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812 Co Rd 1123
B+ Composite 78.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$134,900

812 Co Rd 1123 · West Point, AL 35179
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1993 1.00 ac lot $141/sqft · 34% below area Est $206k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Location near West Point Schools. New Roof.

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1993
  • Listed 73 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.1% in West Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#85 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $164 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $126,806 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.72%
Cash-on-cash
15.82%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$205,606
List price
$134,900
Delta
-34.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

0.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$28,485
Equity at exit
$39,991
10-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$83,984
Equity at exit
$48,730

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35179

Home prices YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,640 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $409/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$498

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,010
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,900 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,900 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $134,900 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $134,900 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $134,900 Active 54 DOM
  17. 2026-04-01
    listed $134,900 Active 49-char remark
    Show marketing remark (49 chars)

    Great Location near West Point Schools. New Roof.

  18. 2007-09-28
    listed $69,000
  19. 2005-02-18
    listed $68,500
  20. 2002-04-12
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$409 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$553 · $46/mo
Expected delta
+$144/yr (+$12/mo · 35.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,682
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$409
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,575
− Management
−$1,575
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$3,969
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$952
After-tax cash flow
$5,024/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cullman County
NCES district ID
0101020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,449
Composite
28.39/100
National rank
#6767
State rank
#49 of 129 in AL

Livability — West Point

Score
67/100
State rank
#85
US rank
#10956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,957

Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,522 people
By 2030
85,402 · +1.0%
By 2040
86,152 · +1.9%
By 2050
85,202 · +0.8%
By 2075
79,679 · -5.7%
By 2100
66,943 · -20.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Cullman

2024 margin
Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.12%
Current HPI
272.8749
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $134,900 SAARMLS
  • 2007-09-28 Listed $69,000 SAARMLS
  • 2005-02-18 Listed $68,500 SAARMLS
  • 2002-04-12 Listed $59,900 SAARMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $409 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…