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2211 N Charles St
D Composite 41.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

2211 N Charles St · Saginaw, MI 48602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,195 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1929 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD Home. Nice home w/ lots of built-ins and a deep lot. Hardwood floors, gas fireplace, full basement, garage and neutral decor.

Key facts

  • Renovated bathroom
  • New carpet
  • Convenient location

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONPRIVACY FENCEDRENOVATED BATHROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSVINYL PLANK FLOORINGNEW CARPET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (16 x 20); Approximately 1.5 garage parking spaces; Paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Natural gas; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Residential property; 1-story structure; Built in 1929
  • Construction: Basement foundation (block, full)
  • Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Fenced yard; Porch; Deep lot (150+ ft.); City limits location; Road frontage (44')

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen roughly 14 x 13; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom; Bedroom sizes approximately 15 x 15, 10 x 9, and 9 (width listed)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring in living and dining areas; Carpet in primary bedroom; Wood flooring in bedrooms 2 and 3
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main/first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat and gas water heater
  • Interior features: Hardwood floors
  • Laundry & utility: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($285/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $113,349 (5.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.85%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$78,870
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1724 State St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-4%) 2mo $75,000 $66 81
2208 W Genesee St 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,102 (-8%) 5mo $75,000 $68 70
2408 State St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,362 (+14%) 1mo $40,000 $29 66
2454 Durand St 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,142 (-4%) 1mo $33,500 $29 63
2512 WITTERS St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,095 (-8%) 3mo $109,900 $100 63
1819 Delaware St 0.40mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,334 (+12%) 3mo $93,000 $70 54
2338 N Bond St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,302 (+9%) 1mo $77,000 $59 54
3030 Brockton Pl 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,123 (-6%) 4mo $137,000 $122 54
35 Congress Court A 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,026 (-14%) 0mo $115,000 $112 49
1923 N Oakley St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,343 (+12%) 4mo $20,000 $15 47
2844 Schemm St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,336 (+12%) 3mo $40,000 $30 46
2022 Benjamin St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,016 (-15%) 4mo $35,000 $34 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-16,759
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-7,744
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,133 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,309/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,103
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 692-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $120,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,309 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,309 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,602
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,309
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,088
− Management
−$1,088
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$1,696
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$407
After-tax cash flow
$692/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $1,022,727 Public Records
  • 2017-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $377,147 Public Records
  • 2017-12-03 Sold (MLS) $27,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-12-13 Listed $27,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-10-27 Sold (MLS) $10,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-10-27 Sold (MLS) $10,750 REALCOMP
  • 2011-09-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-10 Listed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-10 Listed $12,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
  • 2001-12-28 Sold (MLS) $68,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-12-28 Sold (MLS) $68,500 REALCOMP
  • 2001-12-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-11-13 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-11-13 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,309 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…