2211 N Charles St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD Home. Nice home w/ lots of built-ins and a deep lot. Hardwood floors, gas fireplace, full basement, garage and neutral decor.
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- New carpet
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (16 x 20); Approximately 1.5 garage parking spaces; Paved driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Natural gas; Gas water heater
- Home design: Residential property; 1-story structure; Built in 1929
- Construction: Basement foundation (block, full)
- Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Fenced yard; Porch; Deep lot (150+ ft.); City limits location; Road frontage (44')
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen roughly 14 x 13; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom; Bedroom sizes approximately 15 x 15, 10 x 9, and 9 (width listed)
- Flooring: Wood flooring in living and dining areas; Carpet in primary bedroom; Wood flooring in bedrooms 2 and 3
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main/first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat and gas water heater
- Interior features: Hardwood floors
- Laundry & utility: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($285/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.85%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,870
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1724 State St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-4%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $66 | 81 |
| 2208 W Genesee St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (-8%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $68 | 70 |
| 2408 State St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,362 (+14%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $29 | 66 |
| 2454 Durand St | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,142 (-4%) | 1mo | $33,500 | $29 | 63 |
| 2512 WITTERS St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,095 (-8%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $100 | 63 |
| 1819 Delaware St | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,334 (+12%) | 3mo | $93,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 2338 N Bond St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+9%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 3030 Brockton Pl | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,123 (-6%) | 4mo | $137,000 | $122 | 54 |
| 35 Congress Court A | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,026 (-14%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $112 | 49 |
| 1923 N Oakley St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,343 (+12%) | 4mo | $20,000 | $15 | 47 |
| 2844 Schemm St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (+12%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $30 | 46 |
| 2022 Benjamin St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,016 (-15%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $34 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-16,759
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-7,744
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,133 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 692-char remark
-
2026-06-12$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,309 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,309 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,602
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,309
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$1,696
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$407
- After-tax cash flow
- $692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $1,022,727 Public Records
- 2017-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $377,147 Public Records
- 2017-12-03 Sold (MLS) $27,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-13 Listed $27,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-10-27 Sold (MLS) $10,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-10-27 Sold (MLS) $10,750 REALCOMP
- 2011-09-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-10 Listed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-10 Listed $12,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
- 2001-12-28 Sold (MLS) $68,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-12-28 Sold (MLS) $68,500 REALCOMP
- 2001-12-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-11-13 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-11-13 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,309 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…