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2 Mint Plz #207
D+ Composite 47.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.3/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$414,940

2 Mint Plz #207 · San Francisco, CA 94103
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 671 sqft · Condo · 406 Days on market
Built 1926 Good condition $618/sqft · 30% below area Est $597k · 30% under $946/mo HOA · 28% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Required MLS Language under Marketing Remarks'' Section 1-bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 90% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $98,200; 2 = $112,250; 3 = $126,250, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on 10/01/2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y0000076lMnEAI to view the listing and for application & program info. By Appointment only. Fair housing opportunity. Mint Collection offers stunning modern Live/Work dwellings with historic architectural detailing in one of SF's most desirable locations, Mint Plaza. Unit #207 has a private north-west outlook, 11'6'' ceilings, AC, and glossy concrete flooring. Custom kitchen features integrated cabinetry, granite counter tops, dishwasher, and combo W/ D. Stunning modern dwelling with historic architectural detailing in one of San Francisco's most desirable locations. Building amenities include 24hr security, bike parking, fitness center, roof deck w/ BBQ, & dog run.

Key facts

  • Combo w d
  • 11'6'' ceilings
  • Integrated cabinetry

Tags

PRIVATE NORTH-WEST OUTLOOK11'6'' CEILINGSGLOSSY CONCRETE FLOORINGINTEGRATED CABINETRYGRANITE COUNTER TOPSCOMBO W D

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $415k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (38.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $343k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $255k (38.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.1% vs local median 2.2% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.5%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 406 days — a 12% lower offer ($365k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $255,014 (38.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 406 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
3.10%
Cash-on-cash
-11.42%
DSCR
0.49
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$596,788
List price
$414,940
Delta
-30.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
400 Beale St #1702 0.95mi 1/1.0 675 (+1%) 0mo $650,000 $963 64
601 Van Ness Ave #212 0.73mi 1/1.0 706 (+5%) 0mo $475,000 $673 57
1818 Broadway St #201 1.38mi 1/1.0 625 (-7%) 0mo $770,000 $1,232 54
735 Geary St #104 0.48mi 1/1.0 812 (+21%) 0mo $554,000 $682 53
333 Grant Ave #703 0.50mi 1/1.5 834 (+24%) 0mo $950,000 $1,139 50
301 Mission St Unit 12D 0.80mi 1/1.0 751 (+12%) 0mo $585,000 $779 45
1 Daniel Burnham Ct #303 0.86mi 1/1.5 745 (+11%) 0mo $655,000 $879 44
1080 Sutter St #703 0.67mi 2/1.0 (+1) 750 (+12%) 0mo $665,000 $887 44
451 Kansas St #509 1.34mi 1/1.0 791 (+18%) 0mo $920,000 $1,163 40
301 Mission St Unit 24C 0.80mi 1/1.0 833 (+24%) 0mo $720,000 $864 40
1840 Washington St #403 1.12mi 1/1.0 837 (+25%) 0mo $1,100,000 $1,314 40
425 1st St #1107 0.88mi 1/1.0 819 (+22%) 0mo $1,085,000 $1,325 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.96% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$43,109
Equity at exit
$234,196
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$236,358
Equity at exit
$403,412

Cash invested: $116,183 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active · 28 under contract
Median asking
$655,000 ($926/sqft)
Median days on market
74 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-4.0% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 94103

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Rents YoY
15.5%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,428 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,176
Tax est. 1.5%
$519 /mo · $6,224/yr
Insurance
$173
HOA
$946
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$720
Net cashflow
$-1,105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,827
Max offer price $255,014
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-818 -5% $-962 +0% $-1,105 +5% $-1,249 +10% $-1,392
Rent -10% $-1,376 -5% $-1,241 +0% $-1,105 +5% $-970 +10% $-834
Rate -1.0pp $-896 -0.5pp $-1,000 base $-1,105 +0.5pp $-1,213 +1.0pp $-1,322

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$103,735
Closing costs
$12,448
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
960 Market St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 613 $3,995 $6.52 60d 1 0.08mi
434 Minna St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 719 $5,485 $7.62 0d 10 0.11mi
529 Stevenson St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 607 $2,895 $4.77 24d 2 0.18mi
906 Howard St Unit 302 San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 584 $3,595 $6.16 42d 1 0.18mi
550 Jessie St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 625 $2,895 $4.63 42d 1 0.18mi
550 Jessie St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 646 $2,895 $4.48 49d 1 0.18mi
550 Jessie St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 595 $2,995 $5.03 4d 1 0.18mi
1028 Market St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 691 $4,110 $5.94 0d 7 0.19mi
570 Jessie St San Francisco, CA 1.0 430 $2,595 $6.03 7d 1 0.20mi
50 Jones St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 649 $4,666 $7.18 0d 11 0.24mi
1075 Market St #603 San Francisco, CA 1.0 445 $3,300 $7.42 103d 1 0.25mi
1075 Market St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 546 $3,500 $6.40 120d 2 0.25mi
1075 Market St #461 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 648 $3,460 $5.34 116d 1 0.26mi
400 Clementina St #332 San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 730 $3,830 $5.24 10d 2 0.26mi
900 Folsom St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 802 $4,838 $6.03 0d 32 0.30mi
424 Jones St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 356 $2,495 $7.00 6d 2 0.30mi
424 Jones St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 400 $1,995 $4.99 88d 1 0.30mi
285 Turk St Apt 507 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 462 $1,795 $3.89 139d 1 0.32mi
923 Folsom St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 789 $3,491 $4.42 3d 7 0.32mi
84 Harriet St Unit A San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 718 $3,295 $4.59 116d 1 0.34mi
84 Harriet St Unit A San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 718 $3,425 $4.77 18d 1 0.34mi
346 Leavenworth St San Francisco, CA 1.0 366 $2,160 $5.90 6d 1 0.35mi
545 Ofarrell St San Francisco, CA 1.0 400 $2,000 $5.00 43d 1 0.35mi
520 Taylor St San Francisco, CA 1.0 400 $2,495 $6.24 37d 1 0.36mi
603 Natoma St Apt 406 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 556 $2,950 $5.31 139d 1 0.36mi
565 Geary St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 502 $2,850 $5.68 10d 2 0.36mi
829 Folsom St #408 San Francisco, CA 1.0 495 $2,860 $5.78 110d 1 0.36mi
555 Ofarrell St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 394 $2,170 $5.51 85d 1 0.36mi
555 Ofarrell St San Francisco, CA 1.0 350 $1,895 $5.41 60d 1 0.36mi
535 Taylor St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 706 $4,295 $6.08 32d 1 0.37mi
626 Natoma St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $3,175 $4.88 49d 1 0.38mi
821 Folsom St #217 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 662 $4,000 $6.04 43d 1 0.38mi
230 7th St #405 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 709 $4,850 $6.84 18d 1 0.38mi
363 6th St San Francisco, CA 1.0 390 $2,860 $7.33 18d 1 0.40mi
620 Jones St San Francisco, CA 1.0 400 $1,650 $4.12 43d 1 0.40mi
540 Leavenworth St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 366 $3,520 $9.60 3d 2 0.41mi
1188 Mission St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 569 $3,986 $7.00 0d 14 0.41mi
33 8th St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 559 $4,796 $8.58 0d 13 0.41mi
536 Leavenworth St San Francisco, CA 1.0 430 $2,295 $5.34 56d 2 0.42mi
536 Leavenworth St San Francisco, CA 1.0 445 $1,995 $4.48 139d 1 0.42mi

HOA detail $946/mo · $11,352/yr condo

Likely covers
gymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $414,940 Active 406 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $414,940 Active 405 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $414,940 Active 404 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $414,940 Active 403 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $414,940 Active 402 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $414,940 Active 401 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $414,940 Active 400 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $414,940 Active 399 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $414,940 Active 398 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $414,940 Active 397 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $414,940 Active 396 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $414,940 Active 395 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $414,940 Active 394 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $414,940 Active 388 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $414,940 Active 387 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $414,940 Active 386 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $414,940 Active 383 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $414,940 Active 382 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $414,940 Active 381 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $414,940 Active 380 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $414,940 Active 379 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $414,940 Active 378 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $414,940 Active 377 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $414,940 Active 376 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $414,940 Active 375 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $414,940 Active 374 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $414,940 Active 373 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $414,940 Active 372 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $414,940 Active 371 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $414,940 Active 370 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $414,940 Active 369 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $414,940 Active 368 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $414,940 Active 367 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $414,940 Active 366 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $414,940 Active 365 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $414,940 Active 364 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $414,940 Active 363 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $414,940 Active 362 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $414,940 Active 361 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $414,940 Active 360 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $414,940 Active 358 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $414,940 Active 357 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $414,940 Active 356 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $414,940 Active 355 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $414,940 Active 352 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $414,940 Active 351 DOM
  47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $414,940 Active 350 DOM
  48. 2026-07-28
    days on market $414,940 Active 349 DOM
  49. 2026-07-26
    days on market $414,940 Active 347 DOM
  50. 2026-07-24
    days on market $414,940 Active 345 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,139
− Mortgage interest
−$23,243
− Property taxes
−$6,224
− Insurance
−$2,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,291
− Management
−$3,291
− HOA
−$11,352
− Depreciation
−$12,071
Taxable loss
−$20,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,898
After-tax cash flow
$-8,365/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $3,355–$10,065 screening

This well-maintained, modern condo is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both paint — refreshes interior and exterior
  • Both HVAC maintenance — improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Webster (Daniel) Elementary Middle Denman (James) Middle High S.f. International High

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 1,030,936 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
34,964
Household income
$116,438
Rent vs Own
80.3% rent · 19.7% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
White 32% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 9% Tagalog/Filipino 6%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-08-13 Listed $414,940 San Francisco MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…