14155 La Hwy 73 #30 · Prairieville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A standout property that checks all the boxes! This beautifully upgraded condo offers exceptional value in an unbeatable location. Features typically found in much higher-priced properties shine throughout the home. Enjoy tranquil pond views from both levels of the unit. The open, split-level floor plan includes 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, plus a second-floor landing ideal for a home office or flex space. The living area showcases double-crown molding, wood flooring, and a cozy gas fireplace. The eat-in kitchen, equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and bar seating, also includes a keeping area that opens directly to a large patio--perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary ensuite is a relaxing retreat overlooking the pond and features two closets, including a spacious walk-in closet in the bath area. Primary bath offers a dual vanity, separate shower, and garden tub. With its upgrades, layout, and prime location, this condo is truly a must-see!
Key facts
- Two closets
- Dual vanity
- Primary ensuite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
- Recommended offer: $237k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.3% in Prairieville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 18 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.20%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,526
- List price
- $269,500
- Delta
- 9.76%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14155 La Hwy 73 #20 | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,975 (-2%) | 3mo | $284,000 | $144 | 94 |
| 14237 La Hwy 73 Unit D | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,785 (-12%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $148 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-17,276
- Equity at exit
- $40,183
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $23,370
- Equity at exit
- $23,301
Cash invested: $75,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70769
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,011 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,413
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,961/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$632
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,375
- Closing costs
- $8,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37313 Mindy Way Ave Prairieville, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2517 | $4,050 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 15279 Oak Heritage Ave Prairieville, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1331 | $2,243 | $1.69 | 14d | 7 | 1.21mi |
| 37393 Preserve Trl Gonzales, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1956 | $2,500 | $1.28 | 14d | 2 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $269,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $269,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,500 Active 114 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $269,500 Active 113 DOM
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2026-04-23price $269,500 1002-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
A standout property that checks all the boxes! This beautifully upgraded condo offers exceptional value in an unbeatable location. Features typically found in much higher-priced properties shine throughout the home. Enjoy tranquil pond views from both levels of the unit. The open, split-level floor plan includes 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, plus a second-floor landing ideal for a home office or flex space. The living area showcases double-crown molding, wood flooring, and a cozy gas fireplace. The eat-in kitchen, equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and bar seating, also includes a keeping area that opens directly to a large patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary ensuite is a relaxing retreat overlooking the pond and features two closets, including a spacious walk-in closet in the bath area. Primary bath offers a dual vanity, separate shower, and garden tub. With its upgrades, layout, and prime location, this condo is truly a must-see!
-
2026-04-23price $269,500 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1007 chars)
A standout property that checks all the boxes! This beautifully upgraded condo offers exceptional value in an unbeatable location. Features typically found in much higher-priced properties shine throughout the home. Enjoy tranquil pond views from both levels of the unit. The open, split-level floor plan includes 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, plus a second-floor landing ideal for a home office or flex space. The living area showcases double-crown molding, wood flooring, and a cozy gas fireplace. The eat-in kitchen, equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and bar seating, also includes a keeping area that opens directly to a large patio—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary ensuite is a relaxing retreat overlooking the pond and features two closets, including a spacious walk-in closet in the bath area. Primary bath offers a dual vanity, separate shower, and garden tub. With its upgrades, layout, and prime location, this condo is truly a must-see!
-
2026-02-06$278,000 Active 1007-char remark
Show marketing remark (1002 chars)
A standout property that checks all the boxes! This beautifully upgraded condo offers exceptional value in an unbeatable location. Features typically found in much higher-priced properties shine throughout the home. Enjoy tranquil pond views from both levels of the unit. The open, split-level floor plan includes 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, plus a second-floor landing ideal for a home office or flex space. The living area showcases double-crown molding, wood flooring, and a cozy gas fireplace. The eat-in kitchen, equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and bar seating, also includes a keeping area that opens directly to a large patio--perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary ensuite is a relaxing retreat overlooking the pond and features two closets, including a spacious walk-in closet in the bath area. Primary bath offers a dual vanity, separate shower, and garden tub. With its upgrades, layout, and prime location, this condo is truly a must-see!
-
2026-02-06$278,000 Active 1002-char remark
Show marketing remark (1002 chars)
A standout property that checks all the boxes! This beautifully upgraded condo offers exceptional value in an unbeatable location. Features typically found in much higher-priced properties shine throughout the home. Enjoy tranquil pond views from both levels of the unit. The open, split-level floor plan includes 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, plus a second-floor landing ideal for a home office or flex space. The living area showcases double-crown molding, wood flooring, and a cozy gas fireplace. The eat-in kitchen, equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and bar seating, also includes a keeping area that opens directly to a large patio--perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary ensuite is a relaxing retreat overlooking the pond and features two closets, including a spacious walk-in closet in the bath area. Primary bath offers a dual vanity, separate shower, and garden tub. With its upgrades, layout, and prime location, this condo is truly a must-see!
-
2025-08-01price $275,000
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2025-08-01price $275,000
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2025-03-25status Active
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2024-12-11$289,900 Active
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2024-12-11historical
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2024-11-14price $289,900
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2024-11-13price $289,900
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2024-09-22price $295,000
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2024-09-07$295,000 Active
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2024-09-07$297,000 Active
-
2014-11-14soldstatus
-
2014-04-28$185,000
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2014-04-28$185,000
-
2014-04-28$185,000
-
2013-12-23$213,000
-
2013-12-23$213,000
-
2012-11-14$213,000
-
2012-11-14$213,000
-
2012-06-06$210,000
-
2012-06-06$210,000
-
2010-09-24$1,550
-
2008-10-30soldstatus
-
2008-10-14$265,000
-
2008-10-14$265,000
-
2006-06-06soldstatus $779,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,961 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,961 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,096
- − Property taxes
- −$1,961
- − Insurance
- −$1,348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,891
- − Management
- −$2,891
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,840
- Taxable income
- $510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — Prairieville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #8507
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prairieville, LA
- County
- Ascension Parish · 98,362 people
- City population
- 49,278
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,278
- Household income
- $109,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 91.0
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ascension
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.56%
- Current HPI
- 144.2267
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.47%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-65.4% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $269,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $269,500 GBRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $278,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $278,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $275,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $275,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-25 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-12-11 Listed $289,900 GBRMLS
- 2024-12-11 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-11-14 Price Changed $289,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-11-13 Price Changed $289,900 GBRMLS
- 2024-09-22 Price Changed $295,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-09-07 Listed $297,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-09-07 Listed $295,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-11-14 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2014-04-28 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-04-28 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-04-28 Listed $185,000 GBRMLS
- 2013-12-23 Listed $213,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-12-23 Listed $213,000 GBRMLS
- 2012-11-14 Listed $213,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2012-11-14 Listed $213,000 GBRMLS
- 2012-06-06 Listed $210,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2012-06-06 Listed $210,000 GBRMLS
- 2010-09-24 Listed $1,550 GBRMLS
- 2008-10-30 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2008-10-14 Listed $265,000 GBRMLS
- 2008-10-14 Listed $265,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $779,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,961 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…