808 Caylor St · Benton Park, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 37 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home has potential, detached garage and room for shop, additional garage or ADU.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1946
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Sewer; Public water
- Home design: Pre-owned residence; Owner-occupied
- Construction: Concrete perimeter foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Located in the South Oleander neighborhood; Directions: South H to Belle Terrace, north on Caylor; home on the east side of the street; Cross street: Belle Terrace
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Great room; Formal dining room; Breakfast area; Bonus room; Fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Kern High (urban): math 21% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #860 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,017/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2587% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $150k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.36%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $302,335
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 Caylor St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,265 (0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $119 | 99 |
| 1009 Chapel Dr | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,251 (-1%) | 1mo | $299,000 | $239 | 73 |
| 2293 Brite St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,375 (+9%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $164 | 70 |
| 1108 S Chester | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,167 (-8%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $206 | 68 |
| 1201 El Toro Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,185 (-6%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $274 | 65 |
| 119 Eye St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (+4%) | 1mo | $261,900 | $199 | 59 |
| 1501 Edna St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+6%) | 1mo | $329,000 | $245 | 57 |
| 1913 Ming Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-14%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $279 | 44 |
| 1008 Paloma St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,449 (+14%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $190 | 44 |
| 1708 Anita Ln | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (-14%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $279 | 43 |
| 1704 Anita Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-14%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $288 | 42 |
| 1102 Castro Ln | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,436 (+14%) | 1mo | $341,000 | $237 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $8,471
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $34,349
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93304
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 159
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,017 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,641/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $607
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $692 | -5% $650 | +0% $607 | +5% $565 | +10% $523 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $448 | -5% $528 | +0% $607 | +5% $687 | +10% $767 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $683 | -0.5pp $646 | base $607 | +0.5pp $569 | +1.0pp $529 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 Houchin Rd Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,150 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 801 Oleander Ave Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,480 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1825 3rd St Unit C Bakersfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1928 Doolittle Ave Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $2,100 | $1.84 | 20d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 510 Holtby Rd Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1018 Chester Pl Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1278 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 432 S Real Rd Unit B Bakersfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3720 Apache Ave Unit A Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $2,000 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2312 Castro Ln Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $2,100 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 128 U St Bakersfield, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $1,995 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 200 Wetherley Dr Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,795 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3013 Alma Way Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $2,100 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 726 K St Unit B Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1285 | $1,695 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 825 H St Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 729 L St Unit A Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1285 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2022 Maple Ave Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,750 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3920 Navajo Ave Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1068 | $2,100 | $1.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3825 Bianchi Way Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $2,098 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 515 Cherokee Dr Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1420 | $1,999 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1409 Lindsay Dr Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1049 | $2,200 | $2.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2109 Belvedere Ave Bakersfield, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,200 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2704 Villalovos Ct Unit 2 Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3901 Soranno Ave Bakersfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1821 Lacey St Apt J Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,150 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1821 Lacey St Unit H Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,150 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2600 Chandler Ct Bakersfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1073 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 419 8th St Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $2,200 | $2.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-05-18$150,000 Active
-
1995-07-28soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,641 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,641 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,641
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,936
- − Management
- −$1,936
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $5,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,242
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kern High
- NCES district ID
- 0619540
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,686
- Composite
- 33.68/100
- National rank
- #10443
- State rank
- #860 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Benton Park
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Benton Park, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,037
- Household income
- $50,790
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2587.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 18% White 14% Black 9% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 65%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.78%
- Current HPI
- 397.9557
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.68%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+163.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — GEMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $150,000 GEMLS
- 1995-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,641 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…