2417 Charles St · St. Joseph, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors! This two bedroom, one bathroom home features updated luxury vinyl plank, hardwood floors, and carpet. Laundry hook-ups are available in the mudroom. The home is currently occupied by long-term tenants. This turn-key property will make a great addition to any portfolio!
Key facts
- 4,200 sq ft lot
- Built 1922
- Listed 136 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($808/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.95%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,850
- List price
- $98,000
- Delta
- -10.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2629 Faraon St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 676 (+4%) | 15mo | $70,000 | $104 | 60 |
| 519 S 19th St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+7%) | 12mo | $52,900 | $76 | 59 |
| 305 N 27th St | 0.32mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 588 (-9%) | 9mo | $89,750 | $153 | 57 |
| 3015 Edmond St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+8%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $150 | 55 |
| 717 S 17th St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (+10%) | 3mo | $114,500 | $160 | 53 |
| 3120 Charles St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+4%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $164 | 45 |
| 2327 Seneca St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+8%) | 20mo | $115,000 | $164 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-11,625
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-4,740
- Equity at exit
- $8,473
Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64501
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $845 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$514
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $542/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $67
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $123 | -5% $95 | +0% $67 | +5% $40 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1 | -5% $34 | +0% $67 | +5% $101 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $117 | -0.5pp $92 | base $67 | +0.5pp $42 | +1.0pp $16 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,500
- Closing costs
- $2,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 N 11th St Unit 104 St Joseph, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $750 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 201 S 10th St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1015 Faraon St St Joseph, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $820 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1106 Olive St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $725 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 516 N 10th St Saint Joseph, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 809 Hall St Unit B St Joseph, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $98,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-03-13price $98,000 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Attention investors! This two bedroom, one bathroom home features updated luxury vinyl plank, hardwood floors, and carpet. Laundry hook-ups are available in the mudroom. The home is currently occupied by long-term tenants. This turn-key property will make a great addition to any portfolio!
-
2026-01-23$100,000 Active 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Attention investors! This two bedroom, one bathroom home features updated luxury vinyl plank, hardwood floors, and carpet. Laundry hook-ups are available in the mudroom. The home is currently occupied by long-term tenants. This turn-key property will make a great addition to any portfolio!
-
2024-07-20historical $900
-
2024-07-11$900
-
2024-04-13historical $850
-
2024-04-12$850
-
2024-04-10historical $850
-
2024-03-30$850
-
2019-03-05soldstatus 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
A great starter home, Retirement home, fixer upper home or Rental etc. . The roof is 10-15 years, some newer windows, siding, hardwood floors, possible 3rd bedroom easily , Eat in kitchen , off street parking, fenced back and front yard.
-
2019-03-05soldstatus
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
A great starter home, Retirement home, fixer upper home or Rental etc. . The roof is 10-15 years, some newer windows, siding, hardwood floors, possible 3rd bedroom easily , Eat in kitchen , off street parking, fenced back and front yard.
-
2019-02-26$20,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
A great starter home, Retirement home, fixer upper home or Rental etc. . The roof is 10-15 years, some newer windows, siding, hardwood floors, possible 3rd bedroom easily , Eat in kitchen , off street parking, fenced back and front yard.
-
1984-11-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $542 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $951 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$409/yr (+$34/mo · 75.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,490
- − Property taxes
- −$542
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$811
- − Management
- −$811
- − Depreciation
- −$2,851
- Taxable loss
- −$858
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,014/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Joseph
- NCES district ID
- 2927060
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,007
- Composite
- 27.99/100
- National rank
- #6853
- State rank
- #241 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Joseph
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Joseph, MO
- County
- Buchanan County · 32,150 people
- City population
- 44,382
- Metro
- St. Joseph, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,689
- Household income
- $46,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,041 people
- By 2030
- 88,401 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 86,220 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 83,603 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 76,750 · -13.8%
- By 2100
- 67,623 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.20%
- Current HPI
- 157.8706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Joseph, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+390.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $98,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-23 Listed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-20 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-11 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-13 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-12 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-30 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
- 2019-03-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-03-05 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-26 Listed $20,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-11-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $542 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…