Duplex
1021 66th St · University City, MO
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
For Sale by Owner/Broker Stabilized duplex investment opportunity in University City featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units, both fully occupied. Property offers consistent in-place cash flow with a strong tenant profile, including one long-term tenant exceeding 10 years and one unit with 2 years occupancy. Recent capital improvements include a full remodel of Unit 1021 in 2024, HVAC upgrades in both units, a 2024 water heater replacement in Unit 1021, a 2025 refrigerator replacement in Unit 1023, and thermal insulated windows throughout. These updates reduce near-term capital expenditure exposure and support long-term operational stability. Current rents total $1,675 per month ($20,100 ann
Key facts
- Hvac upgrades
- Built 1960
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $915 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $457/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.9% in University City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#84 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D-, commute D-, health & safety F.
- University City (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #297 of 324 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.73%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $29,997
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $108,232
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63130
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,730 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,537/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$573
- Net cashflow
- $915
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,730 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,365 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,365 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,730 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6614 Chamberlain Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,820 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 6543 Etzel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,600 | $1.65 | 17d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6636 Etzel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6636 Etzel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1019 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 7d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6274 Cates Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,295 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 6261 Clemens Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 716 Westgate Ave Unit 3 University City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,995 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6409 Enright Ave University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $2,420 | $1.83 | 1d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 1019 N Skinker Pkwy St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1137 | $2,795 | $2.46 | 1d | 9 | 0.46mi |
| 6650 Delmar Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 760 | $2,095 | $2.76 | 1d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 6913 Etzel Ave Unit 1496954P University City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $5,767 | $4.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6105 Delmar Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 931 | $2,610 | $2.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6936 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,858 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7045 Plymouth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $1,745 | $1.14 | 11d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6186 Waterman Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6017 Kingsbury Ave Unit 2f St. Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $3,250 | $2.17 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6017 Kingsbury Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,700 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6009 Kingsbury Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $2,000 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6023 Waterman Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,800 | $3.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5804 Cates Ave Unit 2 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5920 McPherson Ave Unit 1st Floor St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,550 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7227 Balson Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1682 | $1,650 | $0.98 | 7d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5861 Nina Pl Apt 2W St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5861 Nina Pl Unit 3W St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7260 Dartmouth Ave Unit 1-West University City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,795 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7261 Delmar Blvd University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1115 Backer St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,495 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5783 McPherson Ave Unit 2FL St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,550 | $1.93 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7333 Amherst Ave Unit 1W University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,350 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7330 Ahern Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1872 | $2,450 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5572 Clemens Ave Unit 1W St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,025 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7379 Pershing Ave Unit 1E Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,295 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 7361 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,095 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract
-
2026-05-12$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,537 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,794 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$257/yr (+$21/mo · 16.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,760
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,537
- − Insurance
- −$1,722
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,621
- − Management
- −$2,621
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $8,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,043
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,935/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- University City
- NCES district ID
- 2930660
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,927
- Composite
- 18.57/100
- National rank
- #8910
- State rank
- #297 of 324 in MO
Livability — University City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #5618
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- University City, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 28,910
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,910
- Household income
- $85,823
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 893.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 31% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Chinese 4% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -436.88%
- Current HPI
- 185.599
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $185,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2022): $1,537 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…