731 W Live Oak St · Port Lavaca, TX 77979

$70,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,335 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market

Built 1954 10,402 sqft lot $52/sqft · 57% below area ↓ 12% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.8/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Whether you're seeking a personal renovation project or an investment opportunity to flip, this home is a perfect fit. It presents a blank canvas for you to customize and make your own. The property has undergone new interior plumbing and includes a spacious lot adjacent to it. Don't miss the chance to come see it for yourself!!!

Key facts

• Spacious lot
• 0.24 acre lot
• Built 1954

Tags

• NEW INTERIOR PLUMBING
• SPACIOUS LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.2% in Port Lavaca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#113 in TX, #3,659 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Calhoun County ISD (town): math 44% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #293 of 826 in TX (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Calhoun County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.40%
• DSCR: 1.64
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $160,998
• List price: $70,000
• Delta: -56.52%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 14 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1306 Burkedale Dr	0.33mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,411 (+6%)	5mo	$220,000	$156	62
210 N Guadalupe St	0.52mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,246 (-7%)	3mo	$75,000	$60	57
1615 Meadowview Dr	0.59mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,376 (+3%)	4mo	$160,000	$116	55
109 Tommy Dr	0.75mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,276 (-4%)	4mo	$87,500	$69	50
623 S Colorado St	0.54mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,312 (-2%)	23mo	$165,000	$126	47
1420 Avalon St	0.48mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,158 (-13%)	3mo	$172,000	$149	44
1715 Algee St	0.72mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,193 (-11%)	2mo	$145,000	$122	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.19×
• Total profit: $3,697
• Equity at exit: $10,437

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.16×
• Total profit: $22,757
• Equity at exit: $6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77979

• Home prices YoY: -34.6%
• Active inventory: 282
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,006 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax from tax record: −$164 /mo · $1,965/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$211
• Net cashflow: $235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $709

Max offer price $70,000

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,500
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
332 Independence Dr Port Lavaca, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	944	$1,006	$1.07	43d	20	1.41mi

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $70,000 Active 139 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $70,000 Active 138 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $70,000 Active 137 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $70,000 Active 136 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $70,000 Active 134 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $70,000 Active 133 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $70,000 Active 130 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $70,000 Active 129 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $70,000 Active 128 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 127 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 124 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 123 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 122 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 121 DOM
15. 2026-04-05
    price $70,000 331-char remark

    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Whether you're seeking a personal renovation project or an investment opportunity to flip, this home is a perfect fit. It presents a blank canvas for you to customize and make your own. The property has undergone new interior plumbing and includes a spacious lot adjacent to it. Don't miss the chance to come see it for yourself!!!

16. 2026-01-30
    listed $80,000 Active 331-char remark

    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Whether you're seeking a personal renovation project or an investment opportunity to flip, this home is a perfect fit. It presents a blank canvas for you to customize and make your own. The property has undergone new interior plumbing and includes a spacious lot adjacent to it. Don't miss the chance to come see it for yourself!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,965 · $164/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,965 · $164/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,078
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$1,965
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$966
• − Management: −$966
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $1,873
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$450
• After-tax cash flow: $2,372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Calhoun County ISD
• NCES district ID: 4812480
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $48,588
• Composite: 37.27/100
• National rank: #4453
• State rank: #293 of 826 in TX

Livability — Port Lavaca

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #113
• US rank: #3659

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Port Lavaca, TX
• City population: 16,179
• Population (ZIP): 16,179

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 23,512 people
• By 2030: 24,183 · +2.9%
• By 2040: 25,370 · +7.9%
• By 2050: 26,388 · +12.2%
• By 2075: 28,014 · +19.1%
• By 2100: 26,314 · +11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 53% White 36% Two or more races 20% Asian 6% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 44%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, China, Philippines
• Languages at home: 67% English-only · Spanish 27% Chinese 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.2) · D 23.7% · R 75.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.0pp · 2024: -52.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.2 2020: R+44.5 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+20.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -86.84%
• Current HPI: 163.8892
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-12.5% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-05 Price Changed $70,000 CTXMLS
• 2026-01-30 Listed $80,000 CTXMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,965 · +30.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.