOUSE AND A LOT OF GARAGE!

Key facts

  • 6,599 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1951

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($756 rent vs $53k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.5% in Defiance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#448 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Defiance City (town): math 48% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #449 of 656 in OH (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Defiance County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Defiance County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $53k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,230 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.25%
Cash-on-cash
21.28%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,369
List price
$53,000
Delta
3.18%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$8,161
Equity at exit
$7,902
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$28,651
Equity at exit
$4,582

Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43512

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$756 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$278
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $405/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$159
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $422
Max offer price $53,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,250
Closing costs
$1,590
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $53,000 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,000 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,000 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $53,000 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $53,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $53,000 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $53,000 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-03-04
    listed $53,000 Active
  10. 2025-10-14
    price $14,900 88-char remark
    Show marketing remark (88 chars)

    PERFECT FOR ANYONE WHO PREFERS MORE GARAGE THAN HOME.A LITTLE HOUSE AND A LOT OF GARAGE!

  11. 2006-06-16
    soldstatus $14,000
  12. 2006-06-16
    soldstatus $30,000
  13. 2006-06-15
    soldstatus $14,900 88-char remark
    Show marketing remark (88 chars)

    PERFECT FOR ANYONE WHO PREFERS MORE GARAGE THAN HOME.A LITTLE HOUSE AND A LOT OF GARAGE!

  14. 2006-01-16
    listed $23,900 88-char remark
    Show marketing remark (88 chars)

    PERFECT FOR ANYONE WHO PREFERS MORE GARAGE THAN HOME.A LITTLE HOUSE AND A LOT OF GARAGE!

  15. 2000-02-11
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$405 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$616 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$211/yr (+$18/mo · 52.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,066
− Mortgage interest
−$2,969
− Property taxes
−$405
− Insurance
−$265
− Repairs & maintenance
−$725
− Management
−$725
− Depreciation
−$1,542
Taxable income
$2,435
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$584
After-tax cash flow
$2,573/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Defiance City
NCES district ID
3904386
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
41.86/100
National rank
#3375
State rank
#449 of 656 in OH

Livability — Defiance

Score
71/100
State rank
#448
US rank
#7316

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Defiance, OH
County
Defiance · 37,898 people
City population
27,894
Population (ZIP)
27,894
Household income
$72,082
Rent vs Own
23.2% rent · 76.8% own
Severe rent burden
7.6

Population outlook (Defiance County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,051 people
By 2030
36,013 · -2.8%
By 2040
33,583 · -9.4%
By 2050
31,309 · -15.5%
By 2075
26,980 · -27.2%
By 2100
23,416 · -36.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Defiance

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.33%
Current HPI
210.2352
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $53,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $14,900 NORIS
  • 2006-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-15 Sold (MLS) $14,900 NORIS
  • 2006-01-16 Listed $23,900 NORIS
  • 2000-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $405 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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