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637 Pocahontas St
C- Composite 52.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$169,000

637 Pocahontas St · Glasgow, VA 24555
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1950 10,454 sqft lot $189/sqft · 28% above area Est $132k · 28% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute vinyl sliding cottage on cornet lot with a detached double car garage in back yard. Fenced in yard with mature trees, Attic space could be used for bedroom space or family room

Key facts

  • Attic space
  • Fenced in yard
  • Mature trees

Tags

DETACHED DOUBLE CAR GARAGEFENCED IN YARDMATURE TREESATTIC SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#471 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rockbridge County Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #80 of 131 in VA (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Rockbridge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Rockbridge County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.07%
Cash-on-cash
6.36%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$131,712
List price
$169,000
Delta
28.31%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1611 Blue Ridge Rd 0.17mi 2/1.0 884 (-1%) 6mo $159,900 $181 84
619 Catawba St 0.09mi 2/1.0 816 (-9%) 13mo $104,410 $128 70
612 Gordon St 0.34mi 2/1.0 840 (-6%) 12mo $86,000 $102 64
632 Mcculloch St 0.14mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,029 (+15%) 1mo $145,000 $141 61
1006 10th St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 988 (+10%) 11mo $186,000 $188 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$26,765
Equity at exit
$65,794
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$85,448
Equity at exit
$94,085

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24555

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,796 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax est. 1.5%
$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,478
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    listed $169,000 Active 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Cute vinyl sliding cottage on cornet lot with a detached double car garage in back yard. Fenced in yard with mature trees, Attic space could be used for bedroom space or family room

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,548
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,535
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,724
− Management
−$1,724
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$337
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$81
After-tax cash flow
$2,927/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockbridge County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103370
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -41.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$48,021
Composite
46.65/100
National rank
#2408
State rank
#80 of 131 in VA

Livability — Glasgow

Score
59/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#20232

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glasgow, VA
Population (ZIP)
2,220

Population outlook (Rockbridge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,549 people
By 2030
22,381 · -0.7%
By 2040
21,488 · -4.7%
By 2050
20,054 · -11.1%
By 2075
16,228 · -28.0%
By 2100
11,598 · -48.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 13% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockbridge

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.6% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
176.4084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $169,000 RHR

Property tax history

-4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $289 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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