41 27th St · Ellijay, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2020 Forest River Cherokee Grey Wolf Travel Trailer (33.5 ft) comes with land ownership and a full setup under a metal roof carport. With 2 private entrances, 1 slide-out, and sleeping space for up to 10, it's perfect for weekend escapes or extended stays. Features include a queen bed, double-size bunks, U-shaped dinette, 3-burner stove, mid-size fridge, 2 skylights, and interior/exterior speakers. Enjoy the outdoor kitchen with burners, fridge, water hookup, plus a covered entertainment space ready for a mounted TV. The septic is hardlined for easy use and maintenance. Located in a secure, gated community packed with resort-style amenities: heated Junior Olympic pool, kiddie pool, fitness center with Wi-Fi and satellite TV, game room, tennis, basketball, pickleball, 18-hole mini golf, and a large covered pavilion for events.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Private entrances
- Outdoor kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 1.7% in Ellijay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#85 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 47% / reading 29%, grade F, #469 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 668 students, 67% FRL); Clear Creek Middle School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 917 students, 63% FRL); Gilmer High School (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 1,174 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1223 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.52%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,000
- List price
- $98,000
- Delta
- -21.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 25th St | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-8%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $180 | 80 |
| 352 10th St | 0.10mi | 1/1.5 | 420 (-4%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $369 | 77 |
| 152 33rd St | 0.23mi | 1/1.0 | 408 (-6%) | 5mo | $157,000 | $385 | 75 |
| 35 37th St | 0.17mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-8%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $125 | 70 |
| 183 14th St Unit C367 | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 400 (-8%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $313 | 66 |
| 183 14th St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 400 (-8%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $313 | 66 |
| 16 23rd St | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 | 408 (-6%) | 14mo | $136,000 | $333 | 66 |
| 73 10th St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 400 (-8%) | 10mo | $119,000 | $298 | 61 |
| 296 25th St | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (+15%) | 10mo | $67,000 | $134 | 60 |
| 32 7th St | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-8%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $250 | 56 |
| 252 6th St Unit C154 | 0.61mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-8%) | 15mo | $58,500 | $146 | 45 |
| 252 6th St | 0.61mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-8%) | 15mo | $58,500 | $146 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $3,820
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $28,719
- Equity at exit
- $8,473
Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active
- Months of supply
- 39.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $99,900 ($244/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 95 d
- This list price
- 46% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +17.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30540
- Home prices YoY
- -11.0%
- Active inventory
- 1223
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,229 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$514
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $207/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$90
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $365 | -5% $337 | +0% $309 | +5% $281 | +10% $136 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $261 | +0% $309 | +5% $358 | +10% $406 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $359 | -0.5pp $334 | base $309 | +0.5pp $284 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,500
- Closing costs
- $2,940
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail $90/mo · $1,080/yr
- Likely covers
- waterinternetpoolgymsecurity
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-07-31days on market $98,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $98,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $98,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $98,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $98,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $98,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $98,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $98,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $98,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $98,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $98,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $98,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $98,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $98,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $98,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $98,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $98,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $98,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $98,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $98,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $98,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $98,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $98,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $98,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $98,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $98,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $98,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $98,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $98,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $98,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $98,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $98,000 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $98,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $98,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $98,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $98,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $98,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $98,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $98,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $98,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $98,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-01-01$98,000 New 972-char remark
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
This 2020 Forest River Cherokee Grey Wolf Travel Trailer (33.5 ft) comes with land ownership and a full setup under a metal roof carport. With 2 private entrances, 1 slide-out, and sleeping space for up to 10, it's perfect for weekend escapes or extended stays. Features include a queen bed, double-size bunks, U-shaped dinette, 3-burner stove, mid-size fridge, 2 skylights, and interior/exterior speakers. Enjoy the outdoor kitchen with burners, fridge, water hookup, plus a covered entertainment space ready for a mounted TV. The septic is hardlined for easy use and maintenance. Located in a secure, gated community packed with resort-style amenities: heated Junior Olympic pool, kiddie pool, fitness center with Wi-Fi and satellite TV, game room, tennis, basketball, pickleball, 18-hole mini golf, and a large covered pavilion for events. Affordable, low-maintenance, and ready for relaxation—this turnkey RV comes equipped with high-speed internet and a Roku smart TV.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $207 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $902 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$695/yr (+$58/mo · 335.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,490
- − Property taxes
- −$207
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,180
- − Management
- −$1,180
- − HOA
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$2,851
- Taxable income
- $2,274
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,164/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This 2020 Forest River Cherokee Grey Wolf Travel Trailer is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious interior, modern amenities, and a well-maintained exterior. Add landscaping and a smart home system to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and outdoor furniture — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space ↑
- Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and energy efficiency ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gilmer County
- NCES district ID
- 1302340
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,473
- Composite
- 31.53/100
- National rank
- #5961
- State rank
- #56 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ellijay
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #7087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gilmer · 31,466 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,145
- Household income
- $73,771
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Gilmer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,466 people
- By 2030
- 32,199 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 33,266 · +5.7%
- By 2075
- 33,686 · +7.1%
- By 2100
- 33,792 · +7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gilmer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.6 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+63.3 2008: R+52.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.49%
- Current HPI
- 270.796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+232.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-01 Listed $98,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listed $98,000 NEGBOR
- 2026-01-01 Listed $98,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $100,000 NEGBOR
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $100,000 FMLS
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $100,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-21 Price Changed $110,000 NEGBOR
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $110,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $110,000 FMLS
- 2025-05-20 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-20 Listed $120,000 FMLS
- 2025-05-20 Listed $120,000 NEGBOR
- 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-10 Sold (MLS) $78,000 GAMLS
- 2022-07-18 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-07-08 Listed $78,000 GAMLS
- 2021-06-11 Delisted — NEGBOR
- 2021-06-11 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NEGBOR
- 2021-04-25 Listed $29,500 NEGBOR
Property tax history
+17.5%/yrLatest (2025): $207 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…