Kershaw Plan · Blythewood, SC 29016

$236,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,962 sqft · SingleFamily · 34 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.1/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This two-story home includes two-and-one-half bathrooms and three bedrooms, each with a walk-in closet. The first floor features a large great room with flex space that you have the option of turning into a home office. It also contains the kitchen, dining area, and two-car garage. Upstairs, a free space leads into the spare bedrooms and second bathroom, with the primary bedroom and laundry room down the hall. The primary bedroom can be given a vaulted ceiling, and multiple options for configuring the primary bathroom are available.

Key facts

• Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $236,000

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family home (Kershaw plan); Active listing
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,962

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 bathrooms total)
• Interior features: Plan Kershaw (new construction plan)

🏗️ New construction. The $236,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $266,832.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $236k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($876/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $236k).
• Recommended offer: $229k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#58 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 650 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $228,920 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.91% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.62%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.17%
• DSCR: 1.05
• GRM: 9.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $266,832
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
642 Penfolds Way	0.34mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,141 (+9%)	20mo	$292,000	$136	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.48×
• Total profit: $-38,553
• Equity at exit: $39,786

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.63×
• Total profit: $-27,436
• Equity at exit: $23,071

Cash invested: $74,713 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29016

• Home prices YoY: -26.3%
• Active inventory: 650
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,427 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,399
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$334 /mo · $4,002/yr
• Insurance: −$111
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$510
• Net cashflow: $73

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,334

Max offer price $266,832

Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $66,708
• Closing costs: $8,005
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
312 Joshua Tree Ct Blythewood, SC	3.0	2.5	1731	$1,945	$1.12	23d	1	0.63mi
562 Vintage Pine Dr Blythewood, SC	3.0	2.0	1814	$2,195	$1.21	23d	1	0.72mi
9641 Farrow Rd Columbia, SC	2.0–3.0	2.0	1179	$1,872	$1.59	2d	32	1.16mi
61 Bluebead Ct Columbia, SC	4.0	2.0	1515	$2,249	$1.48	3d	1	1.31mi
1800 Killian Lakes Dr Columbia, SC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1401	$2,657	$1.90	2d	47	1.33mi
621 Heron Glen Dr Columbia, SC	4.0	2.5	2195	$2,095	$0.95	3d	1	1.47mi
608 Cottontail Ct N Columbia, SC	4.0	2.0	1701	$2,139	$1.26	3d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $236,000 Active 34 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $236,000 Active 33 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $236,000 Active 32 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $236,000 Active 31 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $236,000 Active 29 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $236,000 Active 28 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $236,000 Active 26 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $236,000 Active 25 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $236,000 Active 24 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $236,000 Active 23 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $236,000 Active 20 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $236,000 Active 19 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $236,000 Active 18 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $236,000 Active 17 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $236,000 Active 16 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,119
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,947
• − Property taxes: −$4,002
• − Insurance: −$1,334
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,330
• − Management: −$2,330
• − Depreciation: −$7,762
• Taxable loss: −$3,586
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$861
• After-tax cash flow: $1,736/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-story home is in good condition with a good curb appeal. It has a modern kitchen and bathrooms, and the exterior could benefit from a fresh coat of paint to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace light fixtures — Modernizes and improves energy efficiency
• Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy savings

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace light fixtures — Modernizes and improves energy efficiency ↑
• Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy savings ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Richland 02
• NCES district ID: 4503390
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $59,684
• Composite: 36.2/100
• National rank: #4730
• State rank: #29 of 80 in SC

Livability — Blythewood

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #58
• US rank: #7406

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Richland County · 389,530 people
• City population: 30,454
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• Population (ZIP): 30,454
• Household income: $95,082
• Rent vs Own: 16.9% rent · 83.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 559.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 459,667 people
• By 2030: 487,524 · +6.1%
• By 2040: 542,035 · +17.9%
• By 2050: 595,371 · +29.5%
• By 2075: 732,998 · +59.5%
• By 2100: 820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 43% White 42% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -65.48%
• Current HPI: 183.5933
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B