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1016 N Walnut St
D Composite 42.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,000

1016 N Walnut St · Brazil, IN 47834
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,089 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1900 7,841 sqft lot $61/sqft · 21% below area Est $161k · 21% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this delightful home, where original doors and arched doorways set the tone for a life of warmth and charm. The inviting enclosed screened front porch is an absolute haven, perfect for relaxing and unwinding. The main level offers 2 bedrooms, a full bath, a spacious living room, and a formal dining room, all perfectly proportioned for comfort and elegance. The step-saver kitchen shines with stainless steel appliances, a large pantry, and a bright breakfast nook. An enclosed back porch provides extra space to lounge. The upper level boasts 2 spacious bedrooms, plus an unfinished area full of possibilities. Downstairs, the basement features a practical washer and dryer area, along

Key facts

  • Original doors
  • Formal dining room
  • Arched doorways

Tags

ORIGINAL DOORSARCHED DOORWAYSENCLOSED SCREENED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMSTEP-SAVER KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached gravel garage (1 car)
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; 1 story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch (screened)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Insulated windows; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Partial unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-743/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (8.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (31.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in Brazil — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#308 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clay Community Schools (rural): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #79 of 301 in IN (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,533 (31.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.09%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,324
List price
$127,000
Delta
-21.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 W Park St 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,952 (-7%) 5mo $157,500 $81 73
1403 N Walnut St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,984 (-5%) 0mo $270,000 $136 69
921 N Meridian St St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,923 (-8%) 7mo $182,000 $95 68
807 N Alabama Street St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,010 (-4%) 1mo $229,900 $114 66
407 E Jackson St 0.63mi 2/1.0 2,016 (-4%) 5mo $120,000 $60 60
11 Dr Daniel Biggs St 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,992 (-5%) 7mo $155,000 $78 59
334 E Vermont St 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,810 (-13%) 10mo $115,000 $64 52
617 N Meridian St 0.26mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,792 (-14%) 2mo $285,000 $159 51
10325 N Meridian St Rd 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 2,020 (-3%) 11mo $279,000 $138 49
623 N Harrison St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,786 (-14%) 10mo $62,000 $35 41
804 E Hendrix St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,830 (-12%) 11mo $130,000 $71 40
3342 W State Road 340 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,858 (-11%) 21mo $166,750 $90 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.8%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-24,588
Equity at exit
$18,936
10-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-26,749
Equity at exit
$10,981

Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47834

Home prices YoY
-20.8%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$875 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$666
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $415/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$-62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954
Max offer price $116,055
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,750
Closing costs
$3,810
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $127,000 Pending 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $127,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $127,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $127,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $127,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-05-08
    price $137,000 801-char remark
  10. 2026-05-04
    listed $147,000 Active 801-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$415 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$747 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$332/yr (+$28/mo · 80.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,504
− Mortgage interest
−$7,114
− Property taxes
−$415
− Insurance
−$635
− Repairs & maintenance
−$840
− Management
−$840
− Depreciation
−$3,695
Taxable loss
−$3,035
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$728
After-tax cash flow
$-15/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clay Community Schools
NCES district ID
1800840
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$46,673
Composite
40.39/100
National rank
#3733
State rank
#79 of 301 in IN

Livability — Brazil

Score
66/100
State rank
#308
US rank
#12163

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brazil, IN
City population
18,773
Population (ZIP)
18,773

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,820 people
By 2030
25,182 · -2.5%
By 2040
23,562 · -8.7%
By 2050
21,829 · -15.5%
By 2075
17,939 · -30.5%
By 2100
14,042 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 20.7% · R 77.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-45.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+11.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.68%
Current HPI
223.6707
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending THAAR
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $127,000 THAAR
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $137,000 THAAR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $147,000 THAAR

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $415 · +63.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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