4201 S Ocean Blvd · South Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully renovated 1-bedroom, 2-bath condo in South Palm Beach. This unit has been completely updated with brand new floors, all new appliances, fully remodeled bathrooms, and fresh paint throughout. Bright, modern, and 100% move-in ready, perfect as a primary home, vacation getaway, or investment. Prime location just minutes from the beach, dining, and shopping. Turnkey. Stylish. Ready to enjoy
Key facts
- New floors
- Renovated
- Fresh paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-82 ($-984/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (5.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $223k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#340 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 447 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.28%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.12% appreciation · 3.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $53,111
- Equity at exit
- $134,815
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $169,700
- Equity at exit
- $234,042
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33480
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 447
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,492 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $-82
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $80 | -5% $-1 | +0% $-82 | +5% $-163 | +10% $-244 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-279 | -5% $-180 | +0% $-82 | +5% $16 | +10% $115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $36 | -0.5pp $-22 | base $-82 | +0.5pp $-143 | +1.0pp $-205 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4201 S Ocean Blvd Unit K2 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 714 | $2,299 | $3.22 | 8d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3500 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,950 | $3.36 | 2d | 3 | 0.44mi |
| 301 Croton Ave #302 Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,900 | $2.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 315 N Lake Dr Unit 6 Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $1,495 | $2.53 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 200 Croton Ave Lantana, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $1,675 | $2.41 | 15d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 119 Sunrise Ave Unit A Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $2,400 | $4.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 115 E Lantana Rd Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,600 | $2.67 | 11d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 115 Palm St Unit 117 Lantana, FL | — | 1.0 | 450 | $1,600 | $3.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 115 Palm St Unit 117 Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,575 | $3.50 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1502 S Lakeside Dr #302 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 19d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1609 S Federal Hwy Apt 102 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,459 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 605 E Coast Ave Unit 2 Lantana, FL | — | 1.0 | 360 | $1,200 | $3.33 | 0d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 112 Milton St Unit 112 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $2,300 | $3.37 | 8d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 112 Milton St Unit 112 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $2,300 | $3.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1100 S Lake Dr Unit 09 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,750 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 601 Latona Ave Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,895 | $3.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 525 S Broadway Unit M Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,575 | $2.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 612 W Drew St Unit E Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,900 | $3.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1115 S Federal Hwy Unit 3 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,550 | $2.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1100 S Broadway Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,650 | $2.54 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1200 S Broadway Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $1,525 | $2.38 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 900 Water Tower Way Lantana, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1176 | $2,118 | $1.80 | 0d | 20 | 1.36mi |
| 1001 Water Tower Way Hypoluxo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,897 | $1.93 | 25d | 25 | 1.38mi |
| 1001 Water Tower Way Hypoluxo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,934 | $1.97 | 0d | 23 | 1.38mi |
| 1001 S Federal Hwy #1 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,995 | $3.07 | 8d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 928 S Federal Hwy Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,475 | $2.11 | 0d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1001 S M St Unit 5 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,395 | $2.33 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 605 S 12th St Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,950 | $2.79 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1101 S K St Unit 16 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,550 | $2.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 401-char remark
-
2026-06-04$235,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,525
- − Insurance
- −$6,294
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,392
- − Management
- −$2,392
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$4,701
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,128
- After-tax cash flow
- $144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This beautifully renovated 1-bedroom, 2-bath condo in South Palm Beach is move-in ready with new floors, appliances, and paint. It's in excellent condition and ready for immediate occupancy.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value.
- Both New outdoor lighting — Enhances curb appeal and safety for potential buyers/tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value. ↑
- Both New outdoor lighting — Enhances curb appeal and safety for potential buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Palm Beach
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #5907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,924
- Household income
- $150,633
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 213.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.12%
- Current HPI
- 464.2769
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.92%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+4376.2% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $235,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2026-05-03 Rental Removed $2,750 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-05-01 Listed for Rent $2,750 RMLSFL
- 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $2,200 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $2,200 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-11-27 Listed for Rent $2,200 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-12-04 Rental Removed $2,900 RMLSFL
- 2024-09-15 Listed for Rent $2,900 RMLSFL
- 2024-03-19 Rental Removed $2,500 RMLSFL
- 2024-03-06 Price Changed $2,500 RMLSFL
- 2024-02-24 Listed for Rent $2,750 RMLSFL
- 2024-02-24 Rental Removed $2,700 RMLSFL
- 2024-02-15 Price Changed $2,700 RMLSFL
- 2024-01-21 Rental Removed $4,000 RMLSFL
- 2024-01-19 Rental Removed $4,000 RMLSFL
- 2024-01-19 Listed for Rent $4,000 RMLSFL
- 2024-01-04 Listed for Rent $4,000 RMLSFL
- 2024-01-04 Rental Removed $4,000 RMLSFL
- 2023-12-28 Price Changed $4,000 RMLSFL
- 2023-12-22 Listed for Rent $2,850 RMLSFL
- 2023-12-21 Price Changed $4,490 RMLSFL
- 2023-12-11 Price Changed $4,750 RMLSFL
- 2023-11-07 Rental Removed $4,950 RMLSFL
- 2023-10-20 Price Changed $4,950 RMLSFL
- 2023-10-20 Listed for Rent $3,000 RMLSFL
- 2023-09-22 Listed for Rent $5,250 RMLSFL
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…