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621 Harvey St
B- Composite 66.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

621 Harvey St · Kinston, NC 28501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,108 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1955 3,049 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity in Kinston NC! 621 Harvey St plus an adjacent vacant lot at 619 Harvey St. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers approximately 1,108 soft of living space and is ready for your vision. Whether looking for your next fix and flip, rental property, or Reno-project this one has very strong potential. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and local amenities. This property is being sold as-is, ! Don't miss out! Cash Offer!

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RA5

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Utilities listed as other; Road frontage on city street and state road
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story, entry level at first floor; Has a view; Residential property
  • Construction: Concrete and vinyl siding exterior; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof; Built as a single-story structure
  • Exterior features: Front porch; No additional exterior features listed; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall/window air conditioning units; Heating system listed as other
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($806 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.8% in Kinston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#640 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lenoir County Public Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #147 of 178 in NC (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rochelle Middle (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #462 of 475 statewide, top 98%, 466 students, 98% FRL); Kinston High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #459 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 713 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 65% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 148 units permitted in Lenoir County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenoir County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.76%
Cash-on-cash
15.96%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$36,564
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
603 N Adkin St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,088 (-2%) 1mo $28,000 $26 87
641 Fields St 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-1%) 6mo $35,000 $32 85
1105 N East St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-0%) 1mo $35,000 $32 79
206 E Vernon Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,052 (-5%) 1mo $35,000 $33 69
554 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd 0.17mi 3/1.0 948 (-14%) 9mo $25,000 $26 61
1000 Liberty Hill Rd 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,145 (+3%) 16mo $65,000 $57 59
1113 Morningside Dr 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,145 (+3%) 12mo $35,000 $31 58
602 Meadows Ln 0.36mi 3/1.0 970 (-12%) 6mo $60,500 $62 57
1204 Morningside Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,242 (+12%) 1mo $175,000 $141 52
203 Park Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+1%) 22mo $113,000 $101 50
724 Fields St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,272 (+15%) 21mo $136,000 $107 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$4,524
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$22,315
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28501

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$806 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $884/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$169
Net cashflow
$224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $523
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
705 Harvey St Kinston, NC 2.0 1.0 896 $700 $0.78 20d 1 0.08mi
503 N Queen St Kinston, NC 1.0–2.0 2.0 759 $723 $0.95 13d 8 0.57mi
1204 Desmond St Kinston, NC 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,340 $1.22 20d 1 0.84mi
619 S Heritage St Kinston, NC 1.0–2.0 2.0 1025 $1,042 $1.02 13d 4 1.11mi
100 Wingate Dr Kinston, NC 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 930 $975 $1.05 20d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 453-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $60,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$884 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$884 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,673
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$884
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$774
− Management
−$774
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$1,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$440
After-tax cash flow
$2,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lenoir County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3702610
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,958
Composite
25.17/100
National rank
#7515
State rank
#147 of 178 in NC

Livability — Kinston

Score
55/100
State rank
#640
US rank
#23267

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kinston, NC
City population
20,407
Population (ZIP)
18,112

Population outlook (Lenoir County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,002 people
By 2030
53,048 · -3.6%
By 2040
49,041 · -10.8%
By 2050
45,136 · -17.9%
By 2075
36,547 · -33.6%
By 2100
27,731 · -49.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenoir

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.8) · D 46.2% · R 53.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -6.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.8 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.17%
Current HPI
193.3213
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $60,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $884 · +294.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…