405 Union Grove Rd · Adamsville, AL 35005

$84,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 608 Days on market

Built 1957 6,011 sqft lot $94/sqft · 37% below area Est $134k · 37% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.7/10.0
• Livability +2.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.1/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This investment property has a tenant in place. The tenant's lease is through 2/28/2025. It is an all-electric home. Prior to tenant moving in the house was painted, new flooring installed and new bath shower tile surround. The pictures with no furniture were taken prior to the house being rented.

Key facts

• All-electric home
• 6,011 sq ft lot
• Built 1957

Tags

• ALL-ELECTRIC HOME

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $84,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$133,947) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
• Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 6.5% in Adamsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 51/100 on livability (#522 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 608 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $26k; list at $85k implies a 223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $74,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 608 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.27% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.33%
• DSCR: 1.73
• GRM: 6.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $133,947
• List price: $84,900
• Delta: -36.62%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 17 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5704 Longview Dr	0.53mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,025 (+14%)	3mo	$175,000	$171	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.29×
• Total profit: $6,826
• Equity at exit: $12,659

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.36×
• Total profit: $32,401
• Equity at exit: $7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35005

• Home prices YoY: -3.9%
• Active inventory: 59
• Price-to-rent: 6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,082 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$445
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $612/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$227
• Net cashflow: $323

Break-even live

Break-even rent $673

Max offer price $84,900

Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,225
• Closing costs: $2,547
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5308 Adams Ave Adamsville, AL	3.0	2.0	816	$1,195	$1.46	23d	1	0.28mi
216 Mountain St Adamsville, AL	3.0	2.0	1027	$999	$0.97	43d	1	0.30mi
3 Russell Dr Adamsville, AL	3.0	2.0	1028	$875	$0.85	19d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $84,900 Active 608 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $84,900 Active 607 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $84,900 Active 606 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $84,900 Active 605 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $84,900 Active 603 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $84,900 Active 600 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $84,900 Active 599 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $84,900 Active 598 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $84,900 Active 597 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 593 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 592 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 591 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 590 DOM
14. 2024-10-18
    listed $84,900 Active 298-char remark

    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    This investment property has a tenant in place. The tenant's lease is through 2/28/2025. It is an all-electric home. Prior to tenant moving in the house was painted, new flooring installed and new bath shower tile surround. The pictures with no furniture were taken prior to the house being rented.

15. 1992-09-19
    soldstatus $26,296
16. 1990-08-01
    soldstatus $30,052

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $612 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $612 · $51/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,988
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,756
• − Property taxes: −$612
• − Insurance: −$424
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,039
• − Management: −$1,039
• − Depreciation: −$2,470
• Taxable income: $2,648
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$636
• After-tax cash flow: $3,246/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jefferson County
• NCES district ID: 0101920
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $51,712
• Composite: 18.4/100
• National rank: #8937
• State rank: #104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Adamsville

• Score: 51/100
• State rank: #522
• US rank: #25480

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Adamsville, AL
• City population: 10,982
• Population (ZIP): 8,143

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 669,185 people
• By 2030: 669,694 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 661,388 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 643,086 · -3.9%
• By 2075: 577,267 · -13.7%
• By 2100: 474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (60%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 60% White 38% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -9.72%
• Current HPI: 237.5788
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+182.5% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2024-10-18 Listed $84,900 Greater Alabama MLS
• 1992-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $26,296 Public Records
• 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,052 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $612 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.