708 S Clay St · Holden, MO 64040

$79,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,670 sqft · Other public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1940 ↓ 9% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Double corner lot, This is alot of house for the price. lots of windows for brightness could be 4 bedroom, has storm cellar with easy access, lots and lots of new.

Key facts

• Fenced yard
• Newer roof
• Front porch

Tags

• DETACHED GARAGE
• SHED WITH POWER
• NEWER ROOF
• FENCED YARD
• LARGE DINING AREA
• FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Not in a flood plain
• HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

• Parking: Detached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence (attached property); Ranch style
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Patio; Metal fencing; Corner lot; Paved road with public maintenance

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Electric cooling (has air conditioning)
• Interior features: Storm windows; Eat-in kitchen; Ranch floor plan

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 2.6% in Holden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#167 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Holden R-III (rural): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #176 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Johnson County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.53% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 25.13%
• DSCR: 2.12
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 43.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.28×
• Total profit: $73,340
• Equity at exit: $71,980

10-year hold

• IRR: 37.3%
• Equity multiple: 9.60×
• Total profit: $192,473
• Equity at exit: $155,228

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 64040

• Home prices YoY: 6.2%
• Active inventory: 75
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,219 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax from tax record: −$42 /mo · $504/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$256
• Net cashflow: $469

Break-even live

Break-even rent $626

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-12
   statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   remarks 325-char remark
5. 2026-06-07
   listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $504 · $42/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $775 · $65/mo
• Expected delta: +$271/yr (+$23/mo · 53.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,625
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$504
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,170
• − Management: −$1,170
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $4,582
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,100
• After-tax cash flow: $4,523/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Holden R-III
• NCES district ID: 2914490
• Math proficiency: 33% ▲ 2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $53,033
• Composite: 32.27/100
• National rank: #5759
• State rank: #176 of 324 in MO

Livability — Holden

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #167
• US rank: #8986

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Holden, MO
• City population: 5,968
• Population (ZIP): 5,968

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 55,794 people
• By 2030: 56,861 · +1.9%
• By 2040: 58,239 · +4.4%
• By 2050: 59,168 · +6.0%
• By 2075: 62,222 · +11.5%
• By 2100: 60,118 · +7.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 6% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.2pp · 2024: -39.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+36.9 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+12.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 19.92%
• Current HPI: 342.75
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

-8.7% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-06 Listed $79,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-07-27 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2005-05-19 Listed $87,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2003-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1999-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1999-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1998-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $504 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.