1237 Railroad Ave · Allendale, SC
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This single-family home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 well-appointed bathrooms, making it perfect for families or those seeking extra space. The home is situated on a generous . 20-acre lot, providing ample outdoor space for gardening, recreational activities, or simply enjoying the fresh air. As you enter, you're welcomed into a bright & airy living room with large windows that fill the space with natural light. The open-concept design leads seamlessly into a cozy dining area, perfect for family gatherings. Outside, the backyard offers a perfect space for entertaining. This delightful fixer-upper combines comfort and functionality, making it an ideal choice for anyone looking to
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1975
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#337 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, schools F, crime F.
- Allendale 01 (rural): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #75 of 80 in SC (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 91% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Allendale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Allendale County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.63%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $37,960
- Equity at exit
- $25,362
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.93×
- Total profit
- $91,285
- Equity at exit
- $39,584
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29810
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,028 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $213/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $483
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-07-17status Pending
-
2025-04-29status Active
-
2025-01-06status Active
-
2024-12-20historical Under Contract - Take Backup
-
2024-12-05price $55,000
-
2024-11-01$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $213 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $314 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- +$101/yr (+$8/mo · 47.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,334
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$213
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$987
- − Management
- −$987
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $5,192
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,246
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allendale 01
- NCES district ID
- 4500750
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $24,563
- Composite
- 15.03/100
- National rank
- #9355
- State rank
- #75 of 80 in SC
Livability — Allendale
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #24470
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allendale, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,571
Population outlook (Allendale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,154 people
- By 2030
- 7,487 · -8.2%
- By 2040
- 6,216 · -23.8%
- By 2050
- 5,277 · -35.3%
- By 2075
- 3,993 · -51.0%
- By 2100
- 3,427 · -58.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 14% Two or more races 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Greek 6% English 4% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allendale
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.7) · D 71.6% · R 26.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: 51.7pp · 2024: 44.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.7 2020: D+52.4 2016: D+54.1 2012: D+57.3 2008: D+51.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.20%
- Current HPI
- 142.2881
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-15.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-17 Pending — LRMLS
- 2025-04-29 Relisted — LRMLS
- 2025-01-06 Relisted — LRMLS
- 2024-12-20 Contingent — LRMLS
- 2024-12-05 Price Changed $55,000 LRMLS
- 2024-11-01 Listed $65,000 LRMLS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $213 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…