536 Fermoy Ln · Grovetown, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3.25% Assumable Loan! Price drastically reduced on this like new 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home in the much desirable neighborhood of Canterbury Farms. This open floor plan allows for plenty of Family & Friends to entertain. This home is complete with a whole house water filtration/water softener system! The spacious great room with a fireplace opens up to the kitchen that offers granite countertops, stainless-steel appliances, pantry and dining area. Upstairs You'll find 4 Bedrooms & 2 Full Bathrooms. The Owners Suite Has A Spacious Bath With Double Vanity, walk-in closet, a Soaking Tub & Separate Shower. Spend Your Evenings On The Covered Back Porch overlooking the lar
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- Covered back porch
- 7,841 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Canterbury Farms
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($400/year); Community pool; Playground; Trails; Sidewalks; Street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces (attached); 2 total parking spaces; Concrete driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story home; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Built with stone, fiber cement, and frame materials; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio/front and rear porches; Privacy fencing; Fenced yard; Landscaped yard; Front and rear sprinklers; Paved road access; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (bedroom count not separately specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Electric heating; Fireplace(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-462 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (20.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (29.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#57 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Ridge Elementary School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 1,228 statewide, top 29%, 1,150 students, 42% FRL); Grovetown Middle School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #234 of 470 statewide, top 50%, 1,080 students, 49% FRL); Grovetown High School (math 15% / reading 25%, grade F, #232 of 424 statewide, top 56%, 2,236 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 26% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 724 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.00%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $383,547
- List price
- $329,500
- Delta
- -14.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-87,016
- Equity at exit
- $49,130
- IRR
- -37.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.41×
- Total profit
- $-130,315
- Equity at exit
- $28,489
Cash invested: $92,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30813
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 724
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,340 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,728
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$412 /mo · $4,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $-462
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-234 | -5% $-348 | +0% $-462 | +5% $-575 | +10% $-689 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-646 | -5% $-554 | +0% $-462 | +5% $-369 | +10% $-277 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-296 | -0.5pp $-378 | base $-462 | +0.5pp $-547 | +1.0pp $-634 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,375
- Closing costs
- $9,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Navan Ln Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2875 | $2,450 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 705 Navan Ln Grovetown, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2798 | $2,495 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2109 Kinsale Ave Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $1,995 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 306 AVIGNON Unit TP77 Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2460 | $2,800 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 306 AVIGNON Unit TP77 Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2460 | $2,800 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2467 Newbury Ave Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2236 | $2,300 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 918 Williford Run Dr Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2190 | $2,195 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 835 Williford Run Dr Grovetown, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2889 | $2,495 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1721 Dunmore Ave Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2112 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3615 Penrith Dr Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $2,125 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1007 Linsmore Ave Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $2,100 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 456 Brantley Cove Cir Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $1,995 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2612 Waites Dr Grovetown, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2754 | $2,295 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 738 Woodvine Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1772 | $2,135 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 484 Brantley Cove Cir Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2128 | $2,200 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 484 Brantley Cove Cir Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2128 | $2,200 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 488 Brantley Cove Cir Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2161 | $2,100 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1042 Linsmore Ave Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1550 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1042 Linsmore Ave Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1055 Linsmore Ave Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,875 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1058 Linsmore Ave Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,875 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1063 Linsmore Ave Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $1,975 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1066 Linsmore Ave Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $1,720 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3915 Griese Ln Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1924 | $1,975 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1101 Clareton Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1601 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3926 Griese Ln Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1936 | $2,231 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 724 Buddy Ct Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,870 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5336 Nikki Way Unit 1 Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1755 | $1,895 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5336 Nikki Way Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1755 | $1,895 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 700 Keyes Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1950 | $2,050 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 700 Keyes Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1950 | $2,125 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 703 Buddy Ct Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1545 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 703 Buddy Ct Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1545 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1203 Sambar Cir Grovetown, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2846 | $2,750 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1117 Jolly LN Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $1,995 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1115 Jolly Ln , GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $2,035 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 756 Keyes Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1992 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1240 Sambar Cir Grovetown, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2648 | $2,300 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 536 Stirling Bridge Rd Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1161 Fawn Forest Rd Grovetown, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,700 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $329,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $329,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $329,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-04-29price $329,500
-
2026-03-02price $339,000
-
2025-12-04$344,900 Active
-
2025-12-04$329,500 Active 990-char remark
-
2025-05-28historical
-
2025-05-28historical
-
2025-05-03$344,900
-
2025-05-03$344,900
-
2021-10-15soldstatus $301,125
-
2021-10-15soldstatus $301,125
-
2021-06-14$299,900
-
2021-06-14$299,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,078
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,457
- − Property taxes
- −$4,942
- − Insurance
- −$1,648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,246
- − Management
- −$2,246
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$9,585
- Taxable loss
- −$11,443
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,746
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,793/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia County
- NCES district ID
- 1301410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,358
- Composite
- 45.04/100
- National rank
- #2695
- State rank
- #13 of 174 in GA
Livability — Grovetown
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #5433
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Columbia County · 154,184 people
- City population
- 52,466
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,466
- Household income
- $86,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,073 people
- By 2030
- 212,277 · +12.3%
- By 2040
- 259,480 · +37.2%
- By 2050
- 306,991 · +62.4%
- By 2075
- 421,213 · +122.8%
- By 2100
- 496,722 · +162.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.24%
- Current HPI
- 233.821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+9.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $329,500 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $339,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $344,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $329,500 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-28 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-05-28 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-05-03 Listed $344,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-03 Listed $344,900 Hive MLS
- 2021-10-15 Sold (MLS) $301,125 Hive MLS
- 2021-10-15 Sold (MLS) $301,125 Hive MLS
- 2021-06-14 Listed $299,900 Hive MLS
- 2021-06-14 Listed $299,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
-73.0%/yrLatest (2025): $60 · -78.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…