302 N Verret St · Amelia, LA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J.S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
Key facts
- Public library
- Covered patio
- Large storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-159/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (1.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#331 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- St. Mary Parish (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 98 in LA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: J.S. Aucoin Elementary School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #333 of 646 statewide, top 54%, 283 students, 56% FRL); Morgan City Junior High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #125 of 218 statewide, top 58%, 488 students, 56% FRL); Morgan City High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #106 of 265 statewide, top 43%, 732 students, 55% FRL).
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in St. Mary Parish in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Mary County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $155k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.47%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,436
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -9.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 S Verret St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,401 (-15%) | 14mo | $169,900 | $121 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-25,972
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-23,748
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70380
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,277 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $939/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $-13
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $74 | -5% $31 | +0% $-13 | +5% $-57 | +10% $-101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-114 | -5% $-64 | +0% $-13 | +5% $37 | +10% $88 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $26 | base $-13 | +0.5pp $-53 | +1.0pp $-94 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $155,000 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $155,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $155,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 202 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $155,000 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J.S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2026-04-28price $155,000 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J. S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2026-04-01price $162,500 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J. S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2026-04-01price $162,500 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J. S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2026-01-12price $165,000 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J. S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2026-01-12price $165,000 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J. S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2025-12-19status Active 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J. S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2025-11-03status Pending 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J. S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2025-10-20price $170,000 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J.S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2025-10-20price $170,000 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J.S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2025-09-25$175,000 Active 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J.S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
-
2025-09-25$175,000 Active 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Charming home in a Quiet Neighborhood This well-kept home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a covered patio, and a large storage shed in the backyard. Conveniently located within walking distance to J.S. Aucoin Elementary, the public library, and local churches. A huge bonus-this property is not in a flood zone! Move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Call today to schedule your showing!
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2021-05-07$165,000
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2002-09-25soldstatus $57,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $939 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $939 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,324
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$939
- − Insurance
- −$1,572
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,226
- − Management
- −$1,226
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$2,830
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$679
- After-tax cash flow
- $520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Mary Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201620
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,843
- Composite
- 28.1/100
- National rank
- #6828
- State rank
- #37 of 98 in LA
Livability — Amelia
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #22212
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amelia, LA
- City population
- 123
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,043
Population outlook (St. Mary County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,510 people
- By 2030
- 47,570 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 43,880 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 40,655 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 37,190 · -24.9%
- By 2100
- 38,101 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Mary
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.5% · R 65.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.21%
- Current HPI
- 99.8137
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+171.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $155,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $162,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $162,500 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $165,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-12-19 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2025-11-03 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $170,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $170,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $175,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $175,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-05-07 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2002-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $57,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $939 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…